joobz said:
Nice escape hatch. evolution is only allowed to occur by point mutation because you say so? All evidence of other mechanisms (that are known to be important) don't count.
There's a reason why your "solid well thought out" argument and mathematical evidence resides only in forum posts.
This is the reoccuring theme with kleinman. He seems certain that only point mutation is real and all other mutations are illusory (or derivative). Ev doesn't model a translocation or large repeat, so, there's no way to measure what effect these mutations would have on the number of generations necessary for convergence of Rseq to Rfreq.
kleinman also seems unwilling to accept that the measurement of Rseq approaching Rfreq is an "average," not a genetic requirement. Ev simply measures genetic information gain, based on Rseq approaching Rfreq. It doesn't measure functionality, because the creatures have no function. We have no way to know what changes any particular mutation or genetic sequence imparts on its host.
For all we know, were we actually able to get some real world creature to start replicating according to the ev sequences, the results might show huge morphological changes well before Rseq approaches Rfreq.
kleinman's entire argument devolves to: evolution is impossible because ev's point mutation can't evolve a different genetic sequence within the same number of generations that would be required in the real world for a similar genetic sequence, without increasing the number of mutations per generation beyond the threshold where cancer and death prior to reproduction is most likely outcome.
Problem with this is that cancer is generally a somatic cell phenomenon. In a germ cell, a large number of mutations in any generation may stop reproduction, or, have a neutral effect, or produce a substantial change in the organism.
Ev can't model any of the above. Even if we turn up the number of mutations to a ridiculous level, many random point mutations are not the same as one large translocation, repeat, fusion, deletion, etc.
Ev shows information gain, which prior to ev, was the creationist bellwether for what's wrong with evolution. Having lost that position, the current argument is: too many combinations to reach a particular sequence in X number of trials makes evolution impossible.
The law of large numbers rejects this claim, because in order for a probability calculation to be valid in the first place, all outcomes leading to a probability p, must occur given a sufficient number of trials. There's no rule as to when a particular outcome must occur. No matter how unlikely an outcome may seem in advance, it could appear on any trial.
And, with evolution, no particular outcome is required. We're here because we're here because we're here -- not because we are an outcome which is required to occur. Homo sapien could have just as easily evolved to be 3 inches tall and look like a broccoli spear -- rather than a Shakespeare -- if you catch my genetic drift.
Sadly, the creationist mentality is that all outcomes are predetermined. Which is a remarkable paradox, considering that kleinman argues improbability makes evolution impossible. Because, if all outcomes are predetermined, then there is no such thing as improbability to make evolution impossible.
And, so on and so forth.