Maybe not. But these situations are vanishingly rare to find in news reports in Britain. To imply that they're actually very common (and that that is because householders are unlikely to be armed) is simply unsustainable.
A possible counter to that is that common occurrences are not newsworthy. England & Wales combined have one of the highest residential burglary rates of countries surveyed in the
ICVS, and if the percentage of "hot" (but non-"home invasion") burglaries were that high, they ought to be fairly common. Just like the papers don't report every car crash, they might not bother with "hot" burglaries unless someone was seriously hurt.
So no, 40% of our burglaries are not what Euromutt meant by "hot burglaries", [...]
Can you present any evidence to that effect, other than the newspapers' disinterest? I'm not saying you're necessarily incorrect, but then how do you explain that in the
Home Office Statistical Bulletin Crime in England and Wales 2007-2008, we find the following:
• Households with no home security measures were around ten times more likely to have been victims of burglary than households where there were simple security measures such as deadlocks on doors or window locks (25.0% compared with 2.3%) (Table 4.01).
• Households that had been a victim of burglary were less likely to have any home security measures (67%) than those households that had not been a victim of burglary (97%) (Table 4.02).
With entry under false pretenses, like the cases you describe, it wouldn't make a difference if there were deadbolts, window locks, alarm systems, etc. because the burglars (and you are correct "burglary" under English law does not necessarily require
breaking in) gain access by conning the occupant into letting them in, thus bypassing any security measures.
[...] and there is no evidence at all to be found from these statistics that "the availability of firearms to private citizens prevents more crimes than it facilitates."
I should clarify here: my statement about the comparative percentages of "hot" burglaries was in response to
Dictator Cheney's question about whether the US had fewer burglaries than countries with lower gun ownership levels. It was not intended to be part of my response to
Oliver's query which I addressed subsequently.
The fact is that there are plenty of countries which have highly restrictive gun laws, and also have lower rates of residential burglary than the US; Germany and the Netherlands are two of them. So it's not as if a high rate of gun ownership prevents burglary overall. But that's readily explicable by the fact that if there's nobody home, it's impossible for a household member to use a firearm to scare off or incapacitate an intruder. In that regard, therefore, it's notable that,
as criminologist David Kopel has described:
It is axiomatic in the United States that burglars avoid occupied homes. As an introductory criminology textbook explains, “Burglars do not want contact with occupants; they depend on stealth for success.” Only thirteen percent of U.S. residential burglaries are attempted against occupied homes.
[...]
The introductory American criminology textbook states, “Opportunities for burglary occur only when a dwelling is unguarded.”
[...]
American burglars tend to “work” at hours when persons are unlikely to
be in the home. Consistent with the desire to avoid a personal confrontation,
burglars prefer houses, such as those on corners, where the risks of being observed by a neighbor are reduced. Two hours are spent on the average suburban burglary; most of that time is spent “casing the joint” to ensure that no one is home.
These points help explain why many Americans
do treat the terms "hot burglary" and "home invasion" as if they were synonymous: given that is the norm for American burglars to hit houses where nobody's home, when they
do strike an occupied dwelling, it's taken as read that at least part of the intent is to harm the occupants.
Now, do bear in mind that I'm not claiming that these "hot" burglaries in Britain are "home invasions"; I'm sure that in the bulk of cases, all the burglar is after is material goods, and he's counting partly on stealth to avoid detection, and if that fails, on the reluctance of the occupants to do anything except sit tight in the bedroom, dial 999, and wait for the police. Another point that comes up in the HOSB is that:
Households consisting of a single adult and child(ren) (6.4%) were more likely to have been a victim of burglary compared with all other household types.
A single adult with child(ren) is most likely to be a female, and therefore less likely to seek confrontation even if she's aware of the intruder's presence.