Fast Eddie B
Philosopher
Funny, I’m just remembering them now!This forum has numerous necro threads such as, "Gold will be $1,500 per ounce" or "Gold will be $1,800 per ounce".
Funny, I’m just remembering them now!This forum has numerous necro threads such as, "Gold will be $1,500 per ounce" or "Gold will be $1,800 per ounce".
Yup gold is doing pretty well at the moment due to global uncertainty - which IMO overall is not a good thing. For the record, apart from the usual amount of jewellery and a few gold coins I don't have a gold hedge and therefore am apt to get a bit miffed when stocks are taking a beating and gold is doing well.
Then again. In 1994 I gave up £2,000 of salary to get some share options in the company I worked for. In 1999 these options were vested when the company was taken over and I received half the proceeds in cash, the other half in shares in the purchasing company.
The cash, after some significant capital gains tax, paid off the mortgage on the flat Mrs Don and I were living in at the time (IIRC £57k)
The shares have varied significantly in price. At their worst they were worth less than half of the price I "bought" them for. At their best they were around 6 times the original price. At the moment they're around three times the original price. Although there hasn't been phenomenal capital gains since 1999, I've been getting around £1,000 a year in dividends for the last 25 years.
We still own the flat (though we are in the process of selling it) and it delivers around £10,000 a year income net of expenses and has done for the last 13 years. It has also delivered around £300,000 in capital gains.
So a very lucky initial investment of £2,000 has delivered (directly and indirectly):
- £150k of shares
- £25k in dividends
- £130k in rental income
- £300k in property capital gains
A pretty good return IMO.
If someone wants to invest in the gold price, an alternative to buying gold is to buy a company that mines the gold. Not only will the share price go up and down with the gold price, it should pay a dividend.
I'm likely wrong, but isn't the price of gold directly linked to the value of the U.S. Dollar, and if that is the case, wouldn't the price of gold go up as the value of the dollar drops?
The local gold buyers in my area pay nothing near three grand an ounce for it, in fact most stopped buying as prices rose. Says a lot without words.
It's always possible that locally, a dealer might have more sellers than buyers at the current market price (ie they would not be able to sell all of the gold they buy).Interesting.
In my experience, dealers make money on the “spread” between the “buy” price and the “sell” price. They don’t typically sit on a horde and hope it appreciates - they’re not typical investors themselves.
It's always possible that locally, a dealer might have more sellers than buyers at the current market price (ie they would not be able to sell all of the gold they buy).
My uncle was a gold and silver dealer for close to 60 years and while he made money whether the price was going up or down due to the buy/sell spread, higher prices typically meant greater volume which meant more money for him - typically because most of his customers were hoarders who only ever added to their holdings.It's always possible that locally, a dealer might have more sellers than buyers at the current market price (ie they would not be able to sell all of the gold they buy).
That has always seemed crazy to me.Not directly linked I think.
(Not since 1971)
However, if the currency value drops, that looks like the price of other things going up, if the price is expressed in that currency.
Gold is sometimes called: 'the currency of destabilisation' because people buy gold when currency values fall, typically during war, unrest, etc.
It has bothered me that governments can declare gold (bullion, coins, shares) ownership to be illegal (I think this was true in the USA between 1930 and 1970).
So if things get really bad, there's a possibility that the government will just force you to sell your gold.
I own a little bit of iShares S&P/TSX Global Gold Index ETF in my retirement portfolio just for jollies and it has been on an upward trend for a fair time now but it will never make me rich.Another option is buying a mutual fund tied to gold and gold-related companies. One such…
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Advantages: Ease of investing, no need to store physical gold, at least small dividends paid which can automatically be reinvested. Makes it easy to make regular investments, taking advantage of dollar cost averaging.
Disadvantages: In the event of a cyberattack, getting funds out could be problematic. And no doubt there are some fees involved.
As an update, gold has held steady above $3,000/oz, currently at $3,331.
