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Merged How does the Skeptic Community (tm) define what is a Conspiracy Theory?

You're right, I don't know what they do outside of this section of the forum, but that is irrelevant to their behavior in this section.

Our "behaviour" is consistent with skepticism: we want convincing evidence, or we express skepticism of a claim, and do not accept it.

That is why Aepervius pointed to the Tuskegee experiment as an example of the US government behaving nefariously, why plenty of posters have noted their disbelief in WMDs in Iraq and belief that the Bush administration and Blair government spun the intelligence for WMDs to make a case for war. These claims have an empirical basis and they have convincing evidence to support them.

Yes, because every nefarious or illegal thing ever done by the enormously powerful have all been neatly documented for public scrutiny...:rolleyes:

No matter how suspicious you are of the 'enormously powerful', you still have to pony up evidence to make an accusation stick.

Despite your vague handwaving about 'the enormously powerful', the overwhelming majority of conspiracy theories concern actions supposedly conducted by the US government, not business elites or foreign governments.

The typical CT discussed in this section rejects documentation in favour of a fantasy explanation. Pretty much any terrorist act, or any mass shooting, is labelled a false flag, denying that terrorist movements and mass murderers might have any agency of their own, and reducing them at best to puppets of some other power.

History is a double-edged sword here. Over time, nefarious and arguably illegal acts by past governments and other elite groups come to light because details are declassified, leaked, or revealed. That is how the Tuskegee experiment came to light, for example. But CTs are not interested in working out whether there are unknown crimes during the Hoover administration or committed by the founding fathers of Harvard, they are focused on the present.

On the other hand, CTs have an appallingly bad track record of making past accusations stick. In the 1950s the Alaska Mental Health Act was the FEMA death camps sensation of the day, for the right wing. There was nothing to it. Indeed, 'FEMA death camps' has been around long enough that it too must be regarded as a product of CT hysteria, a groundless claim asserted to stoke up fear and justify claims of the conspiracist Rapture.

This is why skeptics are skeptical of everything coming out of Alex Jones' mouth, just as they are skeptical of an evangelical fruitcake predicting the end of the world.
 
And it is in the shadows of this admitted absence of evidence that conspiracy theories are born.

The stonewalling of information is not my go-to key initiator of a legitimate conspiracy theory, but it is for some. Curious how information that is being knowingly withheld is never of much importance to people such as yourself. It is, after all, absence of evidence. I've been very open about the shortcomings on either side, they are obvious enough to see and I hold no claim to perfection. Therein lies a core component of these lively exchanges: concessions to that effect are not made by you or your side. While you know that you're arguing with an incomplete set of facts, you decide that the missing facts are not important. This leap of faith is downplayed or ignored at every turn, but alas, it is written all over this place.
 
And it is in the shadows of this admitted absence of evidence that conspiracy theories are born.

Yes, and it looks like going straight to Stage II, as JayUtah mentioned:

"The second stage applies a much lower standard of proof, and generally an indirect methodology, toward any of several alternate narratives with the goal of showing them merely to be plausible -- not that they actually happened. "

Jango's "indirect methodology" here is blatant. Having established (not really, he'd just like to think so) that The Conspiracists are extremely cunning and well-organised then any lack of evidence for the CT can be attributed to the CT itself. It's circular thinking.
 
The stonewalling of information is not my go-to key initiator of a legitimate conspiracy theory, but it is for some. Curious how information that is being knowingly withheld is never of much importance to people such as yourself. It is, after all, absence of evidence.

How do you know evidence is being withheld? Well, the short answer is you simply don't, but you need it to be true for the CT to have any merit. Therefore you're obliged to assume it's true.
 
The stonewalling of information is not my go-to key initiator of a legitimate conspiracy theory, but it is for some. Curious how information that is being knowingly withheld is never of much importance to people such as yourself. It is, after all, absence of evidence. I've been very open about the shortcomings on either side, they are obvious enough to see and I hold no claim to perfection. Therein lies a core component of these lively exchanges: concessions to that effect are not made by you or your side. While you know that you're arguing with an incomplete set of facts, you decide that the missing facts are not important. This leap of faith is downplayed or ignored at every turn, but alas, it is written all over this place.

You have ignored my requests for quotes to substantiate your claims about other members. OK, fine. Perhaps the question was too difficult, perhaps you are still looking- or perhaps you are deliberately stonewalling information!. :jaw-dropp
On the highlighted, though, I ask- with a depressing sense of futility- for you to quote anything I have posted that leads you to make such a conclusion.
 
You have ignored my requests for quotes to substantiate your claims about other members. OK, fine. Perhaps the question was too difficult, perhaps you are still looking- or perhaps you are deliberately stonewalling information!. :jaw-dropp
On the highlighted, though, I ask- with a depressing sense of futility- for you to quote anything I have posted that leads you to make such a conclusion.

Oh yeah, it's a conspiracy alright...
 
Yes, and it looks like going straight to Stage II, as JayUtah mentioned:

"The second stage applies a much lower standard of proof, and generally an indirect methodology, toward any of several alternate narratives with the goal of showing them merely to be plausible -- not that they actually happened. "

Jango's "indirect methodology" here is blatant. Having established (not really, he'd just like to think so) that The Conspiracists are extremely cunning and well-organised then any lack of evidence for the CT can be attributed to the CT itself. It's circular thinking.

That depends on who we're talking about. For instance, do you find that description to be valid or invalid when discussing intelligence agencies or military special forces?
 
Our "behaviour" is consistent with skepticism: we want convincing evidence, or we express skepticism of a claim, and do not accept it.

If you say so. There are many instances where a blank check written in faith is issued e.g. 'actionable intelligence' with 9/11. The government has claimed that it did not have said information. They have not proven this, but have instead withheld information of that variety to be released. The "skeptics" POV here over that is, "There was no actionable intelligence."

That is why Aepervius pointed to the Tuskegee experiment as an example of the US government behaving nefariously, why plenty of posters have noted their disbelief in WMDs in Iraq and belief that the Bush administration and Blair government spun the intelligence for WMDs to make a case for war. These claims have an empirical basis and they have convincing evidence to support them.

That's fine and good, and demonstrates a working knowledge of at least some U.S. History, but all too much what is known, such as what Aepervius cited is completely thrown out the window when looking at any of the legitimate conspiracies about the U.S. Nowhere in their rebuttals or exchanges on controversial U.S. events is there a hint of the slightest bit of suspicion. That is strikingly odd.

No matter how suspicious you are of the 'enormously powerful', you still have to pony up evidence to make an accusation stick.

Obviously.

Despite your vague handwaving about 'the enormously powerful', the overwhelming majority of conspiracy theories concern actions supposedly conducted by the US government, not business elites or foreign governments.

I consider the U.S. Government to be one of the most 'enormously powerful' institutions our species has ever known.

Business elites have a variety of conspiracy theories attributed to them, as do foreign governments.

The typical CT discussed in this section rejects documentation in favour of a fantasy explanation. Pretty much any terrorist act, or any mass shooting, is labelled a false flag, denying that terrorist movements and mass murderers might have any agency of their own, and reducing them at best to puppets of some other power.

Top shelf antics, as to be expected by the professionals like Jones who makes millions of dollars a year doing what he does. Him and others like him are not persuasive. However, when they cite accepted mainstream sources, it is those sources that are persuasive. Perhaps too nuanced for others here, but there is a sizable credibility gap between say Alex Jones and the New York Times. So when Jones or those like him go off the rail into no-source land that is generally always because there isn't a credible source for them to cite. When they do cite from sources like the NYT though, I at least give the NYT the respect to look at what they have to say. Sometimes they're the only major publication running any particular story, but sometimes, like with the Snowden leaks or 9/11, it is hard to find a publication that hasn't published extremely controversial information previously withheld, which often pops official lies.

History is a double-edged sword here. Over time, nefarious and arguably illegal acts by past governments and other elite groups come to light because details are declassified, leaked, or revealed. That is how the Tuskegee experiment came to light, for example. But CTs are not interested in working out whether there are unknown crimes during the Hoover administration or committed by the founding fathers of Harvard, they are focused on the present.

Not entirely. History is important. The house we live in now was designed and built before today. And I don't succumb to the idealistic notion that all bad things come to light eventually.

On the other hand, CTs have an appallingly bad track record of making past accusations stick. In the 1950s the Alaska Mental Health Act was the FEMA death camps sensation of the day, for the right wing. There was nothing to it. Indeed, 'FEMA death camps' has been around long enough that it too must be regarded as a product of CT hysteria, a groundless claim asserted to stoke up fear and justify claims of the conspiracist Rapture.

The internment camps of World War II were the FEMA camps of today. Re: FEMA camps, it is interesting to note that given a catastrophic enough event to unfold, the government (all levels) has the authority to intern people. 'Mandatory evacuations' is real too, which for a person refusing, feels like being renditioned.

This is why skeptics are skeptical of everything coming out of Alex Jones' mouth, just as they are skeptical of an evangelical fruitcake predicting the end of the world.

Right...because they have the authority, capabilities, resources and will to do whatever the hell they want to do to you...

Talk about ********** up priorities here, man.

If you want to be considered a 'skeptic', then be f'n skeptical with everyone. Or do you think it is better to be skeptical of a snake oil salesmen like Alex Jones rather then say, the Director of National Intelligence? Does the DNI get a free pass in your book, or are you skeptical of everything coming out of his mouth like you are with Alex Jones?
 

Mangled, rather. For the CT to have merit, it requires that specific information is being witheld, rather than that some information in general is being witheld, and that the content of that information supports the CT. It's not even necessary to address whether information is being witheld to show how specious that assumption is. To extend a common analogy, I don't actually need to prove there isn't an invisible dragon in your garage to show there's no merit to your claim that it has 347 scales on its left leg.

Dave
 
Mangled, rather. For the CT to have merit, it requires that specific information is being witheld, rather than that some information in general is being witheld, and that the content of that information supports the CT. It's not even necessary to address whether information is being witheld to show how specious that assumption is. To extend a common analogy, I don't actually need to prove there isn't an invisible dragon in your garage to show there's no merit to your claim that it has 347 scales on its left leg.

Dave

But it isn't an assumption to make when taking the position that the withheld information is irrelevant, right?
 
It seems what Jango is saying is something akin to this:

I don't like my neighbor very much. He has a criminal record, and has given me the evil eye a couple of times (in my opinion).

One day, I wreck my car. I immediately decide that my neighbor must have sabotaged my car. Now, my neighbor was supposedly out of town, but who really knows, right? Maybe that was all a cover so that he could sabotage my car.

When I later see facebook pictures of him in the Bahamas at the time of my crash, do I exonerate him? No. Clearly, the pictures have been photoshopped. This guy MUST have done it. He has a criminal record, and he gave me the evil eye! Twice!

That, to me, is an example of how I view a conspiracy theory. I'll consider anything at first, and see where the evidence leads me. Maybe my neighbor DID sabotage my vehicle. However, when I find out that he was out of town, and see the facebook pictures, I know my hypothesis is most likely incorrect and I'll move on. The CTer is married to this idea, though. They don't abandon a hypothesis.
 
It seems what Jango is saying is something akin to this:

I don't like my neighbor very much. He has a criminal record, and has given me the evil eye a couple of times (in my opinion).

One day, I wreck my car. I immediately decide that my neighbor must have sabotaged my car. Now, my neighbor was supposedly out of town, but who really knows, right? Maybe that was all a cover so that he could sabotage my car.

When I later see facebook pictures of him in the Bahamas at the time of my crash, do I exonerate him? No. Clearly, the pictures have been photoshopped. This guy MUST have done it. He has a criminal record, and he gave me the evil eye! Twice!

That, to me, is an example of how I view a conspiracy theory. I'll consider anything at first, and see where the evidence leads me. Maybe my neighbor DID sabotage my vehicle. However, when I find out that he was out of town, and see the facebook pictures, I know my hypothesis is most likely incorrect and I'll move on. The CTer is married to this idea, though. They don't abandon a hypothesis.
I see it more as:

I hate my neighbor. What can I find that will prove he's hateful? I may have to fabricate evidence, but that's okay, because the world needs to know that he's a bad person.
 
I would add that a CT persists even in the face of contradictory evidence.

It really doesn't matter what evidence is put forth, because the conspiracist will always find a way to dismiss it.
This.

In some cases a so called skeptic (SCS) will quickly define something as a conspiracy theory (CT) by measuring it against what they are told by an authority figure (AF) from a belief system (BS) or information cult (IC) in which the SCS has faith at the time.

In other cases an actual skeptic (AS) may apply actual critical thinking (ACT) before concluding they may never know what happened because they see that a corrupted information delivery system (CIDS) can be used by a BS IC AF as a public deception system (PDS) to deliver mass perception control (MPC) ie mind control (MC) by those in power corrupted by power (TIPCBP).

When confronted with multiple major IC BS AF via numerous official sounding CIDS AFs, an AS may perceive how widespread MPC/MC is as delivered by TIPCBP via their several major PDS agencies.
Is there an actual point buried under that silly word salad?
 
In other cases an actual skeptic (AS) may apply actual critical thinking (ACT) before concluding they may never know what happened [...]

Stop right there. We're talking about people who are absolutely convinced they do know what happened, even though it contradicts the evidence.

Dave
 

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