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Is the narrow impeachment a tactical mistake by Democrats?

The Russian strategy only works if the election is extremely close. Hillary lost by a few votes in a few swing states. Between Russian Facebook ads, Hillary's rhetorical gaffes, Comey's weird-ass October surprise, the DNC emails, and Hillary's decision not to campaign in those states, it's impossible to say which combination of factors was actually necessary and/or sufficient to cost her the election. There's no reason to believe the Russians could possibly engineer a landslide in 2020, or even that their efforts will make much difference either way.

As you yourself pointed out, it doesn't take a landslide, just a few thousand votes in key states.
 

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