FEMA's initial theory concerning a pancake collapse dealt specifically with the initiation process that got it going. The NIST concluded that the floor pancaking wasn't a factor in the
initiation, but it was certainly a factor is the collapse
progression. The core remnants standing after the main collapse corroborate this.
You're ahead of heiwa... perhaps you could take that as a complement, but you still don't have much of any understanding of what Bazants's model was intended to demonstrate. Bazants' simplification is just that -- a simplification. He reduces the complexity to it's bare minimum and then applies a condition most in favor of collapse arrest which assumes column to column impacts as opposed the the eccentric impacts which really happened. His model was biased heavily in favor of the collapse halting, but his calculations resulted ultimate in the collapse continuing even under the most favorable conditions. Readers who analyze his work start with this basic understanding; that in reality the collapse was not only more complex, but also much less ideal than the controlled conditions Bazant sets for his models.
Because as far as the collapse progression is concerned this is exactly what happened. Initial theories - as said earlier - had theorized this in the context of the collapse
initiation. The theory went that floors in the fire & impact regions failed over time causing more floors to fail. This then led to long unsupported column lengths which made the columns more vulnerable to buckling. The NIST determined in contrast that creep from the elevated temperatures in combination with the very high loads they were subjected to cause the columns to fail in the impact regions and the "pancaking" occurred later. I'm not quite sure why people have a difficult time understanding this....
Since it's well known how structural steel performs complaints about first time in histories are invalid. And you should consider revising what I bolded because it makes no sense whatsoever. Creep behavior was not directly responsible for the progressive collapse of the towers; it led to the the instability in the impact region ultimately to buckling behavior in the columns that started the collapse but the progression to ground level involved a separate set of mechanism dealing with impact and eccentric loading.
Before the towers there was no case that was so severe as to lead to the complete collapse of a skyscraper but progressive collapse has happened both before and after 9/11. The reason why catastrophes like the twin towers, and lesser ones like
Ronin Point are so rare, is because most buildings are properly designed to avoid it starting in the first place. Most buildings don't have gaping holes or large multistory fires, or gas explosions... events like those tend to be hazardous for occupant safety. I'm not going to bother with the rest of your post because it's simply incoherent rambling. But this:
to remind everyone reading this thread is an example of outright incompetence, and a demonstration that although you use precedents to argue your point, you backtrack on that idea when you claim that collapse mechanisms are impossible. Precedents studies aren't just limited to studying buildings; in many cases they also involve the writer having an intimate understanding of materials and how they are applied, none of which are qualities you possess