Akhenaten
Heretic Pharaoh
Certainly anecdotal information is of no use in scientifically proving the objective reality of the UFO phenomenon.
And to attempt to use it for that purpose is therefore pseudoscience.
Certainly anecdotal information is of no use in scientifically proving the objective reality of the UFO phenomenon.
You are being prejudicial and are failing to address the points made in my initial response to the misrepresentations.
On my point that the critical thinking approach does not rule out any evidence including anecdotal evidence and in that many ways anecdotal evidence is the best evidence there is. We can certainly discuss that.
If you are proposing that anecdotal evidence is not allowed in the process of critical thinking. I would simply disagree. Anecdotal information is based on experience and experience is part of the data set in critical thinking. Nowhere can I find that anecdotal evidence must be excluded as part of the process. What I do find is that the value of all evidence should be evaluated using the principles of critical thought, which although useful in the scientific method, is not the same as the scientific method itself.
Certainly anecdotal information is of no use in scientifically proving the objective reality of the UFO phenomenon. However this discussion does not have to end there. Anecdotal information can be useful for generating probabilities of what the truth might be, thereby providing clues as to what direction we should take in the pusuit of scientific proof. In this context, as I pointed out above, it is some of the best evidence there is. Trace evidence and other alleged samples have yielded nothing substantial.
To sum this up, if you are posing for the topic of discussion the current findings regarding the ojective reality of UFOs as proven using empirical evidence and the scientific method, then I concur that there is no such proof that the public is aware of. However in critical thinking, the next step for us would be to ask, what is the next best most reasonable course of action, and for that I simply propose that we consider the available information rather than dismiss it, and further suggest that anecdotal evidence is some of the best ( under the circumstances ) that we have. If on this basis you feel it is pointless to continue being engaged in the discussion, then perhaps you might pose some other topic of ufology we can consider.
j.r.
You are being prejudicial and are failing to address the points made in my initial response to the misrepresentations.
On my point that the critical thinking approach does not rule out any evidence including anecdotal evidence and in that many ways anecdotal evidence is the best evidence there is. We can certainly discuss that.
If you are proposing that anecdotal evidence is not allowed in the process of critical thinking. I would simply disagree. Anecdotal information is based on experience and experience is part of the data set in critical thinking. Nowhere can I find that anecdotal evidence must be excluded as part of the process. What I do find is that the value of all evidence should be evaluated using the principles of critical thought, which although useful in the scientific method, is not the same as the scientific method itself.
Certainly anecdotal information is of no use in scientifically proving the objective reality of the UFO phenomenon. However this discussion does not have to end there. Anecdotal information can be useful for generating probabilities of what the truth might be, thereby providing clues as to what direction we should take in the pusuit of scientific proof. In this context, as I pointed out above, it is some of the best evidence there is. Trace evidence and other alleged samples have yielded nothing substantial.
To sum this up, if you are posing for the topic of discussion the current findings regarding the ojective reality of UFOs as proven using empirical evidence and the scientific method, then I concur that there is no such proof that the public is aware of. However in critical thinking, the next step for us would be to ask, what is the next best most reasonable course of action, and for that I simply propose that we consider the available information rather than dismiss it, and further suggest that anecdotal evidence is some of the best ( under the circumstances ) that we have. If on this basis you feel it is pointless to continue being engaged in the discussion, then perhaps you might pose some other topic of ufology we can consider.
j.r.
Really?Uh ... never heard that one before. It would be pseudoskeptical of me to simply conclude they are doing pseudoscience ... so go ahead call me pseudoskeptical.
j.r.
Ufology, regarding this discussion, I have two questions for you:
What is your definition of the word "truth"?
What is your definition of the word "proven"?
Science studies, measures, tests and makes predictions from many transient phenomena, why are 'UFOs as aliens' any more transient than say super novas?Scientific proofs are very reasonable to believe because their statistics for successfully demonstrating practical results is very high. On the other hand, we cannot make precise predictions for things of a transient nature and therefore the predictions are less reliable. However they may still be more reasonable than they are less reasonable, and to determine this we have at our disposal the elements of critical thinking.
The problem with copy/pasting stuff from one thread to the other is that you end up getting all cross threaded.
This is the Pseudo-Science thread. Anyone attempting to use pure anecdotes in a scientific way to support the existence of something that is yet to be shown to exist is engaging in pseudo science.
The problem with copy/pasting stuff from one thread to the other is that you end up getting all cross threaded.
This is the Pseudo-Science thread. Anyone attempting to use pure anecdotes in a scientific way to support the existence of something that is yet to be shown to exist is engaging in pseudo science.
There could be exceptions provided the context is correct.
<wafflesnip>
None of them, however, apply here where the context is quite specifically 'ufology'.
Stop trying to muddy the water with irrelevant sidetracks about what might be the case if we were discussing something that we're not.
We obviously haven't collected enough anecdotes about Wall O' Waffle™ yet.ETA: I just checked Wikipedia and there is absolutely no entry for Wall O' Waffletm!
Truth:
I go with a tweak on the correspondence theory, that is to say something is true if it corresponds with the initial premise ... the tweak being that it must also be within the same context. For example it may be true that we won the lottery in a dream, but that doesn't make it true that the money is actually in our bank. Or it may be true that Superman has amazing powers in a fictional setting, but that doesn't mean that it is true in the context of reality.
Pharaoh, you've been around longer than I have. Are all UFOlogists poured from the same mold? The only two I know of seem to be WoWtm twins.
ETA: I just checked Wikipedia and there is absolutely no entry for Wall O' Waffletm!
ETA: I just checked Wikipedia and there is absolutely no entry for Wall O' Waffletm!
We obviously haven't collected enough anecdotes about Wall O' Waffle™ yet.
As soon as we have, it will start to exist.
How can the evidence for any of those things be “better”? Either there is evidential support for something or there is not. The evidence for any conjecture, claim or hypothesis (etc) must be assessed on its own merits.I'd say that the quality and quantity of anecdotal evidence for myths such as homeopathy and astrology, for example, is if anything better than that for UFOs being piloted by alien entities. It's just that in those cases it's easier to do experiments that show that the conclusions drawn by the hard of critical thinking from such evidence are mistaken.
Anecdotes are evidence – no matter what you may think of their quality. Of course the quality of any anecdotal evidence can be assessed and we have the knowledge and the methodological tools to do just that. As was the case with Pixel42 above, just because you personally don’t have that knowledge, does not mean it cannot be done.…you want critical thinking to be redefined in such a way that accepting anecdotes as evidence is acceptable.
If that is the case then there should be no significant difference between the ones we can explain and the ones we cannot explain on defined characteristics (such as speed, shape, etc).…we know that the vast majority of UFO reports were caused by people misperceiveing mundane objects so the ones we can't explain must be must be something real.
It is reasonable to assume that we don’t know all there is to know about physics and that advanced civilisations may have technologies that would seem to us indistinguishable from magic. We know this has happened in our own history – so what makes us so arrogant as to assume that we are the pinnacle of knowledge in that regard?Hey, are you saying physics is dead? How can you possibly know what will be the future discoveries of theoretical and experimental physics? How can you possibly know what technologies an advanced civilization might have? Maybe they have a tech that makes easier to travel through time than through the vast abyss between the stars! <-that's standard UFOlogy reasoning.
If you believe that psychosocial explanations for UFOs play a significant role, then you will be able to provide the evidence or logical argument demonstrating that to be the case. There is no doubt that psychosocial factors will play a role – but the significance of that role will only be determine by properly constituted research.You should actually have written that it’s the best explanation available.
I have no doubt that the explanations for UFOs will be derived from many factors, and of course misidentified mundane objects, hoaxes, delusions and psychosocial factors will figure among them. However, the body of unexplained cases begs the question: Are they the only explanations? And of course when those unexplained cases are examined and it is found that no such plausible mundane explanations are forthcoming, then that also begs a question: If not mundane, what then?You could even say you believe or think maybe there’s something else hidden among the unreliable pile of tales which compose UFO lore.
One can legitimately propose hypotheses (speculate) - but as for “belief” - if the belief is to be anything other than merely faith-based, then those hypotheses must be tested according to accepted scientific standards before one can come to any conclusions.It would be a speculation, a statement of belief.
I have no idea what “PSH” is - nevertheless, the multiple eye witness, the radar, the film and photographic and the physical trace evidence cannot simply be dismissed with the proverbial wave of a hand as “lore”. To do that one must have the evidence and logical argument to support the contention. Do you have that?Now, if you are approaching the subject with critical thinking, then you can not say is that UFO lore supports ETH or anything other than the PSH.
According to the largest official study of its kind, the Battelle Study, more than 20% of UFO cases defy plausible mundane explanation (http://www.ufocasebook.com/pdf/specialreport14.pdf).Please allow me to correct that sentence of yours: That would be true if we had a significant proportion of cases that simply defy plausible mundane explanation. We don’t have them.
Anecdotes are evidence – no matter what you may think of their quality. Of course the quality of any anecdotal evidence can be assessed and we have the knowledge and the methodological tools to do just that. Just as was the case with Pixel42 and Turgor above, merely because you personally don’t have that knowledge, does not mean it cannot be done.We would only have them if we lowered the evidence reliability bar to include unconfirmed anecdotes. We would have to accept the anecdotes’ contents as they were presented to build this body of cases. This would not be critical thinking, this would be pseudoscience.
How does critical thinking show us that? It is not critical thinking (nor has it ever been, nor will it ever be critical thinking) to assert a mere statement of belief (an unfounded assertion) and expect that the mere statement of the belief will somehow magically confer veracity on it.Again, the correct use of critical thinking shows there’s no such a body of cases.
Anyone may legitimately propose any hypothesis they like. The mere proposal of an hypothesis is niether scientific nor pseudoscientific. It is the methodology of support for that hypothesis that may be considered pseudoscientific. If a claimant states that they have used the methodology of science to support any hypothesis - when they have in fact not done so - then that is pseudoscientific. Nothing more, nothing less.By the way, those UFOlogists showing up at certain UFO TV shows claiming Kecksburg incident was caused by a Nazi time machine… They are doing pseudoscience, right?
Scientific methodology can be applied to the study of many things. History for example is not a science, yet it applies scientific methodologies and often relies on anecdotal evidence to draw its conclusions. You would not consider History an illegitimate discipline of study and research would you?Science studies, measures, tests and makes predictions from many transient phenomena, why are 'UFOs as aliens' any more transient than say super novas?
<SNIP>So you just make your definition of truth so weaselly that you can dishonestly apply it to anything any way you like. That's, well, dishonest. Notice a common theme here? And please spare us the GeeMack-is-a-meanie nonsense. You're not being persecuted. You're being caught. Notice that everyone else has busted your arguments-by-dishonesty, too?
I have no doubt that the explanations for UFOs will be derived from many factors, and of course misidentified mundane objects, hoaxes, delusions and psychosocial factors will figure among them. However, the body of unexplained cases begs the question: Are they the only explanations? And of course when those unexplained cases are examined and it is found that no such plausible mundane explanations are forthcoming, then that also begs a question: If not mundane, what then?
I've assessed the evidence for Santa Claus and it is more compelling than any evidence you've presented for UFOs as pseudoaliens. You were unable to mount a defense against it but it is still there if you care to give it a go.How can the evidence for any of those things be “better”? Either there is evidential support for something or there is not. The evidence for any conjecture, claim or hypothesis (etc) must be assessed on its own merits.
If however you are claiming to have assessed the evidence for homeopathy (or astrology) and have found it to be more compelling than the evidence for UFOs, then you will be able to support that contention with evidence or logical argument. The mere statement that such evidence is “better “ does not somehow magically make it so.
Wanting anecdotes to equal pseudoaliens is not critical thinking.If in fact you intended the logic of your argument to be that because it is easier to research one thing as opposed to another, and that then has a bearing on the quality of the available evidence, then you are sadly mistaken. The difficulty of conducting research has no bearing whatsoever on either the existence or the quality of evidence.
If you are proposing that there exist some hypotheses that are untestable (UFOs = ET), then it is actually impossible (not just difficult) to directly conduct research according to that hypothesis. However, we may still be able to construct falsifiable hypotheses to test the underlying assumptions of the untestable hypothesis, and thus approach the problem indirectly. While this can never result in a proof of the hypothesis, if it can be shown that the underlying assumptions are sound, then that means that the hypothesis is at the very least a plausible hypothesis.
Once again, it is critical thinking that can provide resolutions to seemingly intractable problems. But of course critical thinking alone does not guarantee the ability to come to a solution – that often also takes expertise in the area of investigation and in the methodology of science and of how to practically apply it.
Can you give an example of an anecdote?Just because you personally (Pixel42) may not be able see any solutions or a way forward, does not mean that those solutions or ways forward do not exist.
Anecdotes are evidence – no matter what you may think of their quality. Of course the quality of any anecdotal evidence can be assessed and we have the knowledge and the methodological tools to do just that. As was the case with Pixel42 above, just because you personally don’t have that knowledge, does not mean it cannot be done.
Which is an idiotic thing to say. You are now claiming that all mundane explanations that will ever be discovered as the cause of UFOs have been discovered. Why do you think such an idiotic thing after your flaw in thinking has been pointed out to you?If that is the case then there should be no significant difference between the ones we can explain and the ones we cannot explain on defined characteristics (such as speed, shape, etc).
Your idiotic one?Are you willing to test that null hypothesis in order to see if your beliefs in that regard are supported? No?
"We don't know everything, therefore pseudoaliens" is no way to go through life, son.It is reasonable to assume that we don’t know all there is to know about physics and that advanced civilisations may have technologies that would seem to us indistinguishable from magic. We know this has happened in our own history – so what makes us so arrogant as to assume that we are the pinnacle of knowledge in that regard?
There is nothing in our current body of knowledge that says aliens are visiting us.Nevertheless there is nothing in our current knowledge of physics that precludes interstellar travel.
HOAX. Have you forgotten your total smackdown over Delphos so soon, where you said that it defied plausible mundane explanation?I have no doubt that the explanations for UFOs will be derived from many factors, and of course misidentified mundane objects, hoaxes, delusions and psychosocial factors will figure among them. However, the body of unexplained cases begs the question: Are they the only explanations? And of course when those unexplained cases are examined and it is found that no such plausible mundane explanations are forthcoming, then that also begs a question: If not mundane, what then?
Yes, you have a religion-like belief in pseudoaliens because you are a pseudoscientist who shows now evidence of thinking critically about his pet pseudoscience.One can legitimately propose hypotheses (speculate) - but as for “belief” - if the belief is to be anything other than merely faith-based, then those hypotheses must be tested according to accepted scientific standards before one can come to any conclusions.
I've tried to counsel you to stop but you will continue with it.Can you not see that the mere statement of unfounded assertions in the expectation that the mere statement of them will somehow magically confer veracity on them - does not constitute critical thinking?
Yep, still idiotic.“If the UFO debunkers are correct in that UFOs are merely misidentified mundane objects, then there should be no difference on defined characteristics (speed, shape, etc) between reports that have been identified as mundane objects and those reports that have not.”
I searched the pdf for the words "defy", "plausible" and "mundane" and it returned no matches. Is this another one of your lies?According to the largest official study of its kind, the Battelle Study, more than 20% of UFO cases defy plausible mundane explanation (http://www.ufocasebook.com/pdf/specialreport14.pdf).
I'm sure your ability in that direction equals your ability to eliminate plausible mundane explanations.Anecdotes are evidence – no matter what you may think of their quality. Of course the quality of any anecdotal evidence can be assessed and we have the knowledge and the methodological tools to do just that. Just as was the case with Pixel42 and Turgor above, merely because you personally don’t have that knowledge, does not mean it cannot be done.
And yet you repeatedly do it despite my counsels to you to cease.How does critical thinking show us that? It is not critical thinking (nor has it ever been, nor will it ever be critical thinking) to assert a mere statement of belief (an unfounded assertion) and expect that the mere statement of the belief will somehow magically confer veracity on it.
Correct, it is your methodology that marks you as a pseudoscientist engaged in pseudoscience.Anyone may legitimately propose any hypothesis they like. The mere proposal of an hypothesis is niether scientific nor pseudoscientific. It is the methodology of support for that hypothesis that may be considered pseudoscientific. If a claimant states that they have used the methodology of science to support any hypothesis - when they have in fact not done so - then that is pseudoscientific. Nothing more, nothing less.
We obviously haven't collected enough anecdotes about Wall O' Waffle™ yet.
As soon as we have, it will start to exist.




All that effort to try and explain away the fact that no hard evidence of ET visitation exists when there should be lots of it by now if in fact it was occurring.Wall 'O Waffle © 2011 Akhenaten