An Astrology Exchange/Challenge

Just a few comments on the comments so far, I do think it is a bit unfair to claim that the age of the article I posted and its reference are points against it when the only study I have heard Dr. Tarnas mention is the Gauquelin data (which is older than the article or its references) and he constantly refers to Jungian archetypes (older), and all of his historical examples are from the 1970's or earlier.

There is a review of Dr. Tarnas' book available from the same site.

http://www.rudolfhsmit.nl/b-cosm2.htm

In addition, I would like to note that you seem to have missed the point of the butterfly effect in chaos theory. Although it does mean that within a closed system, everything is connected, it also means that due to this explicit complexity, it is impossible to accurately predict or understand anything within that system other than as probabilities or short-term effects. So seeing everything as a single system will make it less useful for understanding any portion of the system.

On the other hand, I do agree with you that many of Smit's views on people who follow astrology are unfortunate caricatures and stereotypes, but it was the process and philosophy I am interested in right now rather than the specific beliefs.

So, with that all said, seeing as how you agree with Smit's conclusion that astrology is not a source of factual knowledge, does this change how you view Dr. Tarnas' claims that it is a source of factual knowledge (i.e. observed effects based on predictive cycles)? Also, if astrology is not a science, would you consider it a philosophy, a religion (albeit one without gods), or something else? In other words, what method would you use to examine astrological claims if the scientific method does not work, because there are no factual claims to test?
 
OK gal, let's do this, as they say. Just a short preference though, which is that I would prefer videos if that's possible. I don't mind a short internet article, but really don't have much time to read complete books any more. I think that videos can be wonderful teaching tools.

This is the Ihr 15min long interview with astrology's current poster-boy, Richard Tarnas:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fPk1hicza_4&feature=related

I know you said only one piece, but since this video is so long, I'm also posting a short preview of Tarnas's work, just to get people in the mood and decide if they want to watch the long one.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QdFEUzmcyiQ&feature=related

I like this preview because he says something which I've been feeling for ages about getting out of the astrology "bubble" and "building bridges" to the outside world.

Looking forward to your piece and comments.

P.S. Should sadhatter get a warning?

I got as far as the bit about conjunctions and the civil rights movement in the 1960's and then I gave up. Nonsense.
 
I don't have time to watch them now, maybe tonight.

Does he ever mention the method by which these Archetypes are able to influence humans? Can I safely assume he is not talking about gravity or electro magnetism or any other scientifically explainable phenomena?

These are mysterious woo forces to which science is blind.
 
Last time I heard this stuff, it was emanating , inexplicably, from my own mouth and directed at a cute blonde. Whatever.

The bottom line is what makes this stuff falsifiable? How can we test it? Otherwise, it's just a bunch of words directed at a willing female.

At least astrology has one use.
 
Just a few comments on the comments so far, I do think it is a bit unfair to claim that the age of the article I posted and its reference are points against it when the only study I have heard Dr. Tarnas mention is the Gauquelin data (which is older than the article or its references) and he constantly refers to Jungian archetypes (older), and all of his historical examples are from the 1970's or earlier.

My main discomfort with the age of the article though was Smit citing rather outdated arguments of how astrologers used to defend their study. Some of them are still used, unfortunately, like the "argument of antiquity", but others, I think, might be replaced nowadays with a couple that I thought of last night:

1. I think that some astrologers are attracted to the study precisely because it is alternative. The sensible, rational world just seems too boring and they are looking for something with a little mystery, and probably a bit of sexiness. To believers, astrology provides a sort of edge over rational thinking, giving what they believe is "insight" that ordinary logic alone cannot give. Being an astrologer means that you belong to a club, a sort of counter-culture. You are initiated, and others aren't. Many of my generation started to study astrology at the same time as the explosion of the drug culture - I'm talking marijuana, not more serious street drugs, and astrology seemed to go hand in hand with a counter-culture lifestyle in the 1960s and 70s.

2. If we fast forward to the last 10 years or so, I think that people are rather scared. First it was the new millennium, then the Christian "rapture", and now 2012, not to mention all the rationally explainable threats like war, disease and global warming. I think people naturally like to order concepts in their minds, and all these phenomena, real or fantasy, fit, in astrologers minds into the idea of the "dawning of the New Age" - Age of Aquarius. Because astrology covers so many areas of thought (to some) , it has become a collection philosophy for everything - religion, politics, psychology, history, quantum physics, dating, sexuality, psychics, holistic healing - you name it. To the astrologer, even the "End Of The World" is covered by astrology. The "end" of course, to the astrologer, is the end of the Piscean age and the start of this new 4th dimensional thinking.

There is a review of Dr. Tarnas' book available from the same site.

http://www.rudolfhsmit.nl/b-cosm2.htm

Yes, his criticisms are quite justified. [edit: I've just read the above article in more detail and love this quote from Michael Shermer, which could be considered a counter-argument to the ones stated above. It is similar to what Richard Dawkins says in The God Delusion, and the sentiments expressed by Carl Sagan

; "But for me, and not just for me, a world without monsters, ghosts, demons, and gods unfetters the mind to soar to new heights, to think unthinkable thoughts, to imagine the unimaginable, to contemplate infinity and eternity knowing that no one is looking back. ... To share in the sublimity of knowledge generated by other human minds, and perhaps even to make a tiny contribution toward that body of knowledge that will be passed down through the ages -- part of the cumulative wisdom of a single species on a tiny planet orbiting an ordinary star on the remote edge of a not-so-unusual galaxy, itself a member of a cluster of galaxies billions of light years from nowhere, is sublime beyond words. ... Skeptics and scientists cannot experience the numinous? Nonsense. You do not need a spiritual power to experience the spiritual. You do not need to be mystical to appreciate the mystery. Standing beneath a canopy of galaxies, atop a pillar of reworked stone, or inside a transept of holy light, my unencumbered soul was free to love without constraint, free to use my senses to enjoy all the pleasures and endure all the pains that come with such freedom. I was enfranchised for life, emancipated from the bonds of restricting tradition, and unyoked from the rules written for another time in another place for another people. I was now free to try to live up to that exalted moniker -- Homo sapiens -- wise man." (pp.237-238)

I know that all of you on this forum think like this, and I would too, if and when the last remaining hints of astrology having any validity have been proven to be false.]

In addition, I would like to note that you seem to have missed the point of the butterfly effect in chaos theory. Although it does mean that within a closed system, everything is connected, it also means that due to this explicit complexity, it is impossible to accurately predict or understand anything within that system other than as probabilities or short-term effects. So seeing everything as a single system will make it less useful for understanding any portion of the system.

OK.
On the other hand, I do agree with you that many of Smit's views on people who follow astrology are unfortunate caricatures and stereotypes, but it was the process and philosophy I am interested in right now rather than the specific beliefs.

So, with that all said, seeing as how you agree with Smit's conclusion that astrology is not a source of factual knowledge, does this change how you view Dr. Tarnas' claims that it is a source of factual knowledge (i.e. observed effects based on predictive cycles)?

I don't think that we can take Smit's conclusions, which I did agree with, but which were based on the evidence he gave, and apply those conclusions to Tarnas's more contemporary view that history might provide a different kind of evidence than that deduced from study of personal horoscopes.

Also, if astrology is not a science, would you consider it a philosophy, a religion (albeit one without gods), or something else? In other words, what method would you use to examine astrological claims if the scientific method does not work, because there are no factual claims to test?

Probably a philosophy, and an art. I do not know how we can test it, other than by what we are doing now - debate, comparing subjective reports, making analogies to physics with real scientists if they are willing.
 
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As another note on Chaos theory (and this would also apply to astrology if we assumed there was actually some way of measuring 'everything'):

As far as I understand it, in complex systems predictability is very hard (hence Chaos theory), but one of the main issues is that, even if you had the most amazing computer that could calculate every part of the system in question, you would still need to know the starting state of the system in order to be able to generate entirely accurate data.

Thus even if we could measure every tiny atom in our weather systems with an unbelievably powerful computer, we could never calculate perfectly without knowing how the system had operated from the start of the earth's weather. Which we would obviously never be able to know.
 
Hokulele: Please excuse the fact that I'm picking out your previous comments on the Richard Tarnas video in no rational order, just what strikes my fancy.

6) There is a strong impression that he picks astrologically significant dates and look for correlations with those (again, widening the window to increase the number of hits). For example, he spends quite a bit of time tying Galileo and Kepler to Newton. First, this ignores the fact that Galileo and Kepler were born 8 years apart (so much for chronological accuracy), and it also feels like retrofitting data. A more reasonable approach would be to compare the births of significant scientists worldwide and seeing if there is any grouping based on astrological expectations. Ignoring the scientists who do not fit his expectations is troubling.

8 years is not really a long time in the 171 year cycle of Uranus-Neptune (conjunction to conjunction). Here is an article about this cycle:

http://www.khaldea.com/rudhyar/at/at_c3_pp3.shtml

Galileo was born in 1564 under a 3 degree orb of opposition between Uranus and Neptune. Kepler was born in 1571, and while the opposition had separated to over 15 degrees orb, the two planets are both squared by Kepler's Moon in Libra, connecting them in a T-square. Yes I know it does seem like fudging the data to fit.

I think your idea of seeing if scientists fit astrological expectations is a good one, but I would broaden scientists to the more general term of "teachers" or people who contributed significantly to human progress - and the Jupiter-Saturn expectation. I'm not sure whether Tarnas has done this in his book.
 
Please note, I am not arguing for astrology as a science and in fact I will be arguing that astrology cannot be argued in any scientific sense. As such, there is no choice but to discuss it on philosophical grounds. Hopefully if you read the article I linked and then follow this discussion, you will see why even as a philosophy, there are major issues with astrology and the proponents of astrology.

Well, then it's back to square 1. I think I will take a look.
I just read some viewer comment. One thing I see right off the bat is astrology to damn complicated. The question I think no astrologer ever asks is what is the nature of the force or forces that a planet exerts upon humans. And it's just to damn complicated; for example:
however if you take the maximum windows for cycles in which he also includes squares, then you've got 20 on the axials and 15 on the quadratures... that does add up to 140 out of 360 or 38.9 %... and that is the absolute maximum...
 
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Galileo was born in 1564 under a 3 degree orb of opposition between Uranus and Neptune. Kepler was born in 1571, and while the opposition had separated to over 15 degrees orb, the two planets are both squared by Kepler's Moon in Libra, connecting them in a T-square. Yes I know it does seem like fudging the data to fit.
That's because it is fudging the data to fit.
 
Just a few more comments on Hokulele's comments on the Tarnas video:

I have gotten through the first half of the interview, and these are my comments so far. The second half will have to wait until tomorrow or Friday, as I can't try to concentrate on this while my husband is watching TV.

But I will have to say, I am disappointed in that I am not impressed at all. It is the same errors and claims seen in many other videos and articles. Here are some specific comments on what I have seen thus far:

1) He is trying to have things both way. For example, he makes the statement that Saturn is about closing up, drawing in, contraction, etc. and Jupiter is about opening up, expanding, etc. So any conjunction will result in elements of both being present. Their elements contradict, but yet they can overlap. Um, if you take elements from the opposite ends of a spectrum, what exactly is left? This is often seen in cold readings where the psychic tries to cover all bases with a single statement such as, "You are generally a private person, but will share things with people when you feel you can trust them."

I did not like the way he expressed the combined effects of Jupiter and Saturn, and agree that it would provide an easy tool for "Barnum statements" like the one you mentioned. I would have said that Saturn materializes Jupiter's influence of expansion, so we often see the conjunction in people who are teachers or have contributed something of worth to society. Galileo and Shakespeare both have it - both born in 1564.

2) He does reference Pluto. Why? It wasn't known historically, and has recently been demoted. Although I don't know what his answer would be, it would fit in with adding variables simply to increase the chances that something in someone's chart will match that he does elsewhere.

The outer planets (dwarf planets, whatever) still show correlation in charts for people born before 1781 (discovery of Uranus). The astrological "lore" about planet discoveries is that they are discovered when society is ready to understand and incorporate their meanings en masse. For example, Uranus was discovered at the height of the scientific revolution and beginning of the Industrial Revolution in Europe, and became associated with technology. Individual people born before then still have Uranus in their horoscopes, indicating where they are "brilliant" or rebellious. Because the outer planets' movement is so slow, and whole generations have them in the same signs, the house position is more important than the sign position to indicate personal importance of that influence. Pluto was discovered in 1930, when fascism was coming to power in Europe and there was a depression in America and Europe. Astrologers decided to make it the ruler of Scorpio to replace Mars, which was sharing rulership with Aries. We can look at horoscopes from the 1500s and put Pluto in them to guess a person's sense of power, secrecy and control, even though people didn't begin to analyze these traits methodically until the invention of modern psychology in the 20th century.
3) He makes claims without providing evidence. For example, he claims that the 14-year cycle between conjunctions (I think he is referring to Jupiter/Saturn) coincides with cultural revolutions. Later on he provides one example, but one data point is useless in any kind of analysis.

Although I don't have the book with me right now, I'm pretty sure that he does give examples in it. Jupiter Saturn actually has a 20 year cycle and is more evident in teachers. The cultural revolution planets I think he is referring to are Uranus and Pluto Uranus, co-ruler of Aquarius, symbolizes rebellion, revolution, freedom and individuality (very prominent in the U.S.A. horoscope) and Pluto ruler of Scorpio symbolizes a complete death/rebirth, transformative process. He cites the mid 1960s as being the last time Uranus and Pluto conjuncted, and the time before that it was the 1850s, and both times were epitomized by large social revolutions and transformations.

This page gives a good synopsis of these periods:

http://www.astrologycom.com/uranuspluto.html

4) Gives himself wiggle room to increase the hits. I found three examples of this in the first half hour. The first is when he claims the Jupiter/Saturn conjunction is relevant to the birth of Christ. Ignoring the fact that we do not know when that happened, even if you use a Dec. 12, 6 BCE date, it doesn't match, and even he words it as "occurred very close to that time". If astrologers require birth times accurate to the minute, why does he get a pass on being several months off?

As mentioned before, when we're considering the conjunction cycle of two outer planets, timing does not have to be precisely accurate. Jupiter and Saturn stay within orb of being in major aspect for about 6 months It's not like setting up a horoscope (literally "hour" chart) with houses, where every minute counts.
The second place he does this is when he introduces a new term "diachrony". In other words, events develop over time, not immediately, so the actual event may happen earlier or later than the celestial event that precipitates that event.

The third place he does this is when he claims that a 15 degree "orb" for conjunctions/oppositions and a 10 degree "orb" for squares should be considered. This considerably widens the window in which any event can be considered relevant.

Accuracy and precision in dates and time have just been thrown out the ever-expanding window (Jupiter must be involved).

Even with this lack of precision, I think he makes a good case for there being something there, rather than nothing.

5) All of the social events he discusses happen in the very recent past and only in the US. All significant people discussed lived in the Western world. From this, we can assume that he either doesn't know much about world history, chose to ignore it for reasons of his own, or astrological events do not apply to Africa, Asia, India, South America, Pacifica ...

You are right that he does stick to America and Europe. He did write a book called "Passion of the Western Mind", so maybe he's just sticking to what he knows best.

6) and 7) I addressed last post.
8) He uses waffly, sciencey language without defining terms or in an effort to clarify, but obfuscate. My favorite example was in the discussion of squares where he claims, "the energies are at a right angle." What does this mean? What energies? Why is a right angle significant? Does he knows what happens to orthogonal energy fields in physics?

I've noticed that people who have been studying astrology a long time use the language of astrology (energies, squares, signs etc) with one another knowing that the other person will understand. This interview was filmed by an astrologer - Kelly Lee Phipps, at an astrology conference and Tarnas is talking "astrologese" perhaps not realizing that the video is going to be posted to the general public.

I have sometimes heard the "energy" of a right angle in astrology compared to a diving board. It sort of gives a "spring" of power. You can see how astrology very much uses the imagination - which is why I think artists and musicians are attracted to its language of similes. What does happen to orthogonal energy fields n physcis?

9) About where I had to stop watching for the evening, he made a stunningly false comment. The interviewer made the following comment:

Please see my previous posts.
Well, ignoring the appearance of projection for the time being, this is historically and philosophy laughable. It is only very recently that science and scientists have had a mechanistic world view, and yet astrology had been discarded as a science even before this happened. Why? Because there was no evidence it worked! Argh! Even in the era of natural philosophy (precursor to the modern scientific method that assumed everything in the natural world was synchronistic and a reflection of the mind of god), astrology and alchemy were seen as pseudo-science and were being moved to the side in favor of astronomy and chemistry.

They were "moved to the side" but not forgotten.

***
On a general note, Dr. Tarnas seems to be very impressed with Jung and the whole concept of archetypes. ...

Jung's "Collective Unconscious" was popularized by astrologer Liz Greene in her book The Outer Planets and Their Cycles , in which she also predicted the collapse of the Soviet Union. Jung's idea of synchronicity is central to much of modern astrologers explanation of how the whole thing "works".
 
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Arguing astrology from a philosophical position isn't going to work. You do know these types of arguments can last for centuries.

I disagree. I think it's easy to disprove the claims of astrology by applying logic. While it's not couched in philosophical jargon, much of Phil Plait's fine essay is a philosophical (logical) argument.

For example:

Either there is a known force, and we can show it doesn't work for astrology, or it's some unknown force that doesn't obey the laws of physics, in which case asteroids and extrasolar planets would dominate astrology, washing out the effects from our own solar system planets.

So it can't be a known or unknown force. That leaves nothing. Astrology doesn't work.
 
The outer planets (dwarf planets, whatever) still show correlation in charts for people born before 1781 (discovery of Uranus).
Sorry, that's pure baloney.

If the effect were real, then all the astrologers predating the discover of the outer planets would have been scratching their heads and wondering why astrology didn't work. And then, when the outer planets were discovered, they would have been able to fix their calculations and show that astrology did in fact work. Nothing of the sort has happened.

The astrological "lore" about planet discoveries is that they are discovered when society is ready to understand and incorporate their meanings en masse.
Which is likewise baloney.

For example, Uranus was discovered at the height of the scientific revolution and beginning of the Industrial Revolution in Europe, and became associated with technology.
And Neptune? And Pluto?

Individual people born before then still have Uranus in their horoscopes, indicating where they are "brilliant" or rebellious.
So they weren't "brilliant" or "rebellious" before Uranus was discovered?

Because the outer planets' movement is so slow, and whole generations have them in the same signs
Must be awfully short generations.

Uranus spends 7 years in each sign, Neptune about 14, Pluto about 20.

Does that mean that everyone born in a seven year span is "brilliant" or "rebellious"?

the house position is more important than the sign position to indicate personal importance of that influence.
So what you said before wasn't true?

Pluto was discovered in 1930, when fascism was coming to power in Europe and there was a depression in America and Europe. Astrologers decided to make it the ruler of Scorpio to replace Mars, which was sharing rulership with Aries. We can look at horoscopes from the 1500s and put Pluto in them to guess a person's sense of power, secrecy and control, even though people didn't begin to analyze these traits methodically until the invention of modern psychology in the 20th century.
This is just such a mess it's hard to even know where to begin. What about Eris? What happens when we plug Eris into the horoscopes of people from the 1300s? (Eris is bigger than Pluto, you know.) Are they suddenly all Discordians, or do they just like pie?

Although I don't have the book with me right now, I'm pretty sure that he does give examples in it. Jupiter Saturn actually has a 20 year cycle and is more evident in teachers.
Teachers don't have a 20 year cycle.

The cultural revolution planets I think he is referring to are Uranus and Pluto Uranus, co-ruler of Aquarius, symbolizes rebellion, revolution, freedom and individuality (very prominent in the U.S.A. horoscope)
...

The what?

and Pluto ruler of Scorpio symbolizes a complete death/rebirth, transformative process. He cites the mid 1960s as being the last time Uranus and Pluto conjuncted, and the time before that it was the 1850s, and both times were epitomized by large social revolutions and transformations.
Completely ignoring the major social revolutions and transformations of the 1870s (the rise of empires), the 1880s (the rise of the railroad and telegraph), the 1890s (the Gay Nineties, a depression era in the USA), the 1900s (the birth of flight, the spread of the automobile and electricity, the invention of radio and air conditioning, the first affordable camera), the 1910s (WWI, the fall of the old empires), the 1920s (prohibition), the 1930s (the Great Depression, the rise of fascism), the 1940s (WWII) and the 1950s (the Baby Boom, the Cold War, the space program).

To call what you are doing cherry picking would be to insult honest cherry-pickers everywhere.

As mentioned before, when we're considering the conjunction cycle of two outer planets, timing does not have to be precisely accurate. Jupiter and Saturn stay within orb of being in major aspect for about 6 months It's not like setting up a horoscope (literally "hour" chart) with houses, where every minute counts.
So every minute counts when it's convenient, but six months don't matter when that's convenient?

Even with this lack of precision, I think he makes a good case for there being something there, rather than nothing.
Evidence?

I have sometimes heard the "energy" of a right angle in astrology compared to a diving board. It sort of gives a "spring" of power. You can see how astrology very much uses the imagination - which is why I think artists and musicians are attracted to its language of similes. What does happen to orthogonal energy fields n physcis?
There is no such thing as the "energy" of a right angle.

Jung's "Collective Unconscious" was popularized by astrologer Liz Greene in her book The Outer Planets and Their Cycles , in which she also predicted the collapse of the Soviet Union.
Predicted the collapse of the Soviet Union, eh? Exactly what did she predict and when did she predict it?

Jung's idea of synchronicity is central to much of modern astrologers explanation of how the whole thing "works".
Synchronicity is simply the post-facto assignment of personal values to events. It has zero empirical significance. So what you are saying is that astrology does not work.
 
Sorry, that's pure baloney.

If the effect were real, then all the astrologers predating the discover of the outer planets would have been scratching their heads and wondering why astrology didn't work. And then, when the outer planets were discovered, they would have been able to fix their calculations and show that astrology did in fact work. Nothing of the sort has happened.

No, because the 7 traditional bodies - Sun thru Saturn worked just fine. Indian (Vedic) astrology still only uses the 7 traditional ones and has the reputation of being the the most accurate system for prediction - even though modern Western astrologers have moral objections to this practice.


So they weren't "brilliant" or "rebellious" before Uranus was discovered?
Yes they were - I thought I said this in my previous post. Sorry if it was unclear.


Must be awfully short generations.

Uranus spends 7 years in each sign, Neptune about 14, Pluto about 20.

Does that mean that everyone born in a seven year span is "brilliant" or "rebellious"?
It depends which sign Uranus is in. Uranus in Taurus (rules the throat and larynx) in the early 1940s correlated with musical genius of people like Bob Dylan, Paul Simon, Aretha Franklin. Babies born this year have Uranus in Pisces.
This is just such a mess it's hard to even know where to begin. What about Eris? What happens when we plug Eris into the horoscopes of people from the 1300s? (Eris is bigger than Pluto, you know.) Are they suddenly all Discordians, or do they just like pie?

The cycle of Eris is so long, it lasts for many generations. We have to look at the house position to see the area of influence. Since it's such a relatively new planet to be discovered, astrologers have not had time to observe its correlations and are just going by its name and myths associated with it.

Completely ignoring the major social revolutions and transformations of the 1870s (the rise of empires), the 1880s (the rise of the railroad and telegraph), the 1890s (the Gay Nineties, a depression era in the USA), the 1900s (the birth of flight, the spread of the automobile and electricity, the invention of radio and air conditioning, the first affordable camera), the 1910s (WWI, the fall of the old empires), the 1920s (prohibition), the 1930s (the Great Depression, the rise of fascism), the 1940s (WWII) and the 1950s (the Baby Boom, the Cold War, the space program).

In the 1880s there was a conjunction of Neptune and Pluto. I suspect that Tarnas analyzes all the major conjunctions, oppositions and squares in his book, and correlates them to the events you mention.

Predicted the collapse of the Soviet Union, eh? Exactly what did she predict and when did she predict it?

Greene was looking at the November 7, 1919 horoscope, which has Sun in Scorpio square Saturn in Leo and Uranus in Aquarius. In the 1983 book mentioned above, she says:

"...If Saturn brings down the head of government, what will Pluto do? Perhaps the entire structure will change. Pluto always brings profound changes and rids a person of things he has outgrown. It's a kind of fate. If the person can't meet the challenge to change, then he breaks down. That is very likely to happen in Russia, because there isn't a great deal of inclination shown to alter the system in any way except to tighten it."

She was talking at a Wrekin Trust lecture in England some time before the publication of the book.
 
Greene was looking at the November 7, 1919 horoscope, which has Sun in Scorpio square Saturn in Leo and Uranus in Aquarius. In the 1983 book mentioned above, she says:

"...If Saturn brings down the head of government, what will Pluto do? Perhaps the entire structure will change. Pluto always brings profound changes and rids a person of things he has outgrown. It's a kind of fate. If the person can't meet the challenge to change, then he breaks down. That is very likely to happen in Russia, because there isn't a great deal of inclination shown to alter the system in any way except to tighten it."

She was talking at a Wrekin Trust lecture in England some time before the publication of the book.
There doesn't even seem to be a rough date for this extremely vague prediction. You do realise that without a specified date the prediction is utterly worthless? In 1983 the eventual break down of the Soviet system could have been predicted by almost anyone.
 
No, because the 7 traditional bodies - Sun thru Saturn worked just fine. Indian (Vedic) astrology still only uses the 7 traditional ones and has the reputation of being the the most accurate system for prediction - even though modern Western astrologers have moral objections to this practice.
Not no.

It's still complete baloney.

If the outer planets indicate anything, then earlier horoscopes were wrong. Vedic astrology is wrong.

If the outer planets don't indicate anything, why not?

Anyway, on what basis does Vedic astrology earn this reputation for having any accuracy whatsoever?

Yes they were - I thought I said this in my previous post. Sorry if it was unclear.
So their horoscopes were wrong. Thanks for clearing that up.

It depends which sign Uranus is in. Uranus in Taurus (rules the throat and larynx) in the early 1940s correlated with musical genius of people like Bob Dylan, Paul Simon, Aretha Franklin. Babies born this year have Uranus in Pisces.
So you're telling me that there were all these musical genii born in a seven-year period in the 40s, and that's it until the 2020s? It would help explain the state of current popular music, but it doesn't actually bear examination at all.

As I said earlier, what you are doing gives honest cherry-pickers a bad name.

The cycle of Eris is so long, it lasts for many generations. We have to look at the house position to see the area of influence. Since it's such a relatively new planet to be discovered, astrologers have not had time to observe its correlations and are just going by its name and myths associated with it.
Why? If it actually has correlations, why didn't they notice before that something was missing? Are they just mathematically incompetent?

What are these correlations anyway? Please show me the datasets and statistical analyses that demonstrate that the correlation actually exists.

What about Ceres? Pallas, Juno, Vesta? Discovered in the early 19th century, considered planets for 50 years, relabeled asteroids. Ceres is now considered a dwarf planet like Pluto.

In the 1880s there was a conjunction of Neptune and Pluto. I suspect that Tarnas analyzes all the major conjunctions, oppositions and squares in his book, and correlates them to the events you mention.
That is exactly the problem.

There is always some major upheaval going on, particularly in the past century or so as the pace of change has accelerated globally. Even duing the Belle Epoque, when Europe was not, for once, overrun by war, we saw the birth of much of modern technology and the formation of the modern world. This era begins with the rise of the railroad and ends with the rise of the automobile and aeroplane, begins with the rise of the telegraph and ends with the rise of the telephone and radio. Just incredibly, incredibly dramatic changes to people's lives, a transformation of how we worked and played and lived. And that was the quietest period of the last hundred years.

There's always a conjunction or an opposition or something going on in the heavens; there's always turmoil and upheaval going on down on Earth; all you have to do is fudge the dates a bit and talk very fast.

None of it means anything at all.

Greene was looking at the November 7, 1919 horoscope
Why? What significance does that date have? It's not the birth date of any Soviet leader. It's the second anniversary of its foundation, but so what? Why not use the actual date?

which has Sun in Scorpio square Saturn in Leo and Uranus in Aquarius.
So?

In the 1983 book mentioned above, she says:

"...If Saturn brings down the head of government, what will Pluto do? Perhaps the entire structure will change. Pluto always brings profound changes and rids a person of things he has outgrown. It's a kind of fate. If the person can't meet the challenge to change, then he breaks down. That is very likely to happen in Russia, because there isn't a great deal of inclination shown to alter the system in any way except to tighten it."

She was talking at a Wrekin Trust lecture in England some time before the publication of the book.
That shows a grasp of realpolitik sadly lacking in many commentators of the time, but the actual link to astrology is zero.
 
I just found this nonsense on the net.

''Pluto, the lord of the underworld, symbolises the forces of deep transformation in our lives. A slow-moving outer planet discovered in 1930, Pluto's influence is in general most clearly noticeable as it distinguishes one generation from the next.

In our personal lives, Pluto's significance is found in its house position and the aspects it makes to other planets in the chart. The psychological process is one of being faced with obstruction, struggling to overcome it and being transformed in the process, leading to a regeneration of the area affected by house, aspect and sign. Pluto rules intense energy, signifying the areas in which we consciously or subconsciously seek to exercise power or control. Linked to our karmic responsibility, Pluto also indicates those areas where we need to gain the deepest level of understanding.''

Who decided this? Did the astrologers convene a conference?
 
In the 1880s there was a conjunction of Neptune and Pluto. I suspect that Tarnas analyzes all the major conjunctions, oppositions and squares in his book, and correlates them to the events you mention.
Shouldn't this be insnaely easy to verify?
 

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