Paulhoff
You can't expect perfection.
- Joined
- May 1, 2005
- Messages
- 12,512
So please explain how you are not doing this.Sorry, but that's incorrect. You cannot extrapolate from a single data point.
Paul
So please explain how you are not doing this.Sorry, but that's incorrect. You cannot extrapolate from a single data point.
As I understand Bri, and I think she has a valid point, the problem is not in believing that it's likely, but in doing so AND also considering all god beliefs to be irrational.Bri, we're all saying that it's a guess. Most of us guess that life is likely. So, what is the problem?
Really? It seems to me that there is only evidence that says that it may be a place where bones are present, but no evidence that they are actually present until they are found.
If "a good place to look" serves as evidence, that sorta destroys your argument that there is no evidence for extra-terrestrial life, since all anyone is saying is that we may be able to identify "places to look".
You keep bringing up the teapot in orbit around Jupiter, though. That seems to be saying "figure out where something may be and then look in a completely different spot".
Well, what gives us the idea that there may be gods somewhere?
What about "there are no dinosaur bones in Tasmania" or "there is no CPT violation"?
Maybe you're simply demonstrating what many of us have known for a long time - Popper wasn't presenting a fixed principle.
As I understand Bri, and I think she has a valid point, the problem is not in believing that it's likely, but in doing so AND also considering all god beliefs to be irrational.
IOW, it's not that it's an irrational guess or that she believes it unlikely, but the double standard of considering one likely with no/little evidence to support that particular belief and then turning around and condemning theists as irrational for holding their particular belief because they have no/little evidence to support them. I can't recall if you were of that opinion, but certainly there are posters here who feel that way.
That's what I'm trying to figure out--if I disagree. It sounds like I have room for disagreement.
Apparently, we didn't discuss it, and you're confusing me with someone else.
You're begging the question. What is the evidence that the sun will rise tomorrow?
Had it only risen once, there would be little if any compelling evidence that it will rise again, particularly without knowing the conditions by which it rose the one time. There certainly wouldn't be enough evidence to conclude that it is probable that it would rise again.
Well, it's risen for a large number of days, sure. Great. But that's not the question. What's the evidence that it will rise tomorrow?
That it's risen for a large number of successive days prior is evidence that it is likely to occur again tomorrow, particularly since we understand the conditions by which it rises and it's unlikely that those conditions will change before tomorrow.
If it had only risen one day prior, particularly if we didn't understand the conditions by which it rose in order to determine how likely those conditions will be tomorrow, there would be no compelling evidence for the belief that the sun will rise tomorrow.
The highlighted portion of what you think we agreed to, is something you can only get to one way. You need to make an assumption to do so.
Regardless, before we get to that point, let's back up. Is the fact that the sun rose yesterday, evidence that it will rise tomorrow?
Sorry, but that's incorrect. You cannot extrapolate from a single data point.
That's fine. I consider the guess that there is a god to be equal to the guess that there is no god. Neither is rational nor irrational. We are faced with a choice once we look at reality, so we choose.
One of the issues is "what God?" If we discuss God as the Ground of all Being, then it is just as rational or irrational to call that God. I prefer to call it God, which miffs some folks. Others prefer not to, but since it is just a choice there is no counter-argument.
When it comes to personal gods, where the gods exist only be means of dualism, that is a different situation -- that is not rational because dualism itself is not a completely rational position. It might be correct, though. There is certainly no way to prove that it is wrong; but we must ask how we came up with the idea in the first place. It could have been a mistake that lead us to a dualistic perpective, but that again does not mean that it is wrong. It is certainly possible that there is a personal God who interacts with the world through miracle. I don't think we can call that position rational, but it may be that we are asking the wrong question to begin with.
Of course it depends on context. In this case we have the context that life arose once for sure and there are plenty of stars and likely plenty of planets. The chance that one of them has life is pretty likely I believe.
We can assume anything we like. You cannot assume that it is unlikely to occur because you don't know all the conditions by which it happened the first time, though you seem to think that you can.
This is all opinion. Know one knows, I think we can all agree on that. You honestly think that you have control over others' opinions on this matter?
Read what I wrote. I did not say that we extrapolate knowledge from a single data point. I said that we can conjecture from one. We do it all the time based on analogy.
Fine. I have no problem with the statement that the conditions are unknown. That leaves us free to conjecture as we please. So what is the problem here?
Again, you cannot use the "evidence that there was an infinitesimally small chance the intelligent life occurred here" to further the same argument in which you say that the conditions are unknown elsewhere.
OW, it's not that it's an irrational guess or that she believes it unlikely, but the double standard of considering one likely with no/little evidence to support that particular belief and then turning around and condemning theists as irrational for holding their particular belief because they have no/little evidence to support them.
here is nothing unique about our galaxy and our sun. There is nothing unique about how the earth began. It looks the way is does now because of life, for one there would be no free oxygen without life.
There is nothing unique about our galaxy and our sun. There is nothing unique about how the earth began. It looks the way is does now because of life, for one there would be no free oxygen without life. There is nothing unique about physics on earth; the four forces known are not different anywhere else in the universe.
So, can a theist be rational, not when it comes to a so-called god.
I think I am going to have a lot of fun here! Who says that the theist has little evidence to support their belief systems? We have cosmological arguments which to be considered as such must be reasonable and logical. These cosmological arguments were founded by some of the greatest thinkers of all time. We have modern equivalents of those arguments supported by William Craig ThD PhD and Robert Koon PhD just to name two of many (I can think of twenty professional reasonable arguments that have graced the stages of universities from Berlin to Princeton.
Of course if you would of said empirical evidence that is more difficult. However in science there are accepted theory that has very little or no evdience to support them as well.
; {>
Things are either part of the causal chain or they are not. To be part of the causal chain means that the mechanism by which a influences b is describable on a causal account. To speak of a totally different substance is to invoke something that is not part of the causal chain, so not describable. It's a fundamental issue having to do with the types of 'substance' involved.
'Magic' is not intended as a derogatory term, only as a description of the issue -- something that occurs without possible explanation. It denotes the interaction problem.
Beth said:Welcome to the forum! Yes, it can be a fun because there are lots of intelligent and witty people here. However, it can be quite abrasive too. If you manage to remain calm and respective of others even when they are not, you won't have any problems. Good luck.
I'm not surprised.
Again this is simple, if no so-called god in the mix, then please explain how live and then intelligent life would not show up anywhere else in the universe.
Then you hold a belief without compelling evidence. We don't know the chances that one of them has intelligent life given that we don't know the conditions by which intelligent life emerges or how specific those conditions are to this planet.
I do not think that you can. I've never said that you can assume that it is unlikely to occur any more than you can assume that it's likely to occur. I said that there is some evidence that it is unlikely to occur, but that evidence is far from definitive.
I completely agree, and of course I don't have control over (or even the desire to control) other's opinions on the matter. Nor do I think that either opinion is necessarily irrational. Others have suggested that certain opinions are necessarily irrational, and I'm just trying to figure out by what definition of "irrational" one opinion can be labeled necessarily irrational and another rational when there is no compelling evidence to support either one.
Again, I completely agree. We can conjecture on anything. I don't personally think having an opinion is necessarily irrational when there's no compelling evidence to support it (after all, if there was compelling evidence, it would be more than just an opinion). Do you disagree?
It sounds like we're in agreement. The only problem I have is with the claim (which I don't think was made by you, by the way) that you can label one opinion for which there is no compelling evidence as necessarily irrational and another as rational without resorting to special pleading.
You seem to be misunderstanding my argument. I'm not arguing that ET intelligent life doesn't exist. I'm just arguing that there's no compelling evidence that it does. I agree that there's also no compelling evidence that it doesn't.
-Bri
Hello, I asked if you thought that, do you think you need a so-called god for that to happen.Are you claiming that the only possible explanation for a lack of intelligent life elsewhere in the universe would be a god?
Please read the article on the Rare Earth Hypothesis. It has nothing to do with a god.
-Bri