Interviewed a retired "expert" who mostly just agreed that we don't really know anything yet.
Rolfe.
Well, caution must of course be exercised. But I think there are things that we can now say are unlikely as causes (without ruling them out altogether).
I would say (and I personally know some people who have worked for the AAIB, and one who still does - though not on this case) that the AAIB's investigations have so far pretty much ruled out any sort of catastrophic failure of the engine, gearbox, final drive or shaft. By "catastrophic" failure, I mean the type of total failure that, in and of itself, would cause total loss of rotational power to the rotors.
The AAIB will have been able to examine (and possibly even test by this stage) the engine and gearbox, from which it is usually easy to tell whether or not there has been any major mechanical failure. There is of course the possibility that there was a partial mechanical failure or malfunction in the engine(s) or any of the drivetrain components, but not the sort of failure that would cause a helicopter to fall out of the sky with no powered flight.
Again, I'd come back to the supposition that the only two real possibilities for the crash now are catastrophic failure of fuel supply or some sort of pilot input. The AAIB have determined that neither rotor was under power at the time of impact. In the absence of engine or gearbox failure, this only points to those two possibilities: either there was some sort of manual disengagement of power to the two rotor sets, or both engines more-or-less-simultaneously stopped delivering rotational power. And if it's the latter, then by far the most likely causal factor is sudden fuel starvation to the engines. A possible other cause might be a near-total sudden loss of airflow to the engines, which is to say a massive bird strike. However, there would be clear evidence of any such strike within the engines, plus there's every change that the pilot would have been able to restart the engines in time. So I would provisionally rule out a bird strike.
Of course it bears repeating that all this is no more than informed speculation. But I certainly think that today's news from the AAIB has significantly narrowed down the possible list of causes of this fatal crash. Let's hope that the AAIB is in a position to release further information within the next couple of weeks - it should not take them too long to run full tests on the engines, the fuel management systems, and all the electrics and hydraulics.