Darth Rotor
Salted Sith Cynic
- Joined
- Aug 4, 2006
- Messages
- 38,527
Actually, if you look at defense expenditures divided by GDP for a series of years, say five years, or ten years, you will often notice a trend, upward or downward, of defense outlays as a consistent pattern, or some changes, of spending from funds available. The US had a negative trend for most of the 1990's, due to the political assessment of requirements going down, and the economy growing during that period. Both factors contributed, though IMO the requirements downgrade was the more significant factor.No I didn't, and I don't have the understanding of the life and costs for maintenance of capital military expenditures to venture a guess.
But, I do have a confession to make to you:
Earlier in the thread you noted the US spends like 4% GDP on defence, and I said 'I think Sweden spends something like the same amount, actually.' I got this impression from a defence analyst I talked to once. I asked him why Canada couldn't have a thriving domestic arms industry, since Sweden seems to be able to develop and field its own tanks and fighter planes. He told me that he talked to someone from the Swedish defence agency and asked him the same question, and that person's answer was 'we spend a LOT'.
So, that was how my retarded post got made.
If a country like Venezuela is also going through a significant change in the economy in general, very strong (relatively) or very weak, that might skew the perception.
I think a comparison along those (GDP) lines would be a useful way to put some context and perspective around Hugo's latest expenditures, though I appreciate your wanting to also fold in the longer term capital commitments any hardware purchases will demand.
Maybe I should be encouraging DC to make that analysis, since he tossed some numbers out that didn't shed much light on the conversation.
Not sure if this site is biased or not, but take a look at these two graphs:
http://venezuelanalysis.com/images/2007/06/image001-6.gif
http://venezuelanalysis.com/images/2007/06/image002-4_p.gif
Granted, that only takes us to 2007, but if you look at the gross dollar amounts spent, first graph, and then look at the recent purchases, it looks as though he's made a non trivial upward change in the last couple of years, but I suspect that analysis and numbers for 2008 and 2009 might need a bit more time/effort.
Put another way: Hugo, if he thinks he needs to counter US military capability, is doing nothing but buy targets for the US Army, Navy, and Air Force to practice on.
"Men mean more than guns in the rating of a ship." -- John Paul Jones --
DR
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