Michael Mozina
Banned
- Joined
- Feb 10, 2009
- Messages
- 9,361
Michael, I'm pretty sick of trying to discuss this with you, mainly because it never seems to go anywhere. But when I read comments like that, all I can think is that you've just totally misunderstood something somewhere.
There's only one constant. It's one number. It's only allowed to have one value. And as a result, the theory really is very predictive, because (at least in principle) you can determine that number with just one observation, and then every other observation you make is a test of the theory.
For my own reasons I just read a paper about an alternative to lambda-CDM, where you set lambda to zero but assume we're in the middle of a giant void (i.e. a spherical region with fewer galaxies in it than the average). It turns out you can get away with setting lambda to zero in such models - but the price you pay is that you have to assume that for some reason the earth is almost at the exact center of this big spherical void. In other words, that the earth really is at the center of the universe.
And the other price you pay is that the theory is much less predictive, because it has many numbers in it (the density is a function of radius) that need to be fixed by data, and so it's a lot easier to adjust it to match whatever observations get made. But it's still possible to distinguish from lambda CDM, and it seems that within a few years one or the other will be ruled out by data.
I realize that you're trying really hard to communicate here sol and I appreciate it, I really do.
Try as I might, I simply "lack belief" that any constant in that GR formula is related to 'dark energy', just as I lack belief that the same constant in that same formula is related to 'fill in the metaphysical/religious blank energy'. It's the empirical disconnect between the observation of acceleration of physically massive objects, and the demonstration that "fill in the blank" has any effect on mass than I find to be lacking.
I also have a hard time with the notion of "predictive value". The constant was there while the mainstream 'predicted' the universe was slowing down over time. It was then CHANGED to "postdict a fit". Yes, I understand it can then be 'tested' in all directions, but again, it's just a number. The number is not a 'cause'.
I really do think we are "stuck" due to this difference between us, and I simply don't know how to bridge that gap, even though I do see you side of the argument:
http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/showpost.php?p=7642705&postcount=4979
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