egslim
Graduate Poster
- Joined
- Nov 26, 2002
- Messages
- 1,858
I got curious, and looked up some data. This lists countries by oil production. This list sorts countries by perceived corruption.I think that it's both but if oil was suddenly discovered in some other psychopathic dictatorship's land, is it going to make things better, worse or neutral? My intuition says it's going to make things worse. Maybe a better way of saying it is that the oil factor is more likely to cause a country to become corrupt than it is to cause a country invade for it.
There are nine countries with a corruption score of <2. Only two of them are among the top 20 oil producers. I don't see the correlation your intuition predicts.
And real invasions are rare nowadays. Most conflicts are civil wars. If we consider real invasions the West got actively involved in during the last 20 years, then I think that includes only Kuwait (the liberation of), Afghanistan and Iraq. Two of the three were oil-rich countries, so it seems oil does increase the chance of invasion. On the upside, if you're invaded by a third world country the US is likely to come in and kick them out.