Is Mittens now unstoppable?

Sure. Obama will stop him. Just wait until the nation suffers a major blunt force "holy crap" when they find out how odd Mormonism is.
 
Bill Thompson said:
Sure. Obama will stop him. Just wait until the nation suffers a major blunt force "holy crap" when they find out how odd Mormonism is.
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Hey, you never answered my question in the other thread. Should the federal government revoke the Mormon Church's status as a legitimate religion?
 
It was money. It's always money. The Mittster thought he had the big mo going after Florida, spent like crazy in NV, and then paid no attention to these three. The GOP base in all three is pretty well split between the big cities (more moderate, generally) and the fundies in the exurban and rural areas. In a caucus, the motivated noisemakers can carry the day. The Mitt Machine sat on their checkbooks when they shouldn't have. They wouldn't have minded losing some traction to Gingrich in one, Paul in another, and Li'l Ricky in the other, but something gelled for Rick - the fundies had themselves a prayer meeting down in Texas a few weeks ago and decided to get behind Santorum - and it paid off in a temporary bonus.

Mitt's bank account won't be sleeping now. Santorum even acknowledged in his speech Tuesda that the results showed what it would be like without all the money that Mitt can throw into advertising - in short, he's telegraphing his next few losses in voting states, but will probably still show strong in the caucuses (except Maine - I believe that's a caucus, but Mitt's too strong in NE, I think).
 
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Quinn said:
The Santorum sweep officially made my day. Not because I support him or have an ounce of respect for him, but becase a GOP divided against itself makes me a happy camper.
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Yup. The GOP establishment is now getting its just desserts for hitching its wagon to the likes of the Religious Right and the Tea Party. The chickens are coming home to roost, and they're going to crap all over the place.

:popcorn1
 
JoeB said:
Bad news for Al Kerry down the road.

Link
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Good link. Nate Silver also has another good analysis of Romney's fail on Tuesday night...

G.O.P. Race Has Hallmarks of Prolonged Battle
... Mr. Romney has had deep problems so far with the Republican base, going 1-for-4 in caucus states where turnout is dominated by highly conservative voters. Mr. Romney is 0-for-3 so far in the Midwest, a region that is often decisive in the general election. He had tepid support among major blocks of Republican voters like evangelicals and Tea Party supporters, those voters making under $50,000 per year, and those in rural areas. Instead, much of his support has come from the wealthy areas that Charles Murray calls Super ZIPs — few of which are in swing states in the general election.

Meanwhile, polls show that a large number of Republicans have tepid enthusiasm for their field. And this has been reflected in the turnout so far, which is down about 10 percent from 2008 among Republican registrants and identifiers. ...
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I sense troubled waters ahead for Romney and the GOP.
 
JoeTheJuggler said:
There's the problem though: the majority of those who involved in selecting the GOP candidate are pro-lifers. You can cater to them to get the party's nomination, but then you stand little chance of winning the general election without changing your tune considerably.
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And changing that particular tune in the general election would really piss off those same pro-lifers.

Romney is putting himself between a rock and a hard place.
 
The Central Scrutinizer said:
Meaningless. Romney is the nominee.
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I agree. The problem is that there are many in the hard-right ranks (Religious Right and Tea Party types) who also think that "the fix is in" and that Romney 's going to be the nominee no matter what they do. And that both gets them angry at Romney and is going to depress turnout at the polls. A look at the turnout numbers is already evidence of this. And I have not yet spoken to a single Republican I know who is gung-ho for Romney... not one.

I think there is a very real sense among many Republicans that they are being used by the GOP establishment, in the sense that Romney is "the establishment's man" and that's the way it's going to be. And I think they are correct; I think this sort of thing has been going on for a long time in the GOP, but the difference is that now these people seem to be slowly waking up to this fact.
 
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What happens in the Middle-East could yet have a major impact both on this race and the election. If Israel were to bomb Iran to take out it's nucleur capacity (which some commentators are expecting) then how the various candidates reacts will have one impact, how the world reacts (especially to the US if it comes down heavily on Israel's side while the world looks swings against) and the economic impact that could have could make the outcomes less predictable.

I know it's a lot of "coulds" but otherwise I don't see an ultimate winner other than Obama as I suspect a lot of Republicans will sit on their hands whoever gets the nomination.

Steve
 
I went back to the polls to see if Santorum's wins in Minnesota, Missouri and Colorado had yet registered and got some rathr odd results. First of all, let's look at the polls:

Romney 34.3%
Gingrich 22.5
Santorum 18.5
Paul 14.0
undecided 10.7

So, Santorum's very close to Gingrich. However, in delegates won, he's ahead of Newt:

Romney 90 delegates
Santorum 44
Gingrich 32
Paul 13

Yet, while Newt is a bit behind Santorum in delegates, he's won nearly twice as many popular votes:

Romney 1,119,298 votes
Gingrich 838,352
Santorum 430,787
Paul 305,840

Go figure.
 
TimCallahan said:
I went back to the polls to see if Santorum's wins in Minnesota, Missouri and Colorado had yet registered and got some rathr odd results. First of all, let's look at the polls:

Romney 34.3%
Gingrich 22.5
Santorum 18.5
Paul 14.0
undecided 10.7

So, Santorum's very close to Gingrich. However, in delegates won, he's ahead of Newt:

Romney 90 delegates
Santorum 44
Gingrich 32
Paul 13

Yet, while Newt is a bit behind Santorum in delegates, he's won nearly twice as many popular votes:

Romney 1,119,298 votes
Gingrich 838,352
Santorum 430,787
Paul 305,840

Go figure.
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Florida. Gingrich did much better in Florida than Santorum by 300,000 votes, but got nothing to show for it because it's a winner take all state.
 
TimCallahan said:
I went back to the polls to see if Santorum's wins in Minnesota, Missouri and Colorado had yet registered and got some rathr odd results. First of all, let's look at the polls:

Romney 34.3%
Gingrich 22.5
Santorum 18.5
Paul 14.0
undecided 10.7

So, Santorum's very close to Gingrich. However, in delegates won, he's ahead of Newt:

Romney 90 delegates
Santorum 44
Gingrich 32
Paul 13

Yet, while Newt is a bit behind Santorum in delegates, he's won nearly twice as many popular votes:

Romney 1,119,298 votes
Gingrich 838,352
Santorum 430,787
Paul 305,840

Go figure.
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The bookies still have Romney with a sizable lead:

Bet $6 on M. Romney and win $1
Bet $6 on R. Santorum and win $36
Bet $6 on N. Gingrich and win $120
Bet $6 on R. Paul and win $150
.
.
Bet $6 on M. Rubio and win $2334
.
.
Bet $6 on S. Plain and win $3414
.
.
Bet $6 on M. Bachman and win $5694
 
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