Easily done.
If you look closely at the gearing on this cart (or read the description)...
You will see that the top wheel is geared so that it always moves at half the speed of the bottom wheels, in the opposite direction.
Logically, this means that the bottom wheels always move at twice the speed of the top wheel, in the opposite direction.
Because gearing exchanges speed for force, half the speed equates to twice the force, and vice versa.
So...
Top wheel is geared to turn in the opposite direction of the bottom wheels, with a ratio of 1/2, giving it twice the force, and half the speed.
Bottom wheel(s) are geared to turn in the opposite direction of the top wheel with a ratio of 2/1, giving them half the force, and twice the speed.
Note: The fact that both the bottom wheels are connected by the drive chain/belt doesn't affect anything. I could have had the chain connected at one end to a free-standing cog with the same result, It was just easier to draw this way. Any force applied to the wheels through the belt is shared equally between them.
To do the math, we'll use signage to indicate direction. Positive to the right, negative to the left (just like on a number line).
OK, let's look at speed first.
Sa = Speed of top wheel
Sb = Speed of bottom wheel(s)
Sc = Speed of conveyor belt
St = Total speed of cart.
Since the bottom wheels are connected to the ground, and the ground is immobile, St and Sb will always be the same.
St = Sb
Because of the gearing, the bottom wheels will turn at twice the speed of the top wheel, and as it turns in the opposite direction, we use the negative sign, so...
St = Sb = -2Sa
If the cart were immobile, then the top wheel would turn at the same speed as the conveyor belt. But as the cart can move, we have to subtract the motion of the cart.
Sa = Sc-St
So if the belt was moving 2mph to the right and the cart was moving 1mph to the right, the top wheel would be turning at 1mph (that's 2-1). If the belt was moving 2mph and the cart was moving 1mph to the left, the top wheel would be moving at 3mph (that's 2-(-1)).
So we get...
St = Sb = -2Sa = -2(Sc-St)
Apply some algebra...
St = -2(Sc-St)
-St = 2(Sc-St) = 2Sc-2St
2St-St = 2Sc
St = 2Sc
In other words, total speed is twice the conveyor speed. Notice, the signage is the same, so it's travelling in the same direction.
So looking at speed alone, it
must travel at twice the speed as the conveyor, in the
same direction.
Now let's look at force.
Fa = Force being applied to the top wheel
Fb = Force applied by the bottom wheel(s)
Fc = Force applied by the conveyor belt
Ft = Total force on the cart
Obviously, the total force is equal to the sum of the forces applied to (or applied by) the top and bottom wheels, so...
Ft = Fa+Fb
Because of the gearing, the bottom wheel(s) have half the force of the top wheel, applied in the opposite direction, so...
Fb = Fa/-2
Fa = -2Fb
Since all the force applied by the conveyor belt is being applied to the top wheel alone...
Fa = Fc
Which means...
Fb = Fa/-2 = Fc/-2
So let's put all that together...
Ft = Fa+Fb = Fc + (Fc/-2) = Fc - Fc/2 = Fc/2
So...
Ft = Fc/2
Which means that the total of the forces on the cart is half the force being applied by the conveyor belt, in the same direction as the belt.
Put simply, if the belt is pushing the top wheel with a force of 2N, then the bottom wheels will push in the opposite direction with a force of 1N, and the cart will move along in the direction of the belt with a force of 1N.
From the math, it's clear that the cart will travel in the same direction of the belt at twice the speed of the belt, and half of the force of the belt.
Can you find anything wrong with my working-out?
Can you give me any valid reason why replacing the top wheel and the conveyor belt with a backward directed propeller and a wind would produce a different result?