I wouldn't subscribe to the theory that Charles seems convinced of, but I do wonder about Bedford's bags and their contents.
If we are to assume, quite reasonably, that one of the bags noted by Bedford was likely to have contained the bomb device, there was still the risk that the bags placed on the floor of 4041 would be moved possibly scuppering the whole intended mission. Granted, the risk is considerably diminished relative to putting the thing on in Malta and certainly the best possibility of that we can see of succeeding in bringing down a jumbo without taking the thing on the aircraft yourself.
Whoever these terrorists were, they weren't stupid. I don't see how the bomb could possibly have come in on PA103A, because of the positioning problem. One problem we have is, we're thinking about this problem in a different way from the investigators, so there are some questions we have that nobody has answered. One of these is, what percentage of suitcases in AVE4041 were in a position where an explosion in them would have caused the crash?
It's got to be less than 50%, because the ones in the inboard half of the container wouldn't have done it. I'm not sure about the ones in the outboard half - the ones nearer the top might also have been too far from the hull also. I think 30% of the cases altogether is probably a generous estimate. If you were hatching this plot, would you go for it?
The judges hand-waved this away by noting that even putting the case in the container at Heathrow wouldn't guarantee correct placing, as the loaders on the tarmac might rearrange it all. (I imagine they're right to exclude the tarmac loaders from complicity, it's just too far-fetched.) So, said the Noble Lords, there's no advantage to a Heathrow introduction. It was a pure fluke either way.
I think they're wrong. I think the probability of the correct placing can be significantly improved by a Heathrow loading. Mr. Taylor apparently had a theory about the pattern of suitcase stacking used by the loaders, which suggested that a case the size of the Primary Suitcase, if among the original bags in the container, would tend to end up in the "right" place, but the judges handwaved that away as well, so I don't know how plausible it was.
No samsonite was loaded in Malta via Frankfurt, certainly not one containing a bomb, but Bedford claimed he possibly saw two samonsite's, without doubt one, and there was the remnants on one which was recovered and determined to be the primary suitcase. However, I do wonder what became of the other bag Bedford witnessed. A suitcase, bronze or similar colour, and a Samsonite style or similar. There are no accounts of another similar bag being recovered, damaged or not. This bag apparently was never recovered, didn't exist and Bedford was mistaken, or was reduced to nothingness in the explosion. The latter is not possible given the Lordships acrobatics in determining that both of Bedfords bags came to be relocated.
I'm fairly sure there was luggage that wasn't recovered. There were
bodies that weren't recovered, presumably having fallen into Sherwood Crescent with the engines and being obliterated along with the families who lived there.
I would be extremely surprised if the luggage found on the ground wasn't documented to the nth degree. It was realised very early on that this was a suitcase bomb, so this would be imperative. The cops weren't stupid either, and they would understand the necessity. I suspect the judges' handwaving away of the missing Samsonite was just another example of them using any loophole they can see to support the version they want to support. Oh there were some suitcases never recovered. Oh well that's OK then. (A bit like, Mr. Borg said it wasn't
absolutely impossible for an unaccompanied bag to have got on that plane, oh well that's OK then.)
What we don't have is a complete set of documentation of what should have been in AVE4041, and what was found and what wasn't. It might have been slightly complicated because some of the baggage from PA103A didn't go in the container, and I'm not sure if it was sorted - it might have been, first class and standard, also whether it was getting off at New York or going on to Detroit.
I'd have thought such documentation would exist. It's possible that once tray B8849 was identified, they lost interest, but that didn't happen till August so they should have had time to do the work. I just wonder of the political pressure that "the device did not originate at Heathrow" was sufficient to keep the investigation low key. But the defence was proposing this theory, so I'd have thought they would have asked for that information.
I don't know if all the baggage, specifically relating to 4041, was subsequently matched to it's appropriate passenger and returned to the victims family, or whether there was a number of bags that were never recovered from the Scottish hillsides after 103 came down. Neither am I sure about what other baggage or contents were shown to have blast damage, aside from Karen Noonan's suitcase and clothing which was determined to have been the bag directly underneath the primary suitcase. We do know some of one Samsonite was recovered, but what of the other one, thought to be ever so similar in colour and style?
It's difficult to know what to make of the second suitcase without knowing how sure Bedford was about its description. He doesn't seem all that sure - at one point he seems to have acceded to the suggestion it was blue with red stripes or something!
I had another thought about this. What if the other bag was one of those Bedford had previously loaded, but moved? He doesn't seem sure how many he loaded to begin with, or if they were all still there when he saw the mystery Samsonite. If it was a legit bag, then it would disappear back into its expected provenance. And I don't think we're at all sure what it looked like.
Supposing the terrorist was in the process of rearranging the luggage when Bedford returned, and scarpered quick, leaving it half done? He might have struck it lucky anyway, or come back and finished the job when the container was unattended later. Alternatively, what if the idea was to put the bomb suitcase on the floor on the outboard side, and one of the interline cases was relocated to the corresponding inboard position, in the hope or expectation that they would stay in these positions? Maybe the terrorist thought the tarmac loaders wouldn't disturb anything that was already flat. (Maybe he was almost right, but someone lifted the smaller Samsonite to get Karen Nooonan's larger case underneath it, then shove the smaller Samsonite into the overhang?)
I'm assuming that the key to this plot was having a conspirator who worked or had recently worked in baggage in that area of Heathrow. It really does look as if that container was selected with care, probably for its eventual position at the point of vulnerability of the airframe more than the potential misdirection value of most of its contents being from the Frankfurt flight. Knowing where to put the bomb would seem to be crucial with such a small amount of expolsive.
I always wondered why Bedford put the interline bags on their spines rather than flat, but it's likely this was to enable the tarmac loaders to choose where each bag was placed - like a game of Tetris I think. But if the bags were already flat and reasonably packed, would anyone bother moving them? If I were planning something like this, I'd perhaps want
all these bags flat when the container went out to the tarmac, taking what was probably a good bet that nobody would bother rearranging them at that stage.
Maybe what Bedford saw was the start of that exercise, and when he interrupted it the terrorist just got lucky with the final arrangement. Or maybe the terrorist went back to the container when it was unattended after 5 o'clock. I don't know if anyone asked the loaders what configuration the bags were in when the container was passed over to them. If they were used to them all being on their spines, I'd have thought they'd remember if they were presented with them all flat one day.
I'm just brainstorming, but it's an important part of the narrative.
I had considered the possibility that the remnants recovered and determined to be the primary suitcase, could possibly be the second suitcase observed by Bedford, while the actual primary suitcase was simply obliterated in the explosion, with Noonan's suitcase being thenext nearest baggage to take the impact of the initial explosion. I have also given consideration to the possibility that if, at least one of the bags observed by Bedford was the primary suitcase, the terrorist who gave them to Kamboj to place in te container, or indeed if they had managed to do this themselves, what was the other bag containing? Even if not a bronze samsonite, as Bedford wasn't completely sure of, then this second bag was still inserted into 4041 while Bedford took his break and at the same time as the primary suitcase was put into 4041, and what exactly would it's purpose be? If we accept that Bedford saw two unknown bags, even allowing for his uncertainty of colour and style, was it simply a supplementary bag that the terrorist thought would look more plausible for someone in the airport to be carrying two bags as oppose to one? Because it would seem this second bag was certainly brought to Kamboj, and possibly placed, into 4041 by the same individual.
I don't imagine it was just an empty case, but there are no reports of another samsonite, or similar recovered, no reports of any other badly damaged clothing and no reports of unclaimed baggage recovered from 4041 or baggage thought to be in4041 was never found in the debris. So what became of this mysterious bag, and what could the contents have been?
Well, see my points above. I did wonder if two cases might just have been more plausible, but it's a bit tenuous. I'm sure baggage handlers walk around with single cases all the time. One of the genuine interline bags, used to try to fix the position of the bomb bag?
Gauci's clothes must have been bought by or for the terrorists. If that had been an innocent purchase, maybe someone with more money than time buying Christmas presents, surely the connection would have been made. Either someone who had been in Malta in late November was killed on PA103 after travelling in from Frankfurt, or the person who bought the clothes and passed them on to a dead passenger would surely have come forward.
It would also suggest wholesale fabrication at RARDE, because the presence of bomb fragments in the clothes really must suggest they were in the same suitcase as the bomb. I think the bronze-Samsonite-with-Gauci-clothes-and-Toshiba-radio-with-added-Semtex theory is quite difficult to knock over, and the other suitcase has a different explanation.
Rolfe.