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Bin Laden Dead?

No. "War" is not a cause of death. If you want to claim you know how he died, you have to specify. Was he shot, blown up, knifed, strangled, choked by a tactical US Marines cyborg octopus?
And he did all that successfully for years. What is your reasoning for asserting something changed recently?
Really? I wouldn't have been able to guess that.
How he died. When he died. Where he died.

IraQ has nothing to do with bin Laden. Well, it didn't until we invaded and created a flourishing breeding ground for Islamic terrorists. As for Afghanistan, you seem to be suggesting bin Laden must still be there nearly ten years later.

I don't know quite why you keep trying to drag this out. Your point remains you believe bin Laden is dead because he hasn't been seen for a while. Please explain what part of that you disagree with.

I see we are getting nowhere. For some reason you don't think that being in a war subject to bombing and gunfire and being a prime target for thousands of invading soldiers is a likely scenario where you could die. I think I said it 4 times now already. The analogy can be made for lots of other people that died in one war or another. Insisting that they must be alive, because we can not find their bodies or determine the exact cause of death doesn't work in a warzone: Vietnam, Cambodia, Korea, WWII. Or even in the US I think, in peace time, 9/11?

The thing that changed for Bin Laden after the invasion of Afghanistan was that there was no Taliban leadership to keep him from harm, and the invasion itself, carpet bombing, cave-busters, and soldiers coming after him. That could be a reason things changed. Otherwise invading Afghanistan would have been a complete failure to achieve the objective to find Bin Laden. The reaon to invade the country was to go get him and not having to deal with the taliban to get him. You seem to miss that point for the 5 th time.

You want to find out the following: "How he died. When he died. Where he died". These are your requests, understandable, but not in line with the guidelines for death in absentia you quoted.
Regardless of that, the point is the last lines in the requirements to proclaim someone legally dead:
"How the individual is thought to have died (murder, suicide, accident, etc.)
the balance of probabilities that make it more likely than not that the individual is dead"
Which doesn't say you need to be certain, and points out that you have to weigh the probabilities. The chance that this man is dead, seems much more likely then him being the superpowered evil-villain you make him out to be.

I would agree that Iraq had nothing to do with fundamentalism or with terrorism in the sense that was witnessed on 9/11. I also find it rather unlikely that if they can find Saddam Hussein in a hole in Iraq in 2 months time, that they can't find Bin -Laden there in a period of several years, if he should be in Iraq.
Concerning Afghanistan: it's not me who believes Bin Laden is there, ( I think he's dead, remember ?) but the army seems to think he's alive and well in Afghanistan and needs to be found. They are still there...

Again: it's not just "we haven't seen him for a while", we tried to kill a bad old man on dialysis with overwhelming force "shock and awe",
"Sending in troops and invading several countries. Also including the national security of several countries to find him and interrogating a very large number of people, civilians, terrorists and even using what can be considered torture to extract information."
So therefore it seems likely that we succeeded if you cannot find him anymore and don't hear from him... Much more likely then him having extraordinary powers to evade all this and survive for years on end, without any technology. The probability for him being hit by a bomb, if he is the target, is much higher then him surviving as some extra-ordinarily gifted person. Nevertheless, people insist that he must be this good at evading the US forces even if hundreds of thousands of civilians fail at this (even when they are not the primary target).

My post was merely a footnote to Darat's ascertion that "we know he was alive at some point of time so it is the one making the claim that he is now dead who has the burden of proof. " You were so curtious to point out the possibility of death in absentia, to which I was refering. The reason this is so dragged out is because you seem to feel it is less likely he's dead despite the conditions that have changed for him as mentioned above.

We can continue to discuss this, but regardless of what comes out of that, the fact is that it remains a reason for occupation of the area, even if the likelyhood of him surviving this are slim at best. ( You can discuss if there is any justification for this, but that is beside the point of my posts)

If I made any spelling errors in my post I like to apologize, it's not my native language and I'll do the best I can to avoid them.
I hope this clarification helps.

SYL :)
 
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As for "Where is the evidence that he is alive?", it doesn't quite work like that - we know he was alive at some point of time so it is the one making the claim that he is now dead who has the burden of proof.

The saying is "extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence" but the claim that an old man on dialysis probably hasn't survived the better part of a decade in some of the harshest terrain in the world is a very ordinary claim and shouldn't require any more than a preponderance of the evidence.
 
Bin Laden is like, so dead.
All the buzz about him and his sheik techno caves are uber passe.
Every hip bar or club wouldn't be caught dead even mentioning his stupid name...(I am so ssssure.....like, whatever Bin "Benny Lava" Laden.)
Bin Laden can go suck a rock, or a rocket for all we care.

Boycott BP is all-the-rage...

(beats)
BP suck-it,
BP suck-it suck-it,
house, house music
Gulf, gulf-gulf-gulf-gulf it down,
BP house....uh huh.....
 
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The saying is "extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence" but the claim that an old man on dialysis probably hasn't survived the better part of a decade in some of the harshest terrain in the world is a very ordinary claim and shouldn't require any more than a preponderance of the evidence.

Nice post - no idea what it has to do with my post but there you go...
 
As far as not knowing where Bin Laden was, if that is true, I have a different question: why are we in Afghanistan and Irak? I thought getting Bin Laden was the whole point of going to Afghanistan. So I presume they do have an idea where he was.
The US says we're in Afghanistan to establish a stable government so that country won't be a breeding ground for more terrorism. Nothing is said about OBL.
 
I see we are getting nowhere. For some reason you don't think that being in a war subject to bombing and gunfire and being a prime target for thousands of invading soldiers is a likely scenario where you could die.
We're getting nowhere because you're not reading what I post. To prove me wrong, please tell me where I denied that "being in a war subject to bombing and gunfire and being a prime target for thousands of invading soldiers is a likely scenario where you could die." I will not hold my breath waiting for this to happen.
 
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The US says we're in Afghanistan to establish a stable government so that country won't be a breeding ground for more terrorism. Nothing is said about OBL.

The US says all sorts of things on the hoof.

The original demands of "Operation Infinite Justice", which later became "Operation Enduring Freedom", said nothing about establishing stable government.

On September 20, 2001, the U.S. stated that Osama bin Laden was behind the September 11 attacks in 2001, and made a five point ultimatum to the Taliban:

Deliver to the U.S. all of the leaders of al-Qaeda
Release all imprisoned foreign nationals
Close immediately every terrorist training camp
Hand over every terrorist and their supporters to appropriate authorities
Give the United States full access to terrorist training camps for inspection

http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2001/09/11/world/main310852.shtml
 
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On September 20, 2001, the U.S. stated that Osama bin Laden was behind the September 11 attacks in 2001, and made a five point ultimatum to the Taliban:

Deliver to the U.S. all of the leaders of al-Qaeda
Release all imprisoned foreign nationals
Close immediately every terrorist training camp
Hand over every terrorist and their supporters to appropriate authorities
Give the United States full access to terrorist training camps for inspection

http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2001/09/11/world/main310852.shtml


And the Taliban demanded evidence for Bin Laden's involvement, which Colin Powell promised but failed to deliver. In mid October, they finally offered to hand him over without evidence, to anyone but the US:

The Guardian said:
New offer on Bin Laden

A senior Taliban minister has offered a last-minute deal to hand over Osama bin Laden during a secret visit to Islamabad, senior sources in Pakistan told the Guardian last night. For the first time, the Taliban offered to hand over Bin Laden for trial in a country other than the US without asking to see evidence first in return for a halt to the bombing, a source close to Pakistan's military leadership said.

But US officials appear to have dismissed the proposal and are instead hoping to engineer a split within the Taliban leadership.

The offer was brought by Mullah Wakil Ahmed Muttawakil, the Taliban foreign minister and a man who is often regarded as a more moderate figure in the regime. [...]
 
What's up with all those AQ videos?

I get better quality filming with an outdated smartphone and editing on a old laptop, using free software.

Hell, my videotapes from the eighties look and sound better.

I demand better production value!
 
What's up with all those AQ videos?

I get better quality filming with an outdated smartphone and editing on a old laptop, using free software.

Hell, my videotapes from the eighties look and sound better.

I demand better production value!

Yeah, but then the devil might tempt them into sexting.
 
What's up with all those AQ videos?

I get better quality filming with an outdated smartphone and editing on a old laptop, using free software.

Hell, my videotapes from the eighties look and sound better.

I demand better production value!


Multiple copying to cover any possible evidence of his whereabouts??
 

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