SpringHallConvert
Banned
- Joined
- Sep 20, 2010
- Messages
- 1,272
Don't confuse "controlled" inflation with "zero" inflation.
There doesn't really need to be inflation at all. There's no reason the government can't print money and spend it into the economy as seigniorage as the economy grows and expands. The supply of money should match the supply of goods and services. Inflation is just a hidden tax - a wealth transfer from those who get the money last (usually the poor and regular wage-earners) to those who get the money first.
Among other things, what it's done is largely eliminate the scourge of deflation from the economy.
This is inaccurate. The United States is currently facing the prospect of deflation and suffered a period of deflation during the Great Depression.
Since a growing economy requires an expanding money supply, and since a slightly inflationary environment actually increases economic growth (in real terms) because it encourages investment, the Fed has maintained a low target rate of inflation.
They may claim to target low inflation but it doesn't actually happen. Again, the proof is in the pudding. We've had non-stop inflation since 1913, which amounts to nothing but a giant, unending transfer of wealth.
Mild controlled inflation is not bad for the economy. As pointed out above, it's actually good for the economy.
Once again, inflation is nothing more than a hidden tax the people can't easily detect. It's theft, and theft is never good for an economy. A stable currency that people can trust is what's good for the economy.
The effect is to raise interest rates slightly for borrowers (since bankers charge "expected interest plus a premium"), but not high enough to discourage investment since it's still fairly easy to get an ROI above inflation if you can get the investment capital -- and people like providing investment capital when the real return on cash is negative.
The other reason it's done that is because deflation, even mild deflation, is generally a complete disaster for the economy (you need look no further than the Lost Decade in Japan for an example). Since the Fed can't control inflation exactly, it makes more sense to aim for a 2-3% inflation rate. If they miss by 1% in either way, there is no harm done. If the Fed aimed for complete price stability and undershop by a percent, that would create a deflationary environment that would completely stall out the economy.
These policies haven't worked out too well. Again, we've suffered through a non-stop cycle of recessions and depressions. The people no longer save their money. The middle class is shrinking. Wealth and income gaps are growing. Jobs are being exported as well as our manufacturing base. States are going bankrupt. Government programs are insolvent. Uncle Sam is in debt and it can't be repaid.
Our monetary system is an unsustainable Ponzi scheme and it's reaching it's mathematical limits.
