casebro
Penultimate Amazing
- Joined
- Jun 14, 2005
- Messages
- 19,788
None of your cites seem to mention anything about 'widow makers', by which I assume you mean the 50% of heart attacks that are 'sudden death'. I suspect the acute cause is a clot, mostly prevented with aspirin, but I don't recall ever reading about decreases in 'widow makers' in any study. More data mining may show that.
Your cites all look like sub sets of patients, probably data mined from the usual "statins = good for some patients so we all ought to be taking them" studies. Yet NNT is 1,000. And since my concern is that I am only ONE, the chances of me gaining anydamnthing from statins are a thousand to one against me. But the medicos HAVE to treat based on those population studies. Why, they have 300 million patients, which means they will 'save' 300,000 lives this year! But the death rate is still ONE, and those 300.000,000 will average a few hours longer lives for all of that.
The big picture as see it is that to treat those 1,000 patients to postpone (not prevent) one death from this year to next year, costs about $50,000 dollars. So using those big numbers, the average stain patient will live 1/1000 year longer, per year of treatment. Or, 20 year of treatment = about one week each. That is the basis for treating large numbers. Now, take a drop of my blood for some testing, (genetic?) and tell me that I am that one guy in 1000, and I'll take the damn drug.
I had dinner last month with 5 gray haired men. All five of us sitting at the table had had statin myopathy. Other readings mention cardiac care clinics where 50% of the doctors' time is spent treating statin side effects. Yet the drug companies claim 'myopathy is rare' and as a for instance, the 4S study had 18,000 patients to begin, and 500 left at five years. 95% drop out rate, how can they claim 'rare' side effects? How can they claim anything? Voodoo math.
In America, we spend $8,000 per year average for health care. We live 76 years, that s $600.000 per person over their lives. We live 10 years longer than we did in 1960. Those ten years cost us $60,000 each. Can we afford that, on an average income of $15,000? (man, woman, child, retiree?) Looks to me like the QALY of our total health car is $60,000. But you want us to spend $50,000 for statins alone? And BP treatment is $40,000 QALY, Guardasil vaccine is $47,000, pretty soon we have to ration, just to afford antibiotics, with a QALY of $12.
Your cites all look like sub sets of patients, probably data mined from the usual "statins = good for some patients so we all ought to be taking them" studies. Yet NNT is 1,000. And since my concern is that I am only ONE, the chances of me gaining anydamnthing from statins are a thousand to one against me. But the medicos HAVE to treat based on those population studies. Why, they have 300 million patients, which means they will 'save' 300,000 lives this year! But the death rate is still ONE, and those 300.000,000 will average a few hours longer lives for all of that.
The big picture as see it is that to treat those 1,000 patients to postpone (not prevent) one death from this year to next year, costs about $50,000 dollars. So using those big numbers, the average stain patient will live 1/1000 year longer, per year of treatment. Or, 20 year of treatment = about one week each. That is the basis for treating large numbers. Now, take a drop of my blood for some testing, (genetic?) and tell me that I am that one guy in 1000, and I'll take the damn drug.
I had dinner last month with 5 gray haired men. All five of us sitting at the table had had statin myopathy. Other readings mention cardiac care clinics where 50% of the doctors' time is spent treating statin side effects. Yet the drug companies claim 'myopathy is rare' and as a for instance, the 4S study had 18,000 patients to begin, and 500 left at five years. 95% drop out rate, how can they claim 'rare' side effects? How can they claim anything? Voodoo math.
In America, we spend $8,000 per year average for health care. We live 76 years, that s $600.000 per person over their lives. We live 10 years longer than we did in 1960. Those ten years cost us $60,000 each. Can we afford that, on an average income of $15,000? (man, woman, child, retiree?) Looks to me like the QALY of our total health car is $60,000. But you want us to spend $50,000 for statins alone? And BP treatment is $40,000 QALY, Guardasil vaccine is $47,000, pretty soon we have to ration, just to afford antibiotics, with a QALY of $12.