Kevin said it well enough:
All arguments from authority. They must know something not in the public sphere. They must have some expertise that makes their assessment superior even if I can't articulate what that special knowledge could possibly be.
That's a straw man. I'll address what Kevin said latter, but the authorities made compelling arguments while you did not. The subject is legal, so the authorities are the ones deciding what is legally right. Their authority is that their job is to interpret what is legally right. This isn't like the FAA saying that cell phones can be a danger to aircraft avionics where we can point to testing and prove it is not so.
Your argument being that they don't have enough to go on is moot. They are the ones who decide if they have enough to go on, and they have decided repeatedly that they do. If you believe them wrong, you'd have to have a strong legal argument to do so. You don't have one. They have the expertise, the information, and the compelling argument. So why is citing these an appeal to authority?
And where do you even get that I can't articulate what that knowledge (special is just a weasel word to try to mock here) could be? I've already given examples. However to expand, it need not be more 'evidence' per say. It could be a compelling logical argument, a wording of Assange's statements, legal minutia, or some other detail that just hasn't occurred to us. It could also be further supporting testimony or details not known to the public. This is speculation. It's also speculation that the authorities are all political motivated, inept, off tracks, or any combination thereof. You can put weight in some speculation for some speculation and dismiss other speculation for a variety of reasons, but I haven't found your dismissals (or other arguments for that matter) to be far off of weaksauce.
If you think there is enough evidence in this case to convict JA without secret magical knowledge you hypothesize the prosecutor has/can get, then we simply assess the evidence differently.
Staggering. I'm going to quote myself here. "And before you try to straw man me yet again, I'm not saying that Assange is definitely guilty or that what we know would be enough to convict. "
Tell me, why are you assuming the women are truthful and accurate and JA isn't if you are not injecting bias?
Two against one is reasonable, however, two women colluding against one is not. Whether they are truthful and accurate has been tainted by their collusion. Life's not fair.
I don't assume that. I feel that they have enough evidence to keep pursuing an investigation based on what is available and that they might have enough for charges with a bit more that they may or may not already have. I've explained before some reasons as to why I find their account plausible and why I find your dismissals standard rape apologetics. For instance you believe that they having not come forward till they found out about each other as evidence for them being either jealous and/or colluding. Well that's not necessarily so, and I find it less likely than common sexual assault dynamics. Victims often blame themselves, tell themselves it was something about them or that they did wrong, until they find out about
other victims. Then they know that it wasn't just them, and that other people can keep getting hurt if they don't act. In this case (in my assessment), it let them get up the courage to confront him for an HIV test, and then when he refused try to compel him to get one. You contest that they could have colluded to get back at him from jealous. That's possible, but I find it highly unlikely because they probably would have just accused him of rape rather than going in and then having to be latter told in effect, 'what he did was assault you know'.
ETA: Would you dismiss the testimonials in the Sanduski trial for the same reasons? Many people come forward only
after finding other victims.
I think JA's a creepy guy. I still think he has a right to be treated fairly.
I like some stuff Wikileaks has done but not everything. It has nothing to do with my thinking JA is a creepy guy.
So where's my bias here? It's my opinion I'm being more impartial than you are.
Of course you believe that. Your bias is the same one it always is. Whatever conclusion you come to first is right.
So what is my bias here? That I like some things Wikileaks has done but hate other things? That I generally argue
against assuming rape charges are true and point out the harm that false allegations can have? That I'm American?
Here's the funny thing. You and tyr_13 (quote below) both buy this. Isn't critical thinking supposed to enter the picture at some point? Here's tyr_13's take:
Now neither of you can articulate what the evidence is supposed to be, that would make a conviction plausible.
I articulated some possibilities above in this post and in my very first response to your speculation. Your high horse has come out though, so I doubt this is going to stay productive. You aren't the arbiter of critical thinking, and critical thinking has played a role in the reasoning laid out by the courts, by the prosecution, and by other posters in this thread.
Yet you both claim to believe, based only on the fact that a court is going ahead with an extradition attempt, that they must have secret evidence sufficient to plausibly convict.
No, not only and not 'must'.
I saw exactly the same reflexive kowtowing to the courts in the Amanda Knox and Lockerbie threads. People seriously argued that even though all the publicly available evidence said that the courts had gone haywire, the courts must still be right because they are courts and they must know something we don't.
Agreeing with the court's assessment and the reasoning is not 'reflexive kowtowing' any more than your disagreeing is 'reflexive denial'.
It's an unfalsifiable position, since no evidence can ever show that a prosecution has gone amok. If there's evidence for a conviction then a prosecution is justified, and if there is not evidence for a conviction then a prosecution is also justified because hey, secret evidence!
Oh? So how was it falsified in those other threads you reference? In other court cases? Of course it's falsifiable. In this case when charges are brought the evidence would be provided. In a court case the evidence is provided. See above about what I speculate this 'evidence' might entail.
As a critical thinker, I think the currently correct position is that based on the available evidence, this prosecution doesn't have anything like enough evidence to convict. Therefore the rational belief at this stage is that this prosecution doesn't have anything like enough evidence to convict. Hence the prosecution is probably misguided, politically motivated or otherwise off the rails.
As a critical thinker I've found some of your speculation plausible, and some of it I disagree with. Your position isn't unsupported or supported by rape apologitics, so I haven't been objecting as much besides to point out that it's speculation. I don't think they have enough based on what we know, hence the prosecution and courts probably knows more about both the facts and evidence of the case and of the legal principals of both countries than I do. Maybe they are misguided, politically motivated, or otherwise off the rails, but in my assessment that's less likely than my view of the evidence simply being wrong.
EDIT: They apparently believe they have enough to go on, so it's their job and duty to do so.