CapelDodger
Penultimate Amazing
The thesis I envision is that guaranteeing access to Gulf oil - not necessarily direct ownership - was the motivation. That doesn't preclude regime-change, replacing an unfriendly regime with a friendly one.RandFan said:Yes, if that fits with your world view then I can see that. It doesn't make a lot of sense to me that Bush would invade Iraq for oil. There was little to gain. He knew there was no way he could control it. He's never even tried. It belongs to the Iraqis and they will control it.
Rumsfeld knows that now, but he dosen't seem to have appreciated it before the invasion.And war is an unknown.
Not possible after the Kuwait invasion, but possible with a Ba'athist successor - even Qusay Hussein - who could do a Kruschev on Saddam. It may have been the assumption that Saddam would be killed in a coup before he could drag everyone over the cliff with him, thus making it unnecessary to occupy Baghdad and the Sunni provinces. I find it surprising that didn't happen.A deal with Saddam would have been much better.
The prediction of "venomous feuds over Israel's role" hardly rates as prophecy."Israel"? Got evidence? Isn't blaming Israel a bit convenient?