That comes out to 4% of deportations involve parents of legal kids. Do only 4% of illegals have children who are citizens?
JoeTheJuggler said:
Just using the figures you're providing, I would point out that it means that 4% of deported illegals have children who are citizens. Not necessarily only 4% of all illegals.
If there are 12 million illegals in the country, and 4 million legal kids with an illegal parent, the percentage of illegal immigrants with legal children is much higher than 4%. Unless you think the average is being skewed by illegal immigrant families with 800 legal kids or something.
So if you have a legal kid (AND you commit a crime), your odds of being deported are very small (in an average year, only 8,800 parents out of the 4 million families where there's an illegal parent and legal child are deported: much less than 1%. AND those parents were involved in the criminal justice system).
I don't think this is a valid conclusion. Though I agree in general your odds of being deported are very small anyway, but I don't know if having a citizen child has any effect. At least nothing you've said makes that connection.
Not counting any other factors, an illegal's odds of being deported during one of the years of the study are approx. 200,000 out of approx. 12 million. About 1.5%.
If you're one of the 4 million illegal parents of a legal child (and the actual number is, of course, higher- I'm assuming one illegal parent per legal child), your odds are 8,800 out of 4 million: .2%
Prima facia, illegal immigrants with legal children have a much smaller chance of being deported.
If you have a legal kid and DON'T commit a crime, your odds of being deported are probably almost non-existent.
And if you're an illegal who doesn't commit a crime and doesn't have a citizen child, your odds of being deported are also almost non-existent. Enforcement efforts are aimed primarily at criminal illegals.
Source?
Anyway, the study highlighted that: the 88,000 parents that were deported during the 10 year period had broken laws. If you're a parent of a legal citizen who hasn't broken any laws, your odds of being deported are likely much less than a non-parent who hasn't broken any laws. Illegals who obey the law still get deported.
So yeah, I think there's an incentive to come to America and have a kid here.
Again, I don't think anything you've said supports this conclusion. Even so, so what? Does that mean we should repeal the 14th Amendment?
The statistics support it: your odds of deportation are much lower if you have a legal citizen child.
I like to point out that the vast majority of rapists are males. It's very nearly 100%. Should we then criminalize having a Y chromosome? This is roughly analogous to the connection between illegal immigrants and crime.
I wasn't making a connection between illegal immigrants and crime. I'm showing that having a legal child, for whatever reason, makes one much less likely to be deported. Probably because INS is not made up of robots, but actual people who are generally sympathetic and reluctant to break up families.