It's getting to a point where I would find it hard to see the EU accepting Turkey as long as Erdogan is in power. He's accumulating political power to a point where he could ostensibly comply with a lot of regulations while still ruling as he sees fit.
The way things stand now Turkey will need another Ataturk before it has a chance of EU membership. The prospect of membership will likely continue to be used as a carrot for a while, in order to attempt some sanity in Turkish politics, but I doubt it will be effective.
The example of Turkey clearly shows how toxic Islam is to a nation. Turkey has been secularized 70 years ago, and Islamists came to power multiple times through elections. This time they seized power in a coup, possibly for good - and this is despite bordering on three countries traumatized and emasculated by Islamists.
If it hurt Syria and Iraq and Iran and Saudi Arabia and Lebanon and Palestine and Egypt and Libya and Tunisia and Algeria and Iran and Yemen and Pakistan and Bangladesh and Afghanistan in the past two decades while benefiting no country anywhere, chances are rather good this same approach to politics will hurt Turkey too. How stupid do you have to be not to see it plain as day anyway? And yet, just before the coup, AKP had 52% popular support. A further 12% supported neo-fascist NMP, who has likewise adopted an Islamist, anti-secularist stance. In reality, only about 1 in 4 turks even support a party with secularist values, plus another 10% or so support a Kurdish party with secularist values. Despite the horrible things done by Islamists in Turkey and in Turkish neighbors, supporters for Islamists outnumber the sane opposition 2:1.
Let that sink in for a moment.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Next_Turkish_general_election
McHrozni
It's a fault, I know.