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Defending Oswald

Wouldn't it have been a federal trial for JFK? Wouldn't he have had to go to two different trials? (one for the officer and Connoly and one for JFK)

Like I said, I'm no lawyer, so perhaps someone with more knowledge on this subject could jump in?
 
Upon further research, I discovered that Texas actually stopped executing people in 1964. I had no idea that the legal wrangling that resulted in the 1972 moratorium went on that long (the last execution in any state prior to the reinstatement of the death penalty was in 1967). However, in the 1960s, the trial and appeals process were not nearly as drawn out as they are now. (The last federal inmate executed before the moratorium, in 1963, had committed his crime less than 3 years earlier.)

Also, Oswald would undoubtedly have become a poster boy for opposition to any moratorium on capital punishment, which might well have delayed it. So one way or another, I suspect that the state of Texas and the federal government would have managed to execute him.
 
Wouldn't it have been a federal trial for JFK? Wouldn't he have had to go to two different trials? (one for the officer and Connoly and one for JFK)

Like I said, I'm no lawyer, so perhaps someone with more knowledge on this subject could jump in?


No. At the time the murder of the President of the United States was not a federal crime (this was changed after the attempted assassination of Ronald Reagan). Today, murdering the President, a member of his staff, a Cabinet officer, a member of Congress, a Justice of the Supreme Court, or any federal employee engaged in the performance of his or her duties carries a potential federal death penalty.
 
No. At the time the murder of the President of the United States was not a federal crime (this was changed after the attempted assassination of Ronald Reagan). Today, murdering the President, a member of his staff, a Cabinet officer, a member of Congress, a Justice of the Supreme Court, or any federal employee engaged in the performance of his or her duties carries a potential federal death penalty.


I gotta say, I'm not pleased that there's an enhanced penalty or jurisdiction for murder of a special class of citizen (government employees). Every victim should have equivalent weight in prosecution of murderers.
 
I gotta say, I'm not pleased that there's an enhanced penalty or jurisdiction for murder of a special class of citizen (government employees). Every victim should have equivalent weight in prosecution of murderers.


How would you propose determining who gets the death penalty, then?
 
I gotta say, I'm not pleased that there's an enhanced penalty or jurisdiction for murder of a special class of citizen (government employees). Every victim should have equivalent weight in prosecution of murderers.

Well, I would say that there's no enhanced penalty, nor lessened burden of proof, in regards to such killings. It's just covered under a different court.



I got a DUI in the county here where I live (yeah, I was dumb) so I went to the county court, we made a deal and I got no probation and 90 days license suspension.

A friend got one in the city, and got 6 months probation and had to attend 2 different classes as well as $300 more in fines than I. It just mattered where we got em at.

(btw, it was both our first offenses)

The only difference I see is that federal attorneys usually don't go to trial until they have more evidence than Pearl Harbor. Local nd state guys can sometimes push it a bit.
 
It has been a while since I saw the show with Vince and Gerry (I've had the opportunity to meet both men, by the way), and honestly I don't remember many of the specifics.

For starters, the prosecution has a pretty solid case. It was Oswald's gun. All bullets capable of being ballistically identified are matched exactly to Oswald's gun. His palm prints were on the gun. The gun was found where Oswald worked and had access. Oswald had brought a package with him to work that morning. The package material, which was also found in the building, was capable of concealing the gun. There is no question at least three shots were fired from the window where the sniper's nest was, and that at least some of these shots struck the President. Oswald's alibi was weak. Oswald had previously tried to kill another public figure with the same rifle. Oswald fled the scene. Mid-flight, he changed his attire at least twice to look different. Oswald murdered a policeman in cold blood after being stopped, and continued his flight. He resisted arrest and tried to kill another policeman in the process. He lied to the police during interrogation.

And this is just getting started. The case against Oswald is even more damning than that.

Defending oneself by promoting the existence of a conspiracy does no good. Besides, there weren't any other bullets found but Oswald's, or pieces of bullets that couldn't have been Oswald's. Defending oneself with an allegation of a frame-up is better, but that's still a tough sell. Sometimes a "frame" can be sold to a jury as a rush to judgment or a mistaken identity.

The basic strategy for defense would be not to blame others, but to try to establish reasonable doubt. During voir dire (jury pool questioning before jury selection), potential jurors would be asked whether they could let acquit Oswald if the prosecution hadn't proven its case. Could they acquit if the prosecution had proven only that Oswald PROBABLY did it? (The correct answer is NO, the burden of proof is beyond a reasonable doubt, not "probably"). Could they acquit if the prosecution had proven MOST of the elements of the case beyond a reasonable doubt, but not ALL of the elements? If there was reason to doubt an element of the prosecution's case, would they on their honor give the benefit of that doubt to Oswald? Can they agree that Oswald has no obligation whatsoever to try to prove his own innocence? Can they agree that every citizen, even an avowed Communist, has the right to the presumption of innocence? Can they agree that even a Marxist cannot be punished under law, unless the case is fully proven beyond all reasonable doubt?

In other words, get the jury in the mindset of looking for holes in the case, even before the jury is selected.

After the jury is selected, make an opening statement with a theme. The basic theme could be that the case against Oswald is incomplete and riddled with errors. During cross-examination of witnesses for the prosecution, this theme would be hammered again and again.

And there are some points that the defense can make. Who saw Oswald shoot? No one. Who saw Oswald ditch the gun? No one. It is his gun, sure, and so it ought to be no surprise that his palm prints are on it, but who can say when those prints were put there? Who saw Oswald run across the sixth floor or hustle down the stairs? No one. Did anyone see him on the sixth floor at the time of the shooting? No. Isn't the best evidence of his whereabouts that he was four floors away, when he was seen by a police officer a matter of seconds after the shooting? Do we have a good chain of custody of the evidence? Was there opportunity for tampering, you know, just a little bit of fudging by the cops to help the jury reach the "correct" verdict?

The shooting of Officer Tippit is more of a problem for Oswald, because there were more witnesses and the crime itself is almost an admission of guilty flight. But even so, the witnesses to this murder disagree in some respects, and the cops arguably made some mistakes in the investigation of Tippit's murder.

Oswald would not take the stand in his own defense.

His counsel may call some witnesses to testify to various things, such as others witnessed potentially in flight from Dealey Plaza. Were these potential suspects investigated? Were they even found? Can the possibility of a shooter from the snipers nest--other than Oswald--be ruled out?

In closing argument, every irregularity or missing piece of evidence would be pointed out. Every reasonable opportunity for police screw-ups or mischief would have to be resolved in Oswald's favor. After all, he gets the benefit of the doubt. During trial, there would no doubt be some surprises that weaken the prosecution's case, and these should be hammered home. The initial theme of the defense--incomplete case, reasonable doubt--must resonate.

The defense may even appeal to the patriotism of the jury. The defense may admit that Oswald is a low-life and that he has political beliefs that are offensive in the extreme. But that is not why he is on trial. The framers of the Constitution carefully and deliberately built in safeguards and recognized legal rights, so that even unpopular defendants won't be convicted unless the case is as certain as is possible for humans to be. It may be human nature to see the lifeless eyes of a beloved dead president and want to make someone--anyone--pay, but this is not what the founders of the country had in mind. Don't make Oswald pay because of his political beliefs. If the case against him isn't certain, and it isn't, then we all do a disservice to the constitution by finding him guilty. Is this what the country's founders would want? Is this what John F. Kennedy would want??

There is one other tactic defense counsel should try, and it is a tactic that may get overlooked. Oswald's rights were violated. At the time of Oswald's arrest, there were no clearly recognized "Miranda rights," though such rights were clearly recognized a short time afterward. Oswald had the right to counsel, and there is no question he asked for legal representation, yet he got none and was interrogated anyway. He was not advised of his rights, nor were his rights respected. At least, this is what the defense would argue to the judge. The defense would move that any evidence that resulted from rights violations ought to be excluded from the trial. Very likely, this motion would be overruled.

This tactic would not be likely to result in an acquittal, but it would preserve the legal issues for later appellate review. Oswald might have to do several years in the slammer, but if a court eventually rules that Oswald's constitutional rights were indeed violated, then Oswald would have to be retried. Some evidence against him might be excluded, and the case against him might be fatally crippled by the exclusion.

Assuming a retrial does take place, however, years would have passed. Memories would have faded. Some witnesses would have died. New information would have come to light, and chances are that some of it would favor Oswald. In any event, Oswald gets a second chance to argue reasonable doubt, and the second time, he might succeed.
 
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By the way, I am glad this topic was in the History part of the forum instead of the Conspiracy part.
 
Well, I would say that there's no enhanced penalty, nor lessened burden of proof, in regards to such killings. It's just covered under a different court.

Yeah, that's what I meant by enhanced jurisdiction. There's a federal murder statute that specifically covers a special class of victims. If the murder occurs in a state that does not have the death penalty, then that equates to an (potential) enhanced penalty.


I got a DUI in the county here where I live (yeah, I was dumb) so I went to the county court, we made a deal and I got no probation and 90 days license suspension.

A friend got one in the city, and got 6 months probation and had to attend 2 different classes as well as $300 more in fines than I. It just mattered where we got em at.

(btw, it was both our first offenses)

And, if the situations had been reversed, you in the city and your friend in the county, each would have been prosecuted under the local jurisdiction, without regard to who you are.
 
@hgc

Considering that elected officials and judges represent all of us no matter where they are, having the different standard makes all sorts of sense. Each state has different sanctions for murder. Alaska and Hawaii never had a death penalty. If not given a death sentence in California, a would be assassin could theoretically be released on parole. Sirhan Sirhan has periodic parole hearings for example.

@brown

You bring up some very good points regarding possible appeals routes. I'm going to disagree with them, but what you brought up is certainly worthy of discussion.

Regarding Oswald's questioning according to Vince in his big book, he was offered the chance to call anyone at all regarding his defense and he refused, only asking for a vacationing John Abt. Bug-man writes that the Dallas Bar Association specifically offered assistance and was in effect turned down. Considering that Oswald confessed nothing of value in the 48 hours he was in custody, I'm not sure what would be there to actually throw out. Considering no Miranda and no confession, there was not much there from him. The physical evidence, of course, is another story.

Since we are assuming that Jack Ruby was too busy at the Western Union office to get there in time to shoot Oswald, any questioning that happened from that Monday morning on would have been with some sort of lawyer. If Oswald waived them away again and confessed, or said something really incriminating, then all bets would be off.

Tippit's murder and subsequent conviction certainly would have drawn a capital sentence. There were witnesses that saw him fire, unlike with Kennedy, and witnesses that saw him discharge the empty shells. He simply was toast.

Now, if the defense would have plea bargained a life sentence for the Tippit shooting in exchange for an all or nothing on JFK, then that could have been interesting. Spence was limited in his defense that you spelled out so well in your post. Then you have Howard Brennan, the employees on the 5th floor that heard shells hit the floor, and the other witness who claims to have seen a rifle pulled back in the window.

I do think you paint a plausible scenario for an appeal.

@everyone

Regarding Texas not executing anyone after 1964, since the crime was committed before the cutoff, would Oswald been grandfathered in? It is likely that the appeals process would have not been fully played out by 1967, but certainly before 1972.
 
By the way, I am glad this topic was in the History part of the forum instead of the Conspiracy part.

Thanks. I thought about it but wanted to avoid the endless woo that would have followed.

I read what you added since my response to you and agree with most of it.
 
Regarding Oswald's questioning according to Vince in his big book, he was offered the chance to call anyone at all regarding his defense and he refused, only asking for a vacationing John Abt. Bug-man writes that the Dallas Bar Association specifically offered assistance and was in effect turned down. Considering that Oswald confessed nothing of value in the 48 hours he was in custody, I'm not sure what would be there to actually throw out. Considering no Miranda and no confession, there was not much there from him. The physical evidence, of course, is another story.

Since we are assuming that Jack Ruby was too busy at the Western Union office to get there in time to shoot Oswald, any questioning that happened from that Monday morning on would have been with some sort of lawyer. If Oswald waived them away again and confessed, or said something really incriminating, then all bets would be off.

Tippit's murder and subsequent conviction certainly would have drawn a capital sentence. There were witnesses that saw him fire, unlike with Kennedy, and witnesses that saw him discharge the empty shells. He simply was toast.

Now, if the defense would have plea bargained a life sentence for the Tippit shooting in exchange for an all or nothing on JFK, then that could have been interesting. Spence was limited in his defense that you spelled out so well in your post. Then you have Howard Brennan, the employees on the 5th floor that heard shells hit the floor, and the other witness who claims to have seen a rifle pulled back in the window.

I do think you paint a plausible scenario for an appeal.
Thank you for your thoughtful remarks.

Oswald was not advised of his Miranda rights, of course, because the Miranda case was still three years or so in the future. When questioned, Oswald was silent about some subjects and responded to others. There is news footage of him at the police station asking (or as he would say it, "ax"-ing) for legal respresentation. Under the rules that followed Miranda, the suspect's request for a lawyer meant that all interrogation should stop. In Oswald's case, it didn't.

Now, if a court were to find that Oswald's right to counsel was denied (and not properly waived since he was not advised of the rights in the first place), then EVERYTHING that happened after the violation was at risk of being excluded as evidence. Not everything WOULD be excluded, but it would all be at risk, and some of the evidence would be more at risk than other evidence. Oswald's lies to the cops? That might all be excluded. The "incriminating pictures?" Those might be excluded. News footage of Oswald lying to reporters as the police paraded him about? That might be excluded, too. Any leads that were followed after interrogation, and that might be linked in some ways to the interrogation, might be at risk of having been contaminated by the rights violation.

Remember, when Miranda first came out, there weren't exceptions or special cases like the guard against perjury (the Harris case) or the inevitable discovery principle (the second Williams case). Chances are that the argument, "We would have discovered this evidence anyway even if Oswald hadn't said anything," would not have carried the day.

The argument has been made that Oswald didn't say anything of any value during his interrogation. That is not quite true. (And if it was true, why bother interrogating him at all?) Oswald didn't confess, he didn't incriminate anyone else, he didn't disclose a motive, he didn't say anything earth-shaking. But he did say SOME things, and he said some things of significance.

The case against Oswald shooting Tippit is about as solid as any prosecutor could ever want. The ballistics evidence is air-tight. The apparent motive (flight from a crime of assassination and avoiding arrest for that crime) is obvious, and is amply supported by the overall circumstances and the number of shots fired. And for heaven's sake, the murder occurred on a public street, in broad daylight, in view of several witnesses, and the witnesses in the best position to observe pegged Oswald as the perp! It doesn't get much more open-and-shut than that.

Even so, there are a few points that might be made. First, the murders of Kennedy and Tippit were separate incidents, with separate facts, distinct sets of evidence, different weapons and separate witnesses. Accordingly, there is a question whether there would be one murder trial for Oswald or two. It would seem to me that more likely there would be two trials, and the Tippit trial would probably be first. (Why? It's the more clear-cut case, the amount of evidence is more manageable, and it represents quick justice for a local boy; plus, when Oswald goes on trial for killing JFK, the jury is going to know that Oswald is already a convicted cop-killer.) The possibility of pleading guilty to one crime to avoid conviction for the other seems slim in Oswald's case.

Second, Oswald can use the Tippit trial to set the stage for his defense in the Kennedy trial, even if he gets convicted in the Tippit case. Maybe Oswald might try a self-defense ploy. Self-defense, his counsel might argue, does not necessarily imply flight or guilt. Self-defense, by its nature, would allow Oswald to say, "Yes, it was my gun, and yes, I shot that policeman ... but I had good and just reason to do so in self-defense!" Could any witnesses say that Tippit didn't flash his gun at Oswald? Could any witnesses say that Tippit wasn't agitated or saying threatening things? Could any witnesses say that Oswald, a man who had spent time in a police state, had absolutely no reason to be in fear of his own life and safety from this policeman?
 
...There is one other tactic defense counsel should try, and it is a tactic that may get overlooked. Oswald's rights were violated. At the time of Oswald's arrest, there were no clearly recognized "Miranda rights," though such rights were clearly recognized a short time afterward. Oswald had the right to counsel, and there is no question he asked for legal representation, yet he got none and was interrogated anyway. He was not advised of his rights, nor were his rights respected. At least, this is what the defense would argue to the judge. The defense would move that any evidence that resulted from rights violations ought to be excluded from the trial. Very likely, this motion would be overruled.

This tactic would not be likely to result in an acquittal, but it would preserve the legal issues for later appellate review. Oswald might have to do several years in the slammer, but if a court eventually rules that Oswald's constitutional rights were indeed violated, then Oswald would have to be retried. Some evidence against him might be excluded, and the case against him might be fatally crippled by the exclusion.


Oswald was visited in jail by two lawyers from the ACLU, and he declined to have them represent him. He said he preferred counsel of his own choosing, and that man was John Abt, who had defended some communists in a Smith Act trial.
Oswald tried to get in touch with Abt over the weekend, but Abt was away for the weekend and not reachable.

What rights would a court reasonably find were violated by the laws of the day? At no point did Oswald decline to be interviewed by the police while he was in custody, and at no point did he refuse to answer questions because he wasn't represented by a lawyer.

His belongings were stored at the Paine's home and in a roominghouse, although most were in the Paine's garage, and both Mrs. Paine and Oswald's wife gave permission to the police to search the garage. I don't believe anything of value was found in his room at the roominghouse. So there wasn't any illegal search and seizure rules that were violated, as far as I know.

Most of the rest of the evidence was the hard evidence recovered like the rifle and the bullet fragments found in the limo and the like. Not sure what would be throw out on appellate review. What do you suggest might be overturned?

Hank
 
Oswald was visited in jail by two lawyers from the ACLU, and he declined to have them represent him. He said he preferred counsel of his own choosing, and that man was John Abt, who had defended some communists in a Smith Act trial.
Oswald tried to get in touch with Abt over the weekend, but Abt was away for the weekend and not reachable.

What rights would a court reasonably find were violated by the laws of the day? At no point did Oswald decline to be interviewed by the police while he was in custody, and at no point did he refuse to answer questions because he wasn't represented by a lawyer.

His belongings were stored at the Paine's home and in a roominghouse, although most were in the Paine's garage, and both Mrs. Paine and Oswald's wife gave permission to the police to search the garage. I don't believe anything of value was found in his room at the roominghouse. So there wasn't any illegal search and seizure rules that were violated, as far as I know.

Most of the rest of the evidence was the hard evidence recovered like the rifle and the bullet fragments found in the limo and the like. Not sure what would be throw out on appellate review. What do you suggest might be overturned?

Hank
All good points, but it's difficult to say how it would all have played out. In the Miranda case, the Supreme Court (perhaps sick and tired of all of the crap that cops would try to pull, with different police departments each having their own brands of crap) set out a fairly specific procedure for everybody to follow. Advise the suspect of his rights. The suspect can't waive his rights unless he knows what they are. If the suspect wants an attorney or invokes his right to remain silent, you can't question him. He gets a lawyer if he wants one, even if he cannot afford one. And if you violate the suspect's rights, any evidence that flows from that violation cannot be used against the suspect at trial.

So were Oswald's rights violated under Miranda (and similar cases)? It's a tough question, the evidence on that point is incomplete (the guy who probably would complain the most was himself murdered; the cops and the district attorney would take the position that they take in EVERY case like this, namely, that there was no harm so no foul; and the documentary evidence is comparatively meager). Also, the circumstances of the case can often affect the law.

Miranda himself was a child rapist (if I remember right). If Oswald's case had hit the US Supreme Court before Miranda's, would the outcome have been the same? Would we today be talking about "Oswald rights" instead of "Miranda rights?" Would the Supreme Court have been as open to protecting the rights of a Marxist presidential assassin as they were for protecting the rights of a rapist of children? Tough call.

After the Miranda case was decided, there were a number of decisions refining it, finding exceptions to it and backing off parts of it. One of those decisions was the second Williams case, a case with which I have some famliarity.

Robert Anthony Williams was accused of kidnapping, raping and murdering a little girl named Pamela Powers. Williams was seen leaving the downtown Des Moines, Iowa, YMCA with a rolled up carpet that had two small, white feet protruding from it. Pamela had been at the YMCA but was discovered to be missing. Williams was taken into custody in Davenport, Iowa, and he had no body in his possession; law enforcement undertook a search for Pamela's body, on the assumption that Williams dumped it somewhere between Des Moines and Davenport. The weather was cold; it was near Christmas-time. (Apollo 8 was making the first manned mission to the Moon.)

In Davenport, Williams was advised of his rights and invoked his right to counsel, and a lawyer named McKnight represented him. Williams was to be transported by car to Des Moines, but the officer riding with him (whose name was Leaming) refused to allow Williams's lawyer to ride along. During the ride to Des Moines, Leaming told Williams that he wanted Williams to think about the fact that this little girl ought to have a "Christian burial." Leaming knew that Williams considered himself religious, and the ploy worked. During the ride to Des Moines, Williams said he would lead the police to the girl's body, and he did.

Williams was convicted of murder.

Following several reviews of the conviction, Williams's case wound up in the US Supreme Court in 1976-77. This was the FIRST Williams case. The Court ruled in early 1977 that Williams had been denied his right to counsel and that evidence resulting from this denial had to be excluded. In this case, that would mean that all evidence pertaining to the little girl's body--a CRUCIAL piece of evidence in a murder case!!--would be excluded.

The State of Iowa nevertheless decided to put Williams on trial again, and argued that the rights violation had no effect. The cops already had good reason to think Williams had dumped the body, and in fact they were searching nearby when Williams spilled the beans. Further, the cold weather would have preserved the evidence even if the cops took longer to find the body. The discovery of the body was inevitable. Had Williams not said anything to Leaming, the cops would have found the body on their own in a matter of hours. With this evidence, Williams was again convicted of murder. His case then went through the appellate courts again and eventually got to the US Supreme Court again (the second Williams case). Would the Supreme Court recognize an "inevitable discovery" exception to a rights violation? The Court did.

This was about seventeen years after Kennedy's murder.

So ... Oswald's counsel could have been in a position to argue that his client's rights were violated very early on in the case. He might try to argue that the taint of this violation extended to anything that may have followed from it: witnesses questioned thereafter (e.g., while checking an alibi), any leads obtained from questioning those witnesses, evidence found thereafter, and so on. Remember, had Oswald not been murdered, the interrogations would have continued, and who knows what a moderately skilled lawyer might have been able to say was evidence contaminated by the repeated violations of Oswald's constitutional rights? The cops might try to say, "Well, we would have found this evidence anyway," but the inevitable discovery principle would not be officially recognized until the early 1980s.

Chances are that much of the really key evidence would NOT be deemed to flow from any improper interrogation of Oswald: the gun, the bag, the bullets, the body, the medical evidence ... and this may be enough to secure a conviction were Oswald to be re-tried. But other evidence--some documents, photos, witnesses, proof of motive--might be excluded, and Oswald may have had greater opportunity to sow the seeds of reasonable doubt.
 
In defense of Oswald, I have never understood why people label him as "slovenly". I mean, sure, he LOOKS slovenly, but looks can be deceiving. Where's the evidence?

Of course, he did kill the President. A lot of people frown on that sort of thing.
 
Question: There doesn't seem to be any reasonable doubt that Oswald fired the shots that killed President Kennedy, but there have always been conspiracy theories that he acted with others, or that he was hired by others, or that he was somehow manipulated by others. Would a public trial on state murder charges -- presumably with a competent defense team -- have been likely to produce any information or evidence that was not accessible to the Warren Commission or other investigative panels? Would the conspiracy theories have gained less traction if people making these various allegations had been asked/required to testify at the trial and been cross-examined? And IF there had been some kind of conspiracy, could Oswald have negotiated a plea bargain in exchange for giving up his co-conspirators? Oswald consistently denied that he had anything to do with the killings. That doesn't mean that he didn't do it, but it does mean that his motivations were different from the historical assassins that imagined they were bringing glory to themselves and their causes, or who made no plans to escape. Would a trial have resulted in a fuller exploration of his motives?
 
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Question: There doesn't seem to be any reasonable doubt that Oswald fired the shots that killed President Kennedy, but there have always been conspiracy theories that he acted with others, or that he was hired by others, or that he was somehow manipulated by others. Would a public trial on state murder charges -- presumably with a competent defense team -- have been likely to produce any information or evidence that was not accessible to the Warren Commission or other investigative panels? Would the conspiracy theories have gained less traction if people making these various allegations had been asked/required to testify at the trial and been cross-examined? And IF there had been some kind of conspiracy, could Oswald have negotiated a plea bargain in exchange for giving up his co-conspirators? Oswald consistently denied that he had anything to do with the killings. That doesn't mean that he didn't do it, but it does mean that his motivations were different from the historical assassins that imagined they were bringing glory to themselves and their causes, or who made no plans to escape. Would a trial have resulted in a fuller exploration of his motives?


Some good questions asked here. Lets go with the conspiracy defense first. A conspiracy does not guarantee really anything, no matter how much he cooperates. As described above, he would more than likely have tried for the Tippit shooting first. It is a practically open and shut case. He is looking at life at a minimum and a more probable death sentence from the start. He would need to fess up to his lawyers that he is at least partially guilty and rat out his partner(s) from the get go.

For the JFK trial Oswald would need show that someone else fired shots that hit and since the single bullet and head shot have been traced back to Oswald's rifle, that would be extremely difficult to prove. A patsy defense assures nothing, just that he isn't the only one that never sees the light of day ever again.


Regarding evidence that had not come to light, the Dallas PD had actually done a very good job except two mistakes and even one of them was not on them. The Dallas County DA pretty much had him convicted in a press conference on that Saturday. If Ruby hadn't got to Oswald, the Dallas PD would have been praised forever for their role instead of perpetually second guessed like they have. Tippit was a slam dunk and a slam dunk that day.

Unless Oswald would have confessed a plot, most of the case was outlined and being filled out when he was shot. The fill in was provided by the WC and, while not perfect, should have convicted him rather easily. They looked for conspiracy. There is a whole chapter on his finances. There is a reason why his defense even with great lawyers would have been uphill from the get go, there is just no plausible scenario, even in a conspiracy, that acquits Oswald.

I'm sure that theories would still abound, just see the trainwreck on the conspiracy board regarding the moon missions. They just would not be as widespread.

Regarding motive, I think they would have established it. Remember, the Walker miss is huge here. He had established that he had wanted notoriety. If it was in the defense of Castro's Cuba, even better, but a trial would have fleshed it out if needed.
 

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