What was the rate of malnourished, underweight children in the USA during the 1960s?That's one point. Plus you have to correct for a decreasing prevalence of malnourished, underweight kids during that time period.
Here's the thing: No child should be obese. Period. I'm not saying anybody "should" be obese, but it's a much bigger problem if a child is obese.But either way, my position is not that the childhood obesity epidemic is completely fictitious, but rather just that the actual change in the incidence of obesity in kids over the past few decades has been vastly overblown by the media.
* Children are growing, so much of the calorie intake is used to build "good" mass (bones, muscles, etc). We all have to adjust are calorie intakes once we stop growing. A child who is putting on excessive fat while at the same time growing her body will encounter a much more serious problem when she gets older.
* Children have the most free time and opportunities for exercise compared to adults. We all encounter drop-offs in exercise as we grow up. Fat and obese children will encounter more serious problems as they age because their "baseline" is so much lower.
* More fat means less lean muscle which means a lower basal metabolism which means as they get older, they will actually need fewer calories than a child who is fit. Couple this with less exercise and excessive eating habits, and it's a recipe for disaster.
* There is control by the parents because the kids don't shop for food and the parents have influence on the physical activities. It's a lot harder for adults because they have to make all these decisions on their own, so when a child has a weight problem despite the assistance/training of their parents, it's a bigger concern.
In other words obese children are setting themselves up for major difficulties in life. And the merely "fatter" children are greatly increasing their odds of becoming obese as they age.
I also think you fail to understand how difficult it can be to see fat on a kid. Remember, we're talking about percentages of body fat here. Take a cube that is "1" on each side. The volume is 1 and the surface area is 6. Let's double the volume (weight) to 2. The sides are now 1.26, which is about 7.5 square units.
So, let's consider a 10% increase in body fat on our cube. The smaller cube is going to be a 0.1 increase spread over 6 square units. That's 0.016 units of fat per square unit. The larger cube is going to be 0.2 spread over 7.5 square units, which is about 0.026. That's 61% more fat per unit of surface area on the larger cube.
So, think about adults. A 180 pound man is twice the weight of a 90 pound kid, but he's not 10 feet tall. It's a lot easier to see a 10% increase in body fat on the man than it is on the kid because the kid has proportionally more surface area per unit of volume. So, if you're going to base your analysis on visual inspection, you need to keep in mind that "noticeable" fat on a child indicates a more serious issue than it would on an adult.
ETA: I used to be very athletic and did a lot of training. I used to track body fat using calipers. I'm a bit over six feet tall worked out heavily with weights, so I had plenty of muscle. My ex trained with me for a while. She was five feet tall, fit and thin (and flat chested). I never attempted to become "ripped" because that's a vanity thing. I trained for strength and sports where an extra few pounds of body fat made no practical difference so long I as not "fat" (think NFL quarterback). Anyway, my ex used to get really frustrated because her percentage of body fat was almost always higher than mine even though everyone would agree that she certainly appeared leaner. The calipers don't lie.
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