Global Warming Policy Discussion

Carbon trading: Yet another Green program rife with fraud and scams:

Under the E.P.A. program, initiated in 2009, a producer who makes diesel fuel from vegetable oils and animal fats receives renewable energy credits for every gallon manufactured. The producer can then resell the credits to refiners, who pay millions of dollars for them under a government mandate to support a minimum level of production. The credits can also be resold, a commonplace activity in the arena of corporate compliance with federal environmental rules. The problem is that at least three companies were selling bogus credits without producing any biodiesel at all, the E.P.A. has said in announcements over the last year. . . .The credits are easier to counterfeit than hundred-dollar bills. Known as “renewable identification numbers,” or RINs, the 38-digit credits have no physical form and are traded electronically. Exxon Mobil, Marathon and Sunoco are among the many big companies that have bought bogus credits.

And the Greens keep telling us they should regulate the global economy. Yeah. I believe that.
 
very true, but what is the price for dumping CO2 into the atmosphere? and will US corporation financed Politicsters like Obama and co do this? can they do this against the will of their financiers?

There is the rub, it isn't that there are no possible ways to address these issues, its that even those who should be championing such efforts are still working for the people who pay for their elections not the common good of the citizens of the nation. It is unfortunate that more are not interested in the common good of all.
 
In addition to the points in my previous post Brazil has in fact introduced legislation and policies in order to keep biofuel production sustainable in the future. For example:

I don't see sustainability in their current operations, especially in a rapidly changing climate. (wiki is wiki, what do you want me to make that page say tomorrow?)

"CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS ON LATIN AMERICAN FARMLAND VALUES: THE ROLE OF FARM TYPE"
http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/bitstream/53872/2/1 artigo.pdf

"Effects of Climate Change in Brazilian Agriculture: Mitigation and Adaptation"
http://www.fao.org/fileadmin/user_upload/foodclimate/presentations/biodiv/Hilton-s.pdf

"Indirect land-use changes can overcome carbon savings from biofuels in Brazil"
http://www.pnas.org/content/107/8/3388.full

Please do not mistake my comments, I generally support biofuel production and do not discredit the advances and efforts the Brazilian system has brought to the conversation. That said the initial path taken, and the subsequent evolution of that path as it has altered, do not seem (long-term) sustainable in an era where climate change impacts are degrading the soils and the currently extrapolated expansions of production into the coming century and beyond.
 
I don't see sustainability in their current operations, especially in a rapidly changing climate. (wiki is wiki, what do you want me to make that page say tomorrow?)

"CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS ON LATIN AMERICAN FARMLAND VALUES: THE ROLE OF FARM TYPE"
http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/bitstream/53872/2/1 artigo.pdf

"Effects of Climate Change in Brazilian Agriculture: Mitigation and Adaptation"
http://www.fao.org/fileadmin/user_upload/foodclimate/presentations/biodiv/Hilton-s.pdf

"Indirect land-use changes can overcome carbon savings from biofuels in Brazil"
http://www.pnas.org/content/107/8/3388.full

Please do not mistake my comments, I generally support biofuel production and do not discredit the advances and efforts the Brazilian system has brought to the conversation. That said the initial path taken, and the subsequent evolution of that path as it has altered, do not seem (long-term) sustainable in an era where climate change impacts are degrading the soils and the currently extrapolated expansions of production into the coming century and beyond.
Thanks for links. Nothing in those studies says that biofuel production in Brazil is not sustainable. As I said it indeed is.

Yet it's possible that it might not be in the long-term future depending on effects of climate change, land usage and policies. Impacts of climate change may be such that expanding biofuel sugarcane production in the future might not be sustainable, expanding land usage (pasture) may render it not sustainable, plus those particular studies do not account for sea level rise.

But that does not change the fact that it currently is sustainable for at least foreseeable future. On long-term that has to be planned and dealt with.

(wiki is wiki, what do you want me to make that page say tomorrow?)
Yeah, a good one, delete everything and make it say "obladi oblada life goes on bra" 1000 times with maps, images and links to relevant scientific studies as sources for the observed facts of obladi and oblada. Post results here.
 
Thanks for links. Nothing in those studies says that biofuel production in Brazil is not sustainable. As I said it indeed is.

Yet it's possible that it might not be in the long-term future depending on effects of climate change, land usage and policies.

The definition of "sustainable," isn't ameniable to short-term conditionals and qualifications. By the nature of the term, if it isn't sustainable in the long-term, it isn't "sustainable," in any meaningful sense.

Yeah, a good one, delete everything and make it say "obladi oblada life goes on bra" 1000 times with maps, images and links to relevant scientific studies as sources for the observed facts of obladi and oblada. Post results here.

Point being, regardless of the references linked, the interpretation and analysis of the available science references provided on wiki is generally not being made by recognized authorities, nor has it been subject to peer-review by such authorities. It is little better than many of the board posts here. This isn't to say that wiki is useless, merely that it isn't reliable, nor necessarily an accurate, considered and objective representation of the topic addressed.
 
I'm pretty ignorant about biofuels although I can say with complete certainty that they are bad. Always! I don't need to have researched it to know any better, but I, and I am sure anyone here, can see I am not alone.

Okay, now kids, keep your eye on the claim:


No, it doesn't. Sugar cane can only be grown a few seasons on the poor soil, then it's slash and burn more forest to clear way for new sugar cane fuels. Once you start dumping fertilizer on fields to grow sugar cane you've lost the energy battle.

Aha! A counterclaim. A very clear and unambiguous one. It is this:

Brazil does not have a sustainable biofuel economy because it can only create enough biofuels by eradicating areas of forest that cannot be replenished. If true this disproves the claim that Brazil has a sustainable biofuel economy. Can WildCat's argument hold?

Well, apparently Brazil's sugarcane biofuels are NOT grown in the Amazon and instead on sustainable land. This is a bit of a body blow but WildCat strikes back with an argument from incredulity(1), and a quick special plead(2):

Sorry, I'm extremely skeptical of the claims of the Brazilian government. These are the same people who can't even stop illegal logging - and it's pretty damned impossible to have illegal logging unless lots of government officials are paid to look the other way.(1)

At any rate, Brazil can only meet its needs with sugar cane now because the country is poor and few people have cars. If they finally do become more prosperous (and Brazil was going to be "the next big thing" for 50 years now) they'll have to import oil.(2)

Sure, Brazil claims to have cracked down on slave labor, slash and burn, and deforestation, we shall see.

But Zap! WildCat's refusal to believe the Brazilian government turns out to be a red herring as the source of the evidence given wasn't the Brazilian government. So, WildCat strikes again with an Almighty Distractor!(3)

The reality is that Brazil can't even stop illegal logging.(3)

That should be a simple thing to solve, after all you can't hide a 40' log in a modified gas tank to smuggle it out, or build illegal logging roads without anyone noticing, or moving all the necessary massive equipment around in secret.

Illegal logging happens because the government officials tasked with stopping it are being paid off. And when the government is shown to be corrupt on this scale, well I'm certainly not going to accept their data at face value.

But Spin0's having none of it as he reminds WildCat of his earlier claim (in bold originally). So WildCat makes another attempt with a sneaky quotemine about an entirely different country. (4)

"Growing sugar cane has long been recognized as a threat to primary forest. Once the soil is exhausted, growers move on to exploit a new piece of land. Slash and burn agriculture can damage irreversibly the jungle’s capacity to renew itself."
http://www.un.org/webcast/864.pdf(4)

But dammit! Someone's spotted that WildCat has been bluffing and hoped that no one would figure out it wasn't about Brazil at all! There's only one thing for it. WildCat is going to pretend that Brazil is entirely irrelevant in the first place. (5)

Are you claiming that slash and burn in Panama is different somehow than slash and burn in Brazil? :boggled: (5)

It's the same everywhere you burn down rain forest to plant crops. Rain forest soils are poor, at best you get just a few seasons of crops.

And even growing sugar cane in the non-rain forest areas creates environmental problems.


http://www.greencarcongress.com/2012/09/tsao-20120924.html

And as far as Brazil's laws and corruption goes:
http://news.mongabay.com/2007/0821-cerrado.html#1grL6AR772cofH5x.99

You can have all the laws you want, but unless they're actually enforced they're meaningless.

But D'oh! Again WildCat's flailings and prevarications have been noticed. This would certainly ruin reputations for honest arguing in others, but fortunately WildCat still has one trick up his sleeve. Make a brazen attempt to pretend that biofuels was irrelevant to the discussion(7) and a nice cheap attempt at ridicule into the bargain(8).

"In 2004 it was estimated that, in Brazil alone, 500,000 small farmers were each clearing an average of one hectare of forest per year. The technique is not sustainable beyond a certain population density because, without the trees, the soil quality soon becomes too poor to support crops. The farmers have to move on to a virgin forest and repeat the process. Methods such as Inga alley farming have been proposed as an alternative to this ecological destruction.[4]"(7)

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Slash-and-burn

You know DC, I assume that the person reading my posts has at least a modest amount of knowledge of the subject at hand. You are one of the few people on the planet who is concerned about the environment yet has no clue about how slash and burn farming techniques are destroyiong rain forests, especially in Brazil.

I half expect you to next demand evidence that the country of Brazil even exists.(8)

Ho ho! I love that one about claiming that Brazil exists. Unfortunately, while his opponents steadfastly refuse to fall into that trap, they still persist with their boring insistence that WildCat has spectactularly failed to support his own claim above. And so, with a final flourish, WildCat makes an even more audacious claim that he has a pie chart which proves him right (despite proving him wrong) and links to it.(9) And why not bet the house at this stage, anyway?

But the main reason it happens is because the government is corrupt and the laws on the books don't get enforced in practice.


Even if that's 100% true (and it's not) that the growth is already pushing plantations and cattle ranches into the Amazon rain forest. If you're growing sugar cane in the sustainable areas, that means you're pushing production of other goods (such as cattle) into the rain forest.

And 20-25% of Amazon forest deforestation is due to agriculture, much of it for biofuels. (9)

Of course, following the link shows no mention of biofuels at all.

Wow!:covereyes
 
Carbon trading: Yet another Green program rife with fraud and scams:



And the Greens keep telling us they should regulate the global economy. Yeah. I believe that.

who came up with this cap and trade? who were the first to introduce such legislature?

the green party in the US seems to think that a CO2 tax will be far more effective than cap and trade.

http://www.gp.org/press/pr-state.php?ID=154
http://www.gp.org/press/pr-national.php?ID=252

also some greens were always against the Cap and trade idea.

 
I think the established environmental movement is made up of clueless, incompetent ideological idiots working in tandem with sleazy politically-connected hucksters running off with billions of taxpayer's cash.

Rich Western environmentalist idiots hurt the poor.



Brilliant. Nice one. Well done. If the Green establishment has any other ideas that starve to poor so rich, Western activists can feel good about themselves please let us know.

Mafia involved in Green energy.



Why not? Green energy is scam city.

Don't lavish subsides and cheap loans on mickey mouse power that can't compete on the global energy market.

Here's the key thing; Market forces will get ya. There's no way around it. It doesn't matter what your opinions are or whether you like it or not, they'll get ya. It doesn't matter how good your intentions are, they'll get ya. You might think they won't get ya, you might think your too smart and your plan is too brilliant, but they'll get ya. There's no end of people who think market forces won't get them. They think everything's great, they're sitting back thinking they've given market forces the last laugh and boom..just when you least expect it, they get ya.

Carbon trading: Yet another Green program rife with fraud and scams:



And the Greens keep telling us they should regulate the global economy. Yeah. I believe that.

I agree with Virus:

A lot of foot-stamping and an almost autistic inability to engage in any discussion or offer any constructive comment is soOoooOoo what those Greens do all the time, eh Virus? I said, eh Virus? Because it is those Greens what I'm talking about. By the way love that "gonna get ya" stuff. Wicked!:cool:
 
who came up with this cap and trade? who were the first to introduce such legislature?

the green party in the US seems to think that a CO2 tax will be far more effective than cap and trade.

http://www.gp.org/press/pr-state.php?ID=154
http://www.gp.org/press/pr-national.php?ID=252

also some greens were always against the Cap and trade idea.


Cap and trade just isn't an effective economic mechanism to deal with this type of problem. CFCs were a different type of issue and primarily focussed in a much smaller market which made regulation and policing of process much easier. A Pigovian solution is just more suited to the carbon issue.
 
Cap and trade just isn't an effective economic mechanism to deal with this type of problem. CFCs were a different type of issue and primarily focussed in a much smaller market which made regulation and policing of process much easier. A Pigovian solution is just more suited to the carbon issue.

the only thing i ever like about cap and trade is that you could get emission permits for building alternative powerplants in third world countries. but that naive idea of mine was soon destroyed by greedy companies.
 
The definition of "sustainable," isn't ameniable to short-term conditionals and qualifications. By the nature of the term, if it isn't sustainable in the long-term, it isn't "sustainable," in any meaningful sense.
This is to say nothing is "sustainable". Anyone can always present a "long term" scenario where something is not sustainable, forgetting the ability to adapt to changing conditions.

Point being, regardless of the references linked, the interpretation and analysis of the available science references provided on wiki is generally not being made by recognized authorities, nor has it been subject to peer-review by such authorities. It is little better than many of the board posts here. This isn't to say that wiki is useless, merely that it isn't reliable, nor necessarily an accurate, considered and objective representation of the topic addressed.
Yes, it's difficult to click on sources provided there and read them.
 
Yes, it's difficult to click on sources provided there and read them.

It isn't the references provided in supposed support of Wiki contributors that are the problem, it is the countervailing references and considerations that they omit, and the non-conditional terms and subjectively biased phrasing that they often use in support of their advocacies that can and often do lead individuals to incomplete and often mistaken perceptions of given subjects.

That behavior is to be expected on message boards, but not in a reference source that all too many attribute with the rigor of an encyclopedia or even worse, a scholarly production.

As stated before, wiki is fine for some general and popular information, but not something that compellingly supports any argument or discussion point. If you want to cite the papers and articles referred to in a wiki article that is a much better practice, but it is probably best to look closely at the referenced papers as they often do not much support the assertions wiki contributors represent in their statements.
 
It isn't the references provided in supposed support of Wiki contributors that are the problem, it is the countervailing references and considerations that they omit, and the non-conditional terms and subjectively biased phrasing that they often use in support of their advocacies that can and often do lead individuals to incomplete and often mistaken perceptions of given subjects.

This may be true, but in that case surely it is for you to make an opposing argument rather than rely on the possibility that there are "countervailing references and considerations" that are being omitted. If there are, what are they?

That behavior is to be expected on message boards, but not in a reference source that all too many attribute with the rigor of an encyclopedia or even worse, a scholarly production.

As stated before, wiki is fine for some general and popular information, but not something that compellingly supports any argument or discussion point. If you want to cite the papers and articles referred to in a wiki article that is a much better practice, but it is probably best to look closely at the referenced papers as they often do not much support the assertions wiki contributors represent in their statements.

Was there not a specific assertion that you are trying to rebut? If so, then you are not succeeding by pointing out the editorial standards of Wikipedia.
 
This may be true, but in that case surely it is for you to make an opposing argument rather than rely on the possibility that there are "countervailing references and considerations" that are being omitted. If there are, what are they?

Was there not a specific assertion that you are trying to rebut? If so, then you are not succeeding by pointing out the editorial standards of Wikipedia.

all of this has already been done in previous postings up thread. This post was merely in response to someone who for some reason seems to want to accredit Wiki articles with credibility and reliability that they simply do not possess.
 

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