I think, when Tricky mentioned some hard choices, there's one that really would work that noone wants to admit and thats population control.
I once started a thread positing that overpopulation was the chief cause of most of humanity's problems. I still hold that opinion, but it might sideline this topic. If you wish to start a new one though, I'll participate. However, I'm not into forced population control. Something will eventually take care of the problem for us if we don't do so ourselves.
The more forward-thinking oil companies have recognised that they're in the energy business.
You are correct, sir. Realistically, they're the best people to handle changes in our energy structure, both from a know-how and an available capital point of view.
A plan implies planners and executors, which means overriding the free market. That implies a serious swerve in the direction politics has taken over the last few decades. Hold onto your hats, it's gonna be a bumpy ride.
Yes indeedy, it is going to be a
very bumpy ride. I don't think of it so much as overriding the free market as I do having the foresight and capital to plan for things that, in the short term, are going to look like a hole in the ground that you toss your money into. It took us quite a few years and quite a few bucks to build the network of pipelines and gas stations that we have now, plus providing secure storage of what is a very volatile and dangerous compound. Even if the technology for alternate fuels were available today, it would take a long time for it to be implemented.
Cheap transport has radically changed societies and economies in the past - ox-carts, the horse, canals, railways, internal-combustion. The problem with car-based societies is that they're not sustainable. Gasoline and diesel have unique properties, such as energy-to-weight ratios and relative ease of handling. But they depend on a resource which was finite in the short- to medium-term.
I don't know for sure that car-based societies are not sustainable. It depends on lots of factors, including, as Pipeline points out, population. If we had a killer pandemic or a worldwide famine, we might find that we had enough fuel for quite some time.
Hydrogen strikes me as a massive distraction. The aim there is to maintain the car-culture, which would not have arisen if it had been originally based on hydrogen. Batteries show more promise if that's the aim.
At present, it is. One problem with hydrogen is that it takes so dang much of it to do anything because it contains so few BTUs per unit. (As a side note, most people don't know that more than half of the passengers on the Hindenburg survived because the hydrogen fire was not that hot, and because it is lighter than air and immediately rose after escaping.) Batteries hold hope, but not if you have to use some other source of energy to charge them.