You're not too far off. Take a look at
this picture, from the Wikipedia article on Castle Clinton and compare the view to the pic you just posted.
Now here's a picture of Castle Clinton:
from
the Battery Conservancy's Web site, to help you identify it in an aerial pic.
When I did the trig thing with the still from the Hezarkhani video included in the NIST report, I came out with a camera sightline about 11 degrees east of a line perpendicular to the south face of WTC2. I printed out a copy of
this map large enough to fill an 8 1/2" x 11" sheet, found the center of WTC2 and constructed the perpendicular line with a ruler and pencil and then drew the sightline using a protractor.
Now here's a screenshot of a satellite image of the Battery Park area:
In plotting lines on my paper map, I found that my sightline lay right along the east edge of the building marked with a red "X". When you extend that line into Battery Park (the thick red line), look at what it passes right next to- why, it's
Castle Clinton.
The thin yellow lines approximate a + or - 5 degree error band. Projective geometry isn't my strong suit; when I take the uncertainties of measuring the projected widths of the faces as seen from ground level into account along with likely errors in my pencil-and-paper work, that seems like a fair allowance.
No matter how you slice it, the preponderance of evidence seems to be that the camera sight line is entirely consistent with a location in Battery Park, somewhere in the vicinity of Castle Clinton.