Is ESP More Probable Than Advanced Alien Life?

[Daylightstar]

I knew you were going to say that.

I was in desperate need for such confirmation of my ESP powerzzz, which is why I sent my post to you in advance through ESP.

So, thank you for your confirmation of my amazing and powerful sooper special abilities.

 

[Daylightstar]

Forget null hypothesis.
...

Not when you keep mangling it.

 

[slyjoe]

Forget null hypothesis.

Ok. I just wanted to make sure you were using it correctly. Post 10 demonstrated you weren't

Is alien life impossible?
Is ESP impossible?

No and no. But see Daylightstar's posts about probabilities.

 

[Daylightstar]

That's not what I asked you:

Is it possible a wandering black hole will intersect the solar system? If so, what is your evidence?

This can not be determined.

E.T.A. in context of your original question whether such an event would take place in the next ten years.

 

[Gawdzilla Sama]

I was in desperate need for such confirmation of my ESP powerzzz, which is why I sent my post to you in advance through ESP.

So, thank you for your confirmation of my amazing and powerful sooper special abilities.

The hard part was remembering this event for the past 38 years. You got to work on your temporal aim.

 

[Daylightstar]

The hard part was remembering this event for the past 38 years. You got to work on your temporal aim.

I knew you could do it, I trusted you and you did not let me down.
You are fabulous

 

[Fudbucker]

Forget null hypothesis. It's not a statistics question. Bad terminology on my part. We're dealing with two hypotheses for which there is no evidence. (And if anyone claims they have evidence of advanced alien life, I would like to see a citation).

Let's talk burden of proof.

Where does the burden of proof lie, on the person who claims X is possible or X is impossible?

 

[Fudbucker]

This can not be determined.

E.T.A. in context of your original question whether such an event would take place in the next ten years.

Certainly it can be determined:

It is possible a wandering black hole can intersect the solar system. Are you claiming it's impossible???

 

[Daylightstar]

Forget null hypothesis. ...

Not when you keep mangling it.

 

[Fudbucker]

Ok. I just wanted to make sure you were using it correctly. Post 10 demonstrated you weren't

Let's assume I was.

No and no. But see Daylightstar's posts about probabilities.

OK, so ESP and alien life are possible.

Why do you think one is more probable than the other?

 

[Daylightstar]

Forget null hypothesis. It's not a statistics question. Bad terminology on my part. We're dealing with two hypotheses for which there is no evidence. (And if anyone claims they have evidence of advanced alien life, I would like to see a citation).

Let's talk burden of proof.

Where does the burden of proof lie, on the person who claims X is possible or X is impossible?

The person who goes against the null hypothesis, clearly.
The null hypothesis can not be put aside.

 

[Fudbucker]

Not when you keep mangling it.

Can you answer the question I asked?

A black hole intersecting the solar system in the next ten years. Possible or impossible? It's one or the other.

 

[Fudbucker]

The person who goes against the null hypothesis, clearly.
The null hypothesis can not be put aside.

Daylightstar, You're avoiding a very simple question:

Cosmologist A claims other universes might exist. Cosmologist B claims it's impossible other universes exist.

Who has the burden of proof?

 

[Daylightstar]

Certainly it can be determined:
...

How would you go about determining:

... that a wandering black hole will intersect the solar system in the next ten years?
...

 

[Daylightstar]

Daylightstar, You're avoiding a very simple question:

Cosmologist A claims other universes might exist. Cosmologist B claims it's impossible other universes exist.

Who has the burden of proof?

The first statement assigned to cosmologist A is not an actual claim. Please correct your query.

 

[Fudbucker]

How would you go about determining:

Could you quote me correctly? I asked if it's possible that a black hole will intersect the solar system in the next ten years.

The question is easily answered: "Yes", it's possible or "No", it's impossible.

My answer is, Yes, of course it's possible. Do you disagree with my answer?

 

[Daylightstar]

Daylightstar, You're avoiding a very simple question:
...

Oh, by the way, I answered your question as meaningfully as possible.

 

[Daylightstar]

Could you quote me correctly? I asked if it's possible that a black hole will intersect the solar system in the next ten years.

The question is easily answered: "Yes", it's possible or "No", it's impossible.

My answer is, Yes, of course it's possible. Do you disagree with my answer?

Does that mean that you have intentionally changed your original question to a trimmed version?
You can if you want to, I'm just querying.

 

[Fudbucker]

The first statement assigned to cosmologist A is not an actual claim. Please correct your query.

Asserting the possibility of something certainly is a claim. In modal logic terms, cosmologist A is claiming that there exists at least one possible world where multiple universes exist.

If asserting the possibility of something isn't a claim, then what would the response be to a scientist who says Young Earth Creationism is possibly true?

 

[Daylightstar]

Could you quote me correctly? I asked if it's possible that a black hole will intersect the solar system in the next ten years.
...

I notice you have changed back to the 'full' question again, which means I quoted you correctly.

You have not answered my question (in embedded link) about how you would determine the event you mentioned: