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Hurricane Ophelia on its way to the UK..!

Vixen

Penultimate Amazing
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Cool. The UK is about to get its own Hurricane, aptly named 'Ophelia'.

A nice Shakespearean touch.

We can expect British understated 'gusts' of up to 80 mph. And some warm weather, albeit wet.

So, people can no longer level the argument at moi that 'You've never experienced a hurricane; come back when you have'.

According to The National Hurricane Centre, Ophelia is a 'rare category 3':

11:00 AM AST Sat Oct 14
Location: 34.8°N 26.6°W
Moving: NE at 25 mph
Min pressure: 960 mb
Max sustained: 115 mph
 

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I was in SE England during the 1987 storm. It was a bit windy, but 1968 in SW Scotland was far worse (I was there too). Let's see what happens this time.
 
Hurricane Ophelia is actually on its way to Ireland, not the UK. Its due to hit the south west coast of Ireland at about midday on Monday.
 
Your version is an urban myth.

The one quoted by Matthew Best is an urban myth as Michael Fish has always maintained the clip people like to show is actually him referring to the Florida area:


BBC meteorologist Michael Fish drew particular criticism for reporting several hours before the storm hit:

"Earlier on today, apparently, a woman rang the BBC and said she heard there was a hurricane on the way; well, if you're watching, don't worry, there isn't, but having said that, actually, the weather will become very windy, but most of the strong winds, incidentally, will be down over Spain and across into France."[30]

Fish has subsequently claimed that his comments about a hurricane had nothing to do with the UK; they referred to Florida, USA, and were linked to a news story immediately preceding the weather bulletin, but had been so widely repeated out of context that the British public remains convinced that he was referring to the approaching storm. According to Fish, the woman in question was actually a colleague's mother who was about to go on holiday in the Caribbean, and had called regarding (the already long-dissipated) Hurricane Floyd to see if it would be safe to travel.[31] Fish has also claimed that "nobody phoned up" and that she was a "non-existing woman", apparently contradicting the previous declaration, when interviewed about Anita Hart's claims of being the woman who made the call.[32]

Fish went on to warn viewers that it would be "very windy" across the south of England, but predicted that the storm would move further south along the English Channel and the British mainland would escape the worst effects. The remainder of his warning is frequently left out of re-runs, which only adds to the public's misconception of that day's forecasting. His analysis has been defended by weather experts. In particular, the lack of a weather ship in the Southwest Approaches, due to Met Office cutbacks,[33] meant the only manner of tracking the storm was by using satellite data, as automatic buoys had not been deployed at the time.

Ironically, earlier forecasts as far back as the preceding weekend had correctly identified that gale force winds would affect Southern England. However, later runs of the model had indicated a more southerly track for the low pressure system, incorrectly indicating that the strongest winds would be confined to Northern and Central France. The French meteorological office used a different computer weather model to the British, and the French model proved more accurate in predicting the severity of the storm in the Channel.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Storm_of_1987

As France was hit and they accurately predicted the gale force winds, it shows my memory probably is correct. Bearing in mind it is an anecdote, not a verbatim quote.
 
Hurricane Ophelia is actually on its way to Ireland, not the UK. Its due to hit the south west coast of Ireland at about midday on Monday.

Northern Ireland, Scotland and Wales have declared independence...?

Yes, it is mostly likely to hit the West coast of Ireland the hardest. Met Eireann has upgraded its Amber alerts to Red, and to include Limerick and Waterford.

Many schools will be closed, but I wonder if enough emergency warnings have been given. Should there not be an evacuation along the coastal areas, where waves are predicted to hit 35 ft high. In the USA such evacuations and flash flood warnings are routine.

Anyway, take care, our Irish friends.

I should add, at the time I wrote the OP, charts seemed to predict it to be slap bang on top of the UK, although obviously it would be approaching from the SW going North Eastwards.
 
Northern Ireland, Scotland and Wales have declared independence...?

Yes, it is mostly likely to hit the West coast of Ireland the hardest. Met Eireann has upgraded its Amber alerts to Red, and to include Limerick and Waterford.

Many schools will be closed, but I wonder if enough emergency warnings have been given. Should there not be an evacuation along the coastal areas, where waves are predicted to hit 35 ft high. In the USA such evacuations and flash flood warnings are routine.

Anyway, take care, our Irish friends.

I should add, at the time I wrote the OP, charts seemed to predict it to be slap bang on top of the UK, although obviously it would be approaching from the SW going North Eastwards.

I don't think enough warnings have been given. We're not used to finding ourselves in the path of a hurricane, so I doubt the authorities are half as prepared as they should be.
 
Northern Ireland, Scotland and Wales have declared independence...?


I wish.

The west of Scotland caught the tail of a hurricane in 1968. It was pretty rough. Might be a similar situation by tommorow.
 
So, people can no longer level the argument at moi that 'You've never experienced a hurricane; come back when you have'.

Aw, bless.

It's like when people in the Pacific Northwest get all excited about a cluster of 3.5 earthquakes. Meanwhile their friends and relatives in Southern California literally don't get out of bed for anything less than a 5.0.
 
Aw, bless.

It's like when people in the Pacific Northwest get all excited about a cluster of 3.5 earthquakes. Meanwhile their friends and relatives in Southern California literally don't get out of bed for anything less than a 5.0.

You think we're over reacting? I hope you're right, Ireland has gone into hibernation for tomorrow - all schools and colleges closed, public transport cancelled, shops closed, planes grounded, the works.

I suppose we'll all feel a bit silly if it turns out to be just a bit of wind, but at least we all have the day off work.

There's no wind at all here at the moment, if anything its eerily still.
 
You think we're over reacting? I hope you're right, Ireland has gone into hibernation for tomorrow - all schools and colleges closed, public transport cancelled, shops closed, planes grounded, the works.

I suppose we'll all feel a bit silly if it turns out to be just a bit of wind, but at least we all have the day off work.

There's no wind at all here at the moment, if anything its eerily still.

Better to feel a little silly than to feel nothing cuz yer dead! Best wishes for a successful outcome with no deaths and minimal damage.
 
You think we're over reacting? I hope you're right, Ireland has gone into hibernation for tomorrow - all schools and colleges closed, public transport cancelled, shops closed, planes grounded, the works.

I suppose we'll all feel a bit silly if it turns out to be just a bit of wind, but at least we all have the day off work.

There's no wind at all here at the moment, if anything its eerily still.

I live in Louisiana and have been through what feels like countless hurricanes. When I saw the news story of Ophelia heading to the UK and the press it was generating, my initial reaction was to question the power of this particular storm. I was shocked at the amount of press this is getting for what is predicted to be a strong depression.

Then I pulled my head out of my rear and realized I AM USED TO IT AND THESE PEOPLE AREN'T. Makes a huge difference.

Good luck. Everything should be ok. Best wishes.
 
I'm not changing my plans because of it. I'm expecting a strong gale though.

We do from time to time have strong gales that cause structural damage and this is expected to be one of them. It's appropriate that people are warned. It could be as bad as 1987 in SE England, or even as bad as 1968 SW Scotland. Neither of these was of New Orleans or Puerto Rico proportions but quite a lot of damage was caused nevertheless.

(If my childhood memory is correct the 1968 hurricane-remnant was also a Monday, but it arrived earlier in the day. My parents kept me home from school in the morning, but by the afternoon it had quietened and I insisted on going to school - 20 miles away by train - because Monday was orchestra practice after school and I didn't want to miss it. Funny thing, tonight is orchestra practice here after work. I expect I'll go.)
 

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