Luke T. said:
I think they make a yellow streak if the bill is "good," and a black streak if the bill is "bad."
That's right. Unfortunately, the yellow streak fades rather quickly.
Cheers,
Luke T. said:
I think they make a yellow streak if the bill is "good," and a black streak if the bill is "bad."
AmateurScientist said:
Well, no, not if you have it pre-printed on there, Skinny.
Jeez, get with the program.
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I think Luke's idea is to trick them into not testing the bill because they would believe that it's already been tested.
AS
Millions of counterfeit bills circulate daily. Why run the risk of accepting a bogus bill? Our counterfeit money detector pen uses a specially formulated chemical that detects fake currency instantly. Simply press the tip of the pen to the bill. A yellow or clear mark shows that the bill is good; a brown or grey mark shows that the bill is suspect. It's that simple! Made in the U.S.A.
Yes AS, I understand that. However, if the pen worked the way I had been led to believe (clear if genuine, visible if counterfeit), then preprinting a mark on Luke's counterfeit bills would be self-defeating.AmateurScientist said:
Well, no, not if you have it pre-printed on there, Skinny.
Jeez, get with the program.
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I think Luke's idea is to trick them into not testing the bill because they would believe that it's already been tested.
AS
BillHoyt said:I'll try to make it clearer. Your argument rests on the pen's ease of use (vs. training) and its ability (at no better than 55% level) to detect certain bad bills. You've also described it as a first line of defense.
I never said they were useless. I said they have an extraordinarily high Type I error rate and that pranksters can easily hike up the Type II error rate as well.kookbreaker said:No my arguement rest on the idea that just becuase the pen isn't perfect, does not mean they are useless. There's your false dichotomy.
Perhaps you are missing the import of my "100% rag paper" comment? Go to any stationery store. It is easily available, not that much more expensive and goes through most desktop printers.Metallic ink detectors would be better, but they are expensive compared to pens, and they are battery powered. The pen is far from perfect, but I say again it prevents casual conterfeitting. Not someone who makes a career out of couterfeitting, but someone who 'for fun' or a few extra buck decides to scan and print money, then tries to pass it off on a tired clerk.
I have four lines of defense in my home: locks, three 100+ pound dogs, security system and the police. Your only line of defense is not your first line. First implies the existence of a second. There is no second line in this case. The bad bill goes in the drawer and the problem is now the store's.When I say "first line of defense" I mean it in the sense of locking the door to your house. Do you feel that the lock is useless because someone can break your window? Do you have a "Second line of defense"? in your home?
I have mentioned this several times, I'm rather stunned that you think I have not explained it.
Luke T. said:kookbreaker, don't you think the pens give a false sense of security, though? If a store is using the pens at the sacrifice of more effective methods like training their employees to recognize anti-counterfeiting measures already in place on the bills, aren't they actually risking being victimized more often by counterfeiters?
BillHoyt said:I never said they were useless. I said they have an extraordinarily high Type I error rate and that pranksters can easily hike up the Type II error rate as well.
Perhaps you are missing the import of my "100% rag paper" comment? Go to any stationery store. It is easily available, not that much more expensive and goes through most desktop printers.
I have four lines of defense in my home: locks, three 100+ pound dogs, security system and the police.
Your only line of defense is not your first line. First implies the existence of a second. There is no second line in this case. The bad bill goes in the drawer and the problem is now the store's.
Cheers, [/B]
kookbreaker said:Fine for you, I however only have locks on my door.
Should I stop locking since the thief can break a window? There's your false dichotomy, as it is essentially what you are saying.
BillHoyt said:
You keep trying to put the false dichotomy on me, but I never said "they should stop using the pens and do nothing." When did I say that?
Let's look at your locked door example for a moment. It is the first line of defense. The second line are the police who may or may not catch the culprit with your possessions. The third line is your homeowner's insurance. That is why it is a first line; there are more behind it.
I said, quite clearly, the type I error is minimally 55%. You may have translated that into "the pens are useless," but that is not what I said.kookbreaker said:No, but you seem to be saying that since the pens are not perfect, therefore they are useless. That's where you have dichotomy. The truth is in between.
The police won't replace your bad money with good. Neither will insurance companies. Examine it a bit deeper, though, and it gets worse. Remember we're talking about the (minimally) 55% of bad bills that made it to your registers. You don't know who gave them to you. You didn't know they were bad when they were passed. You just suffered a loss, for which there is no compensation.So stores have no police and insurance to protect them? If you report to police that someone is passing funny money around they will do nothing?
'scuse me while I![]()
BillHoyt said:I said, quite clearly, the type I error is minimally 55%. You may have translated that into "the pens are useless," but that is not what I said.
The police won't replace your bad money with good. Neither will insurance companies. Examine it a bit deeper, though, and it gets worse. Remember we're talking about the (minimally) 55% of bad bills that made it to your registers. You don't know who gave them to you. You didn't know they were bad when they were passed. You just suffered a loss, for which there is no compensation.
BillHoyt said:You just suffered a loss, for which there is no compensation.
Go back and read it again. I compared your remark with remarks made about homeopathy. I did not compare the pens with homeopathy.kookbreaker said:In this very thread you have also compared the pens with completely useless homepathy. Forgive me for drawing a conclusion from those two comments.
Has it not sunk in to you that all of your points work equally for any deterrence and detection method? That, therefore, the question becomes a comparison between the Type I and Type II errors and then a cost/benefit analysis?Be that as it may, are you aware of the store manager's maxim that the only thing that keeps some people honest is the fear of being caught?
Stores use security systems at the doors and tags on the clothing. There are a thousand ways that professional shoplifters can use to keep these things from. Should the store managers trash them because of these techniques? No, becuase those things are there to make casual theft harder. Just as the pens make casual conterfeitting harder.
I worked in a store with a backroom that, due to circumstances, had to be stocked with tons of small items. The shoflifting level was atrocious. We hooked up a camera with a live feed. It was completely imperfect. We never looked at the monitor, there were a hundred bins that things could be stolen that the camera wasn't pointed at. You could hide from the camera easily.
Yet shoplifting dropped about 50%. Why? because the demi-honest statyed honest under scrutiny. I belvei there's a line from Clerks that covered this. The pens are mostly in the habit of keeping people honest.
Is it sinking in now? A 55% failure rate is irrelevent if the attempt rate quadruples.
BillHoyt said:
Think about that, and run an analysis contrasting a $5 pen with a 55% error rate and a $50 detector with a 10% error rate. It doesn't take too many circulating fakes to see the pen loses miserably.
kookbreaker said:
Until the cashier loses the $50 detector and it has to be replaced.
Oh, I'm sorry, were we not talking about the real world?