1) Believe in GOD
2) Abuse mathematics
3) ???
4) Profit!
Originally Posted by kjkent1
The debate, which you claim I do not understand, is trivially simple, and it will continue, unabated, as long as humans exist in their present form. I.E., (1) a creator has existed eternally and has designed the universe to function in a specified manner, such that human life now exists, (2) matter contained in the universe is naturally capable of self organization, such that human life now exists, or (3) some combination of #1 and/or #2.
Too bad #2 has no mathematical basis.
Here is where your lack of understanding of ev is revealing itself. Dr Schneider has devised a selection mechanism that is very precise and stringent. It works very rapidly on small genomes with large mutation rates. The only way I can see devising a selection mechanism that works more rapidly than this is that every mutation is selected for or against on a mutation by mutation basis. Dr Schneider’s weight matrix is already very close to this and it still becomes profoundly slow when you apply this process to a realistic length genome. Don’t you think Dr Schneider, Paul or Myriad would redefine the selection process if they could? The reason they don’t is there is no known selection mechanism that could speed up the evolutionary process. This is an accounting problem and I know of no accounting rules that fix this mathematical fact that contradicts the theory of evolution.
About 25-30 years ago there was an attempt to screen women for breast cancer by using thermography. The problem with this screening test was there were 50% false positives. I looked at the thermodynamics of this problem for my PhD. Once you did the mathematics for this situation, it became clear why there were so many false positives. I could see no way to overcome the physics and mathematics of this situation. The mathematics of the theory of evolution is presenting itself in the same way. There are no known selection processes or mutation mechanisms that would allow you to evolve a megabase genome in the time available, let alone a gigabase genome. This is a mathematical fact of life.
That’s a strange thing for you to say. Just a few short months ago you thought that ev represented the holy grail for the theory of evolution and you even wrote the online version of this model. Now you are professing ignorance and are even indignant that I should raise such a point. Do I detect some annoyance?Kleinman said:I think the only unsettled question about ev is whether populations of 10^28 will speed up the evolutionary process sufficiently for a 1 meg genome.Paul said:Using only point mutations? Who knows? Who gives a crap?
None of the population series we have done show a rapid convergence to Adequate’s proposed value of 1 generation for convergence with an infinite population. Do you think larger genomes will show a more rapid approach to this value of 1 generation? I believe that larger genomes will show lower rates of reduction in the generations for convergence as population is increased.Kleinman said:A population of 1,000,000 doesn’t get you there with a 1k genome. Do you think it will get better with larger genomes?Paul said:Huh?
You are so cute when you squirm.Kleinman said:I have no idea what your view toward ev is or was. You have back peddled so much on this topic since it has started, I don’t even know if you believe that random point mutation and natural selection contributes to macroevolution at all unless you consider a single point mutation affecting eye color as a macroevolutionary process.Paul said:I haven't backpeddled at all. Never did I state that we were dealing with the Theory of Point Mutation and Natural Selection. I don't know whether point mutation contributes to macroevolution, because you've never defined macroevolution. What difference does it make, exactly? Is there a world somewhere that employs only point mutations?
That’s ok; you have already given me more than enough red meat to keep this barbeque going for months.Kleinman said:Feel free to prove my statement wrong.Paul said:Not my job, mon.
Why don’t you tell us what your idea of a realistic genome lengths and mutation rates are? With respects to realistic populations, 1 meg is a realistic estimate for the population of our supposed primate ancestor. If you are supporter of Gould’s hypothesis of punctuated equilibrium, populations would even be smaller. The only portion of my proof with ev on the effects of population size which has not been completed (not defective) is the effects of population on the microorganism population scale. The initial data from ev on this issue does not look good for the evolutionarian viewpoint.Kleinman said:The results from Dr Schneider’s model using realistic genome lengths and mutation rates are my mathematical proof.Paul said:First of all, you have no idea what realistic genome lengths and mutations rates are. Second, you haven't used realistic populations, so your proof is defective. Third, even if this were all true, what have you proven? You've proven that the Kleinman Theory of Point Mutations and Natural Selection is flawed. We know that. We agree.
It has been a while since I posted my view of abiogenesis and the theory of evolution. I do not believe there is any scientific or mathematical basis for the concept of abiogenesis. I look at the theory of evolution as composed of two parts. The first part consists of microevolutionary processes which have a mathematical and scientific basis and the second part consists of macroevolutionary processes which do not have a mathematical and scientific basis.joobz said:I don't get it, Kleinman. You only acknowledge evolution when you care for your patients. You use science and fact in doing so. But, when you look at the overall picture, you claim that it doesn't exist. And you use illogic and lies to do so.
So far, I can say that I respect Kleinman the Dr, but have severe doubts about Kleinman the scientist.
#2 can be disproved mathematically, that is what I am doing with ev. Are you saying you can disprove #1 mathematically? I would really like to see this.Kleinman said:The debate, which you claim I do not understand, is trivially simple, and it will continue, unabated, as long as humans exist in their present form. I.E., (1) a creator has existed eternally and has designed the universe to function in a specified manner, such that human life now exists, (2) matter contained in the universe is naturally capable of self organization, such that human life now exists, or (3) some combination of #1 and/or #2.kjkent1 said:Too bad #2 has no mathematical basis.fishbob said:Neither does #1.
You evolutionarians continue to accuse me of abusing your mathematics. It is easy enough to demonstrate this if it were true but you fail to do this. Where is the problem? Is it in using known genome lengths and mutation rates in ev? Ev is forcing evolutionarians to speculate that there were life forms that had much shorter genome lengths than any free living organism known today and that these life forms could endure much higher mutation rates than any living thing known today. In addition, ev is showing that no gene or fundamental genetic control system can evolve on a megabase genome by random point mutation and natural selection. It is mathematically impossible as so well demonstrated by the ev computer model.Kleinman said:Here is where your lack of understanding of ev is revealing itself. Dr Schneider has devised a selection mechanism that is very precise and stringent. It works very rapidly on small genomes with large mutation rates. The only way I can see devising a selection mechanism that works more rapidly than this is that every mutation is selected for or against on a mutation by mutation basis. Dr Schneider’s weight matrix is already very close to this and it still becomes profoundly slow when you apply this process to a realistic length genome. Don’t you think Dr Schneider, Paul or Myriad would redefine the selection process if they could? The reason they don’t is there is no known selection mechanism that could speed up the evolutionary process. This is an accounting problem and I know of no accounting rules that fix this mathematical fact that contradicts the theory of evolution.
About 25-30 years ago there was an attempt to screen women for breast cancer by using thermography. The problem with this screening test was there were 50% false positives. I looked at the thermodynamics of this problem for my PhD. Once you did the mathematics for this situation, it became clear why there were so many false positives. I could see no way to overcome the physics and mathematics of this situation. The mathematics of the theory of evolution is presenting itself in the same way. There are no known selection processes or mutation mechanisms that would allow you to evolve a megabase genome in the time available, let alone a gigabase genome. This is a mathematical fact of life.fishbob said:Apparently you drive nails with a screwdriver.
I imagine a collection in your garage of abused tools in broken piles on the workbench. The mathematics of drilling holes with sandpaper is indeed difficult to overcome.
I did yes.Did you read Hewitt's response to me?
Sigh, it's as if you didn't read my prior post? Why do you still insist on redefining complexity as order? Do you understand the concept of complexity? Do you understand that you are not substituting an equivalent term when you use the word "order"?You know, the part where he explicitly states:
From this we can conclude that Hewitt is arguing that order in inanimate things is different than order in animate things. We can conclude this because it is exactly what he says.I[n] short animate and inanimate objects are different
My entire argument has been that he is making a distinction between order in inaminate things and order in animate things.
You appear to have quoted me here not for the purpose of responding to the point but merely to mimic the word pattern. re: "the essential point you have been missing". Do you have anything to say to the point?From the above quote of Hewitt's, it would appear that the essential point you have been missing is that Hewitt is arguing that order in inaminate things is different than order in animate things.The essential point you have been missing is that order and complexity are not synonomous.
Shrug. I can't say that I'm particularily surprised to see you retreat to a bunker mentality.I am sorry that you are no more equipped to understand Hewitt's posts than you are mine, but unless you can demonstrate you actually know what either of us is talking about, I'm going to stop reading your posts.
It has been a while since I posted my view of abiogenesis and the theory of evolution. I do not believe there is any scientific or mathematical basis for the concept of abiogenesis. I look at the theory of evolution as composed of two parts. The first part consists of microevolutionary processes which have a mathematical and scientific basis and the second part consists of macroevolutionary processes which do not have a mathematical and scientific basis.
I understand that evolutionarians do not draw this kind of distinction and view microevolution and macroevolution as part of a continuum. This is why I like using ev in this debate. It shows how little can be accomplished by random point mutations and natural selection in billions of generations. Hard science comes down to applying known physical laws in as precise a mathematical model as possible in order to predict the behavior of a system.
Most evolutionarians who have studied the mathematics of the theory of evolution know that chance alone can not explain their theory so they introduce the concept of a selection process in order to overcome these virtually impossible probabilities. The problem with the concept of a selection process is that none is known that overcome these virtually impossible probabilities, either to evolve one species to another or to generate the initial ribozymes needed in the primordial soup to generate the first life forms.
When it comes to abiogenesis we don't yet know enough to say to what roles chance and selection play. It may be continuous as you say but it may in fact be discontinuous in which case chance likely plays a larger role. In short, given our ignorace of abiogenesis, I think it is premature to dismiss chance.Dawkins selfish gene is not about chance--mutation might be random--but selection is not...and it's the ratcheting that brings complexity.
Kleinman said:It has been a while since I posted my view of abiogenesis and the theory of evolution. I do not believe there is any scientific or mathematical basis for the concept of abiogenesis. I look at the theory of evolution as composed of two parts. The first part consists of microevolutionary processes which have a mathematical and scientific basis and the second part consists of macroevolutionary processes which do not have a mathematical and scientific basis.
Kleinman said:
I understand that evolutionarians do not draw this kind of distinction and view microevolution and macroevolution as part of a continuum. This is why I like using ev in this debate. It shows how little can be accomplished by random point mutations and natural selection in billions of generations. Hard science comes down to applying known physical laws in as precise a mathematical model as possible in order to predict the behavior of a system.
Most evolutionarians who have studied the mathematics of the theory of evolution know that chance alone can not explain their theory so they introduce the concept of a selection process in order to overcome these virtually impossible probabilities. The problem with the concept of a selection process is that none is known that overcome these virtually impossible probabilities, either to evolve one species to another or to generate the initial ribozymes needed in the primordial soup to generate the first life forms.joobz said:but this is the heart of it. No one has claimed chance alone.
No one has claimed point mutation alone. No one has claimed we know all mechanisms. Yet,you continue to beat the straw man and no one understands your efforts. When these facts are pointed out to you, you ignore it. That makes your methods dishonest, which can never exist in science.
Maybe you have legitimate complaints about a minority of investigators who hold to the things you argue against. But these people aren't here on this forum. And, your methods make your actions worse then these ficticious foes. How can we take your arguements seriously when you continue to chant the same mistaken views, mistaken conclusions and mistaken assumptions?
When it comes to abiogenesis we don't yet know enough to say to what roles chance and selection play. It may be continuous as you say but it may in fact be discontinuous in which case chance likely plays a larger role. In short, given our ignorace of abiogenesis, I think it is premature to dismiss chance.
Also, if John were to attempt to get ID or God in through the backdoor so to speak, then I would object to that, but I haven't seen him do that.
I will reserve judgement on that.No, he's just trying to insert god into the gaps between knowledge.
I agree that defining life is problematic. I guess I don't see why this is such an issue for you though. The lack of a rigorous definition across all disciplines does not imply that shaking up a box of granola is equivalent to life except simpler.I am pointing out that no matter how you define life--via complexity or anything else--there is no easy dividing line--there is much that doesn't fit neatly in one side or the other no matter what definition you give. For example, are tumors "alive"? Are the bacteria that help you digest food? At what point is a virus alive (they give "live" polio vaccinations and "killed" ones).
Well you didn't really expect a valid argument from creationists did you?One thing creationists do is to talk about "increasing complexity" in the genome--but they never say exactly what they mean. More DNA? More genes? More chromosomes? More order? A more masterful symphony between the interacting components? Higher functioning?
No, I don't mean consciousness.So what is the complexity that makes life different than non-life?--or are you talking more about consciousness?--which also exists on a continuum.
It is true that I cannot give you a precise definition of "complex". I can provide you with several informal descriptions of complex systems if that would be helpful. From wikipedia:Never defining the terms or what this god or whomever is supposed to have done is just useless (though I bet you could get a Templeton prize if you do it well.)
A complex system is a highly structured system, which shows structure with variations (Goldenfeld and Kadanoff)
A complex system is one whose evolution is very sensitive to initial conditions or to small perturbations, one in which the number of independent interacting components is large, or one in which there are multiple pathways by which the system can evolve (Whitesides and Ismagilov)
A complex system is one that by design or function or both is difficult to understand and verify (Weng, Bhalla and Iyengar)
A complex system is one in which there are multiple interactions between many different components (D. Rind)
Complex systems are systems in process that constantly evolve and unfold over time (W. Brian Arthur).
Without self-replication evolution won't happen. Most non-living systems cannot replicate themselves.No one is dismissing chance. There's trillions of chance events--but some lead to something else slightly more complex--slightly more "life-like"--slightly more likely to survive and evolve into something else rather than break down and let the molecules of existence be incorporated elsewhere. If a chance event (from meteors to blind luck) even enhances some group of molecules chance of surviving on earth--that group of molecules can evolve--living or not. Just like molecules in a snowball can evolve into a bigger snowball-- or melt and join other molecules as a puddle--or evaporate into water vapor (which still as mass and molecules)--the molecules can also freeze in a lattice structure making ice.
Certainly I agree. Why does it matter?You'll agree that water is necessary to life on this planet...but it is not life itself. At what point do water molecules become a part of life?
I mean that it might have required a large degree of luck to get started.As for life being discontinuous--what do you mean?
Maybe I'm missing what your getting at. Despite a fuzzy middle ground, life is clearly different from non-life.Why would you even presume life (however you define it or wherever you put the divinding line) is different.
See above.So, what is the complexity factor that separates life from non-life.
I don't think that. I said it may be.And what makes you think it was discontinuous?
No.Do you also think speciation is discontinuous?
It's a big fuzzy middle ground.When are the sperm and eggs officially "alive"? (or pollen and other plant gametes or spores?) At what point does the alive thing cease being alive?
You no longer say that that abiogenesis and theory of evolution are based on chance alone because analysis of this concept shows the virtual mathematical impossibility of this concept.
Hard science requires you run the numbers.
Hmm. Who schedules the asteroid strikes, volcanoes, plate movements, smoker vent availability, etc?Natural Selection is not chance.
Er, no. It works the other way, although point mutation seems to be taking a beating as having potential effectiveness outside the microev scale.NO, YOU RUN THE NUMBERS YOU LAZY ASS. YOU FALSIFY.
Kleinman said:You no longer say that that abiogenesis and theory of evolution are based on chance alone because analysis of this concept shows the virtual mathematical impossibility of this concept.
Kleinman said:cyborg said:You dumb ****.
Natural Selection is not chance.
But do keep banging that drum about how YOU'VE changed us from believing in a chance theory based on your amazing insights with ev. ****, you might even eventually persuade us that probabilities can go all the way to 11.
Kleinman said:You no longer say that that abiogenesis and theory of evolution are based on chance alone because analysis of this concept shows the virtual mathematical impossibility of this concept. So you introduce selection into these concepts but can not demonstrate what this selection process is for abiogenesis and how it could work and ev demonstrates how slow selection is for random point mutations and natural selection when using known measured genome lengths and mutation rates.
Why don’t you post the numbers that you say I am too lazy to run and then I falsify?Kleinman said:Hard science requires you run the numbers.cyborg said:NO, YOU RUN THE NUMBERS YOU LAZY ASS. YOU FALSIFY.
This discussion about ev is forcing evolutionarians to take positions on their views that are subject to the rules of mathematical logic and analysis. You no longer say that that abiogenesis and theory of evolution are based on chance alone because analysis of this concept shows the virtual mathematical impossibility of this concept. So you introduce selection into these concepts but can not demonstrate what this selection process is for abiogenesis and how it could work and ev demonstrates how slow selection is for random point mutations and natural selection when using known measured genome lengths and mutation rates. So now you retreat to the position that there are other selection mechanisms and mechanisms of mutations and rearrangements of genomes that can rescue your theories but you don’t present the mathematical models that demonstrate your theories.
No, he (Hewitt) is just trying to insert god into the gaps between knowledge. I am pointing out that no matter how you define life--via complexity or anything else--there is no easy dividing line--there is much that doesn't fit neatly in one side or the other no matter what definition you give. <snip>
One thing creationists do is to talk about "increasing complexity" in the genome--but they never say exactly what they mean. <snip>
If you're looking to insert God--you have to have a clue as to where he would need to be inserted. And so far, god just seems to be the answer for stuff we don't have a complete grasp on yet--just as he always has been. <snip>
Proving there are gaps in knowledge doesn't prove anything supernatural--just as proving that there are missing elements does not prove god is keeping them under wraps. Gaps in knowledge are great places for exploration--and we humans have been steadying filling in more and more precise and detailed answers. It never has been a means of proving anybody's god...in the same way it's doesn't prove space aliens are doing an experiment with life on our planet.
So what is the complexity that makes life different than non-life?--or are you talking more about consciousness?--which also exists on a continuum. Never defining the terms or what this god or whomever is supposed to have done is just useless (though I bet you could get a Templeton prize if you do it well.)
<snip>Just like molecules in a snowball can evolve into a bigger snowball-- or melt and join other molecules as a puddle--or evaporate into water vapor (which still as mass and molecules)--the molecules can also freeze in a lattice structure making ice. You'll agree that water is necessary to life on this planet...but it is not life itself. At what point do water molecules become a part of life?
<snip>
So, what is the complexity factor that separates life from non-life. And what makes you think it was discontinuous? Do you also think speciation is discontinuous? When are the sperm and eggs officially "alive"? (or pollen and other plant gametes or spores?) At what point does the alive thing cease being alive?
Why don’t you post the numbers that you say I am too lazy to run . . . . .
Hmm. Who schedules the asteroid strikes, volcanoes, plate movements, smoker vent availability, etc?![]()
Why don’t you post the numbers that you say I am too lazy to run and then I falsify?
What has happen to you? Did someone put coal in your stocking?
There is more truth in the story of Santa Claus than there is in the theory of evolution.
Merry Christmas to you all.
It's not an estimate.Isn’t that the question? If Adequate is correct in his estimate,
The generation size approaches the asymptote as the population size approaches infinity.how large a population do you need in order approach that estimate?