Hugh,
- I am arguing that consistency is evidence -- though, it may or may not, be very strong/weighty evidence.
- That the accused was seen in the vicinity of the victim near the time of the latter's murder does support the guilt of the accused. Obviously, it doesn't prove anything -- numerous others were also seen in the vicinity of the victim near the time of the latter's murder -- but it does "support" the guilt of the accused.
- If the fingerprints of the accused were found on the murder weapon, that would also be supportive of the accused's guilt -- but, dependent upon other circumstances, probably more supportive.
- And agreed, while both pieces of evidence are consistent with guilt of the accused, they are also consistent with innocence of the accused -- neither piece of evidence eliminates his innocence.
- What matters re the direction of the support (not the amount of the support) is which side of the argument is strengthened by the information. In the murder example, neither piece of evidence strengthens the probability of the accused's innocence; but, both pieces strengthen the probability of his guilt.
- Re our blood issue, the stains simply being blood does not strengthen the probability of the inauthentic side, but it does (slightly) strengthen the probability of the authentic side.
- I think that the slight support provided simply by the stains being real blood would be important to my case because of certain reported characteristics of the stains. The reported characteristics of the stains, I think, provide significant support. One of those characteristics being the red color (which I still think is important), but there are several more I'll be reminding viewers of.
- Thanks.