bruto
Penultimate Amazing
LAL thinks that anecdotal evidence should not be discounted if there's a sufficient quantity of it, and there, I think, lies the fatal problem of faith-driven efforts such as the search for bigfoot.
An unidentifiable hair, a missed picture, an ambiguous footprint, or any other unverifiable result is worth exactly zero. For the purposes of scientific proof it should count as equal to no event at all. No matter how high you pile zeroes, they add up to zero. LAL somehow has come to the notion that bad evidence should be graded on a curve related to its frequency.
But I would contend the contrary, that the longer one goes with only unverifiable results, and the more such observations take place, the LESS worthy of any attention they should become. It's to be expected that a certain percentage of sightings of anything, even a real thing, will be imprecise and unverifiable. If one is seeking a new and undiscovered thing, it's reasonable to follow up any lead, even the most tenuous, in hope of finding something that can be verified, but the point is to find better evidence, not more of the same, and the longer one goes without realizing that hope, the less reasonable it becomes. To suggest that zero verifiability after decades of searching and tracking constitutes some kind of success is indeed folly.
I really do hope there turns out to be a bigfoot out there. I think it would be an interesting thing. But I don't think it's going to turn out to be true, and I think that even if it does turn out to be true, it will not be verified by the people now searching unless they come to some understanding of the way they have failed so far.
An unidentifiable hair, a missed picture, an ambiguous footprint, or any other unverifiable result is worth exactly zero. For the purposes of scientific proof it should count as equal to no event at all. No matter how high you pile zeroes, they add up to zero. LAL somehow has come to the notion that bad evidence should be graded on a curve related to its frequency.
But I would contend the contrary, that the longer one goes with only unverifiable results, and the more such observations take place, the LESS worthy of any attention they should become. It's to be expected that a certain percentage of sightings of anything, even a real thing, will be imprecise and unverifiable. If one is seeking a new and undiscovered thing, it's reasonable to follow up any lead, even the most tenuous, in hope of finding something that can be verified, but the point is to find better evidence, not more of the same, and the longer one goes without realizing that hope, the less reasonable it becomes. To suggest that zero verifiability after decades of searching and tracking constitutes some kind of success is indeed folly.
I really do hope there turns out to be a bigfoot out there. I think it would be an interesting thing. But I don't think it's going to turn out to be true, and I think that even if it does turn out to be true, it will not be verified by the people now searching unless they come to some understanding of the way they have failed so far.