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An Astrology Exchange/Challenge

Hokulele

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In another thread, Aquila and I have agreed to exchange an article/video/book/whathaveyou on the topic of astrology.

http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/showthread.php?postid=5750075#post5750075

I am starting a new thread rather than continuing in the other one, as I would like this one to have a very narrow focus and discussion. As always, everyone is welcome to join in (and hopefully read both pieces), but please try to keep the discussion limited to the materials presented, or links related to these. There are plenty of other threads for general astrology discussions. I hate to sound like a thread nanny, but I will be reporting any attempts to derail this with personal observations or other side issues. Of course, if anyone feels that I am derailing or getting too personal, please report me as I really would prefer to have this thread stand as a representation of what discussions in this forum can be. I do not want to have this go to moderated status, but will request it should it be necessary to keep the discussion on track.

***

Aquila, please post the piece you think makes the best case for astrology for me to read/watch and review. I have a few things in mind, but I need to go re-read them to determine which I would like you to review in return. In the spirit of the previous paragraph, please focus on one piece and do not bring up other tangents, and I will do likewise.

***

Note to everyone, I do not expect one discussion to change anyone's mind on either side of the issue, however I do think such a discussion can be productive. Please enjoy and chime in with this in mind. :)
 
In another thread, Aquila and I have agreed to exchange an article/video/book/whathaveyou on the topic of astrology.

http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/showthread.php?postid=5750075#post5750075

I am starting a new thread rather than continuing in the other one, as I would like this one to have a very narrow focus and discussion. As always, everyone is welcome to join in (and hopefully read both pieces), but please try to keep the discussion limited to the materials presented, or links related to these. There are plenty of other threads for general astrology discussions. I hate to sound like a thread nanny, but I will be reporting any attempts to derail this with personal observations or other side issues. Of course, if anyone feels that I am derailing or getting too personal, please report me as I really would prefer to have this thread stand as a representation of what discussions in this forum can be. I do not want to have this go to moderated status, but will request it should it be necessary to keep the discussion on track.

***

Aquila, please post the piece you think makes the best case for astrology for me to read/watch and review. I have a few things in mind, but I need to go re-read them to determine which I would like you to review in return. In the spirit of the previous paragraph, please focus on one piece and do not bring up other tangents, and I will do likewise.

***

Note to everyone, I do not expect one discussion to change anyone's mind on either side of the issue, however I do think such a discussion can be productive. Please enjoy and chime in with this in mind. :)

Astrology exchange?

Joel : hello sirs, for today's astrology exchange i have something a little wacky ** pulls out a horoscope scroll attached to a rifle. ** This, is the astrology rifle scope. You see, you look through the horoscope and it tells you if you hit the target or not. What do you think sirs?

Doctor forester : Very useful Joelus Maximus, but i think you are again bested by our superior scientific knowledge. FRANK!

T.V.'s Frank : **pulls out a horoscope on a post it note.**

Doctor Forester : So Joel-o-rama , most hororoscopes are written in newspapers, but no one reads the newspaper any more, so with my " Post it scopes" you can attatch your favorite horoscope to any electronic article.

** frank places post it on computer screen**

Doctor Forester: See Joel, never before has the scientific been so intermingled with the mystic....well maybe in Expelled, but i HATE Ben Stein.

( sorry had to, too much mst3k lately. )
 
In another thread, Aquila and I have agreed to exchange an article/video/book/whathaveyou on the topic of astrology.

http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/showthread.php?postid=5750075#post5750075

I am starting a new thread rather than continuing in the other one, as I would like this one to have a very narrow focus and discussion. As always, everyone is welcome to join in (and hopefully read both pieces), but please try to keep the discussion limited to the materials presented, or links related to these. There are plenty of other threads for general astrology discussions. I hate to sound like a thread nanny, but I will be reporting any attempts to derail this with personal observations or other side issues. Of course, if anyone feels that I am derailing or getting too personal, please report me as I really would prefer to have this thread stand as a representation of what discussions in this forum can be. I do not want to have this go to moderated status, but will request it should it be necessary to keep the discussion on track.

***

Aquila, please post the piece you think makes the best case for astrology for me to read/watch and review. I have a few things in mind, but I need to go re-read them to determine which I would like you to review in return. In the spirit of the previous paragraph, please focus on one piece and do not bring up other tangents, and I will do likewise.

***

Note to everyone, I do not expect one discussion to change anyone's mind on either side of the issue, however I do think such a discussion can be productive. Please enjoy and chime in with this in mind. :)

OK gal, let's do this, as they say. Just a short preference though, which is that I would prefer videos if that's possible. I don't mind a short internet article, but really don't have much time to read complete books any more. I think that videos can be wonderful teaching tools.

This is the Ihr 15min long interview with astrology's current poster-boy, Richard Tarnas:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fPk1hicza_4&feature=related

I know you said only one piece, but since this video is so long, I'm also posting a short preview of Tarnas's work, just to get people in the mood and decide if they want to watch the long one.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QdFEUzmcyiQ&feature=related

I like this preview because he says something which I've been feeling for ages about getting out of the astrology "bubble" and "building bridges" to the outside world.

Looking forward to your piece and comments.

P.S. Should sadhatter get a warning?
 
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OK gal, let's do this, as they say. Just a short preference though, which is that I would prefer videos if that's possible. I don't mind a short internet article, but really don't have much time to read complete books any more. I think that videos can be wonderful teaching tools.

This is the Ihr 15min long interview with astrology's current poster-boy, Richard Tarnas:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fPk1hicza_4&feature=related

I know you said only one piece, but since this video is so long, I'm also posting a short preview of Tarnas's work, just to get people in the mood and decide if they want to watch the long one.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QdFEUzmcyiQ&feature=related

I like this preview because he says something which I've been feeling for ages about getting out of the astrology "bubble" and "building bridges" to the outside world.

Looking forward to your piece and comments.

P.S. Should sadhatter get a warning?

I tried watching the short video, but the video kept stopping. I got the sense that he seriously believes that the planets are gods and goddesses who influence people's personalities. Also something about transits.

He thinks that astrology has something useful to comunicate to the world, would I be right in guessing that astrology's useful message is something like: "Be nice to each other and learn to settle your differences without violence"? If so, I'm not surprised no one takes it seriously.
 
I tried watching the short video, but the video kept stopping. I got the sense that he seriously believes that the planets are gods and goddesses who influence people's personalities. Also something about transits.

They are called archetypes.

He thinks that astrology has something useful to comunicate to the world, would I be right in guessing that astrology's useful message is something like: "Be nice to each other and learn to settle your differences without violence"? If so, I'm not surprised no one takes it seriously.

No, although that's a good idea I'm sure he agrees with. The main message here is that by knowing which archetypes are influencing us during transits, we can work with them, taking advantage of the easy ones and adjusting our reactions with the difficult ones.

The long video is more about world events through recent history and is worth watching. You might have to let it load for about 10 minutes first though.
 
I don't have time to watch them now, maybe tonight.

Does he ever mention the method by which these Archetypes are able to influence humans? Can I safely assume he is not talking about gravity or electro magnetism or any other scientifically explainable phenomena?
 
I will take a look at the videos this evening and post my impressions and response. Since you have expressed a preference for something short, please read the following piece.

http://www.rudolfhsmit.nl/a-mome2.htm

Although this website has been linked before, I am not sure if this specific article has been referred to. For the most part, I want to see how much of it you agree with, and how much you disagree with. Although most people link to the articles about specific tests and testing methods, the auto-biographical portions of the website and the articles on philosophy may be more relevant to the point I wish to emphasize.

It is unfortunate that books are disallowed for this discussion as there are several that approach astrology not from a empirical point of view, but from a philosophical one, and few of those are on-line (too old) or are parts of a larger journal and therefore must be paid for or read at a library. For this discussion, my points will strictly be philosophical and I will provide references when possible.


PS - I didn't report sadhatter as I think he was just being funny, and the articles hadn't been linked yet. If it offended you, I can ask that it be moved to the other thread.
 
I don't have time to watch them now, maybe tonight.

Does he ever mention the method by which these Archetypes are able to influence humans? Can I safely assume he is not talking about gravity or electro magnetism or any other scientifically explainable phenomena?

As I recall Aquila did mention gravity as one of the forces.
 
Although most people link to the articles about specific tests and testing methods, the auto-biographical portions of the website and the articles on philosophy may be more relevant to the point I wish to emphasize.

It is unfortunate that books are disallowed for this discussion as there are several that approach astrology not from a empirical point of view, but from a philosophical one, and few of those are on-line (too old) or are parts of a larger journal and therefore must be paid for or read at a library. For this discussion, my points will strictly be philosophical and I will provide references when possible.

Arguing astrology from a philosophical position isn't going to work. You do know these types of arguments can last for centuries.
If you want to provide persuasive evidence that evidence must be amenable to the scientific method. Ya gots to find the underlying means by which a planet millions to billions of miles away could have an effect and affect and why other celestial bodies through out the universe may not or do not.
 
Just a note to say that I've got my homework and will be back shortly. And no offense from any humor.
 
I have gotten through the first half of the interview, and these are my comments so far. The second half will have to wait until tomorrow or Friday, as I can't try to concentrate on this while my husband is watching TV.

But I will have to say, I am disappointed in that I am not impressed at all. It is the same errors and claims seen in many other videos and articles. Here are some specific comments on what I have seen thus far:

1) He is trying to have things both way. For example, he makes the statement that Saturn is about closing up, drawing in, contraction, etc. and Jupiter is about opening up, expanding, etc. So any conjunction will result in elements of both being present. Their elements contradict, but yet they can overlap. Um, if you take elements from the opposite ends of a spectrum, what exactly is left? This is often seen in cold readings where the psychic tries to cover all bases with a single statement such as, "You are generally a private person, but will share things with people when you feel you can trust them."

2) He does reference Pluto. Why? It wasn't known historically, and has recently been demoted. Although I don't know what his answer would be, it would fit in with adding variables simply to increase the chances that something in someone's chart will match that he does elsewhere.

3) He makes claims without providing evidence. For example, he claims that the 14-year cycle between conjunctions (I think he is referring to Jupiter/Saturn) coincides with cultural revolutions. Later on he provides one example, but one data point is useless in any kind of analysis.

4) Gives himself wiggle room to increase the hits. I found three examples of this in the first half hour. The first is when he claims the Jupiter/Saturn conjunction is relevant to the birth of Christ. Ignoring the fact that we do not know when that happened, even if you use a Dec. 12, 6 BCE date, it doesn't match, and even he words it as "occurred very close to that time". If astrologers require birth times accurate to the minute, why does he get a pass on being several months off?

The second place he does this is when he introduces a new term "diachrony". In other words, events develop over time, not immediately, so the actual event may happen earlier or later than the celestial event that precipitates that event.

The third place he does this is when he claims that a 15 degree "orb" for conjunctions/oppositions and a 10 degree "orb" for squares should be considered. This considerably widens the window in which any event can be considered relevant.

Accuracy and precision in dates and time have just been thrown out the ever-expanding window (Jupiter must be involved).

5) All of the social events he discusses happen in the very recent past and only in the US. All significant people discussed lived in the Western world. From this, we can assume that he either doesn't know much about world history, chose to ignore it for reasons of his own, or astrological events do not apply to Africa, Asia, India, South America, Pacifica ...

6) There is a strong impression that he picks astrologically significant dates and look for correlations with those (again, widening the window to increase the number of hits). For example, he spends quite a bit of time tying Galileo and Kepler to Newton. First, this ignores the fact that Galileo and Kepler were born 8 years apart (so much for chronological accuracy), and it also feels like retrofitting data. A more reasonable approach would be to compare the births of significant scientists worldwide and seeing if there is any grouping based on astrological expectations. Ignoring the scientists who do not fit his expectations is troubling.

7) Everything is significant. There is no irrelevant information in his astrology. Well, to quote one of my favorite movies, "If everyone is special, no one is."

8) He uses waffly, sciencey language without defining terms or in an effort to clarify, but obfuscate. My favorite example was in the discussion of squares where he claims, "the energies are at a right angle." What does this mean? What energies? Why is a right angle significant? Does he knows what happens to orthogonal energy fields in physics?

9) About where I had to stop watching for the evening, he made a stunningly false comment. The interviewer made the following comment:

"The real obstacle to the acceptance of astrology among the scientifically minded is not the lack of evidence [ed. say what?], but the fact that astrology cannot be made to harmonize with our still prevailing mechanistic world view."

Dr. Tarnas then goes on to state that the evidence is very compelling for those who know what to look for, and that scientists simply do not accept it as evidence because it contradicts their beliefs.

Well, ignoring the appearance of projection for the time being, this is historically and philosophy laughable. It is only very recently that science and scientists have had a mechanistic world view, and yet astrology had been discarded as a science even before this happened. Why? Because there was no evidence it worked! Argh! Even in the era of natural philosophy (precursor to the modern scientific method that assumed everything in the natural world was synchronistic and a reflection of the mind of god), astrology and alchemy were seen as pseudo-science and were being moved to the side in favor of astronomy and chemistry.

***

On a general note, Dr. Tarnas seems to be very impressed with Jung and the whole concept of archetypes. Ignoring the issues with Jungian thought for the moment, I find the whole notion of archetypes to be a philosophical construct that does not have an empirical basis in reality. Especially when dealing with human nature, you quickly run into the problems of nature vs. nuture, and the fact that personality can change over time or due to brain damage/strokes/seizures. What good is an archetype as it applies to a person if it doesn't always apply to that person?

I will watch the rest of this and comment, but I do not feel very optomistic about any improvement in the arguments. However, I do think this video ties in well to my ideas regarding astrology and philosophy which I will expand upon once Aquila has had a chance to review the article I linked.
 
Arguing astrology from a philosophical position isn't going to work. You do know these types of arguments can last for centuries.

If you want to provide persuasive evidence that evidence must be amenable to the scientific method. Ya gots to find the underlying means by which a planet millions to billions of miles away could have an effect and affect and why other celestial bodies through out the universe may not or do not.


Please note, I am not arguing for astrology as a science and in fact I will be arguing that astrology cannot be argued in any scientific sense. As such, there is no choice but to discuss it on philosophical grounds. Hopefully if you read the article I linked and then follow this discussion, you will see why even as a philosophy, there are major issues with astrology and the proponents of astrology.
 
Last time I heard this stuff, it was emanating , inexplicably, from my own mouth and directed at a cute blonde. Whatever.

The bottom line is what makes this stuff falsifiable? How can we test it? Otherwise, it's just a bunch of words directed at a willing female.
 
Last time I heard this stuff, it was emanating , inexplicably, from my own mouth and directed at a cute blonde. Whatever.

The bottom line is what makes this stuff falsifiable? How can we test it? Otherwise, it's just a bunch of words directed at a willing female.


As I mentioned in the OP, I don't want to be a thread nanny, but please address the video and article linked and do not make this a general thread about astrology. You can use Aquila's thread for that. Thanks!
 
As I mentioned in the OP, I don't want to be a thread nanny, but please address the video and article linked and do not make this a general thread about astrology. You can use Aquila's thread for that. Thanks!

With all due respect (and I just adore you), you're barking up the wrong tree. I've seen the video and read the few posts in the original thread that I consider relevant. Nothing in my reply is inconsistent with either.

Let me repost the the question that is salient, devoid of my erstwhile "humor":
How is Aquila's version of astrology falsifiable?

Inquiring minds want to know. :D
 
Short answer: it isn't. :D

This is why I have chosen to take a philosophical approach and we will be seeing the likes of Jung, Popper, Kuhn and their ilk as this thread develops.

Fair enough. I'm out of here. Say hello to the boys, if they show up.

Be well. :candyheart:
 
OK, here are my comments on the Rufolf Smit article, Hokulele.

My first reaction to the article was that it is rather dated – Smit wrote it in 1993, with one quote from as far back as 1982 (that’s 28 years ago!) This is in comparison to the more contemporary view given in the Tarnas video which was recorded in 2008.

In the "Argument" section, Smit quotes Kelly et al (1989) ;arguments used by astrologers to underpin their belief in astrology. Those arguments, followed by Kelly et al's comments in parentheses, are briefly as follows:.

1. Astrology has great antiquity and durability (so has murder).
2. Astrology is found in many cultures (so is belief in a flat earth).
3. Many great scholars have believed in it (many others have not).
4. Astrology is based on observation (its complexity defies observation).
5. Extraterrestrial influences exist (none are relevant to astrology).
6. Astrology has been proved by research (not true).
7. Non-astrologers are not qualified to judge (so who judges murder?).
8. Astrology is not science but art/philosophy (not a reason for belief).
9. Astrology works (the evidence suggests otherwise).


“Astrologers know most of these arguments only from hearsay and have not thoroughly thought them through.”

I think that it is hyperbole to compare astrology to murder, but agree that these arguments are all controversial. Re #9, Smit says:
"But the most important argument is the last: Astrology works! Because it is here where personal experience comes in, which for the average astrologer is a thousand times more persuasive than the results of scientific studies into astrology.”


Yes, I can see Smit’s point here and unfortunately many astrologers I meet on the internet still feel this way. I like to see them as trapped in the “astrology bubble” and that is why I think it is so important that astrologers start talking to scientists to “wake up” from this delusion of thinking that inner experience is evidence.

Under the Philosphy section, Smit says “For them, as it was for me, astrology is an ideology, a philosophy of life. And believe me, to relinguish astrology is about the same as losing one's purpose in life.”

As mentioned in the other thread, I too am going through a mental crisis in giving up my former world view.

As for my “Moment Supreme”, Smit’s description “ And lo and behold, to their unspeakable astonishment, their horoscope analysis seemed to correctly describe not only their inner being but also the circumstances in their life

does not exactly ring true for me. I had already done an academic course in psychology before first reading a computer-generated report on my horoscope and was somewhat skeptical. Although the delineations vaguely rang true, I was quite aware of wanting it to sound right, because I just paid 7 pounds sterling (as I remember – I sent up for it from Women’s Own magazine and I think that the astrologer might have been Jonathan Cainer in his early days) and I didn’t want to feel that I had wasted money. What peeked my interest more than my “personal planets” however were the “generational” outer planets, Uranus, Neptune and Pluto, because after reading some astrology books about them, I thought they did describe my generation quite well (Pluto in Leo) as compared to my parents generation (Pluto in Cancer). This was something which was observable and out there in reality rather than an inner subjective experience. My parents had lived through WWII and I hadn't. My generation seemed obsessed with rock music, especially playing the guitar, whereas my parents' music was more gentle, disciplined, with the lyrics have more traditional values. This was something people could see, hear, and agree on, not just a subjective impression.

To add a more general comment about why so many of my generation (I was born in the 1950s) might have been attracted to astrology - I think it was peer pressure! When I became interested in kaballah I felt quite pressured by the secrecy and intrigue of the organization running the study course. When I look back on it now I wonder why I ever put my trust in such group of people. I honestly thought that they held the secrets of the universe. People were observed and judged and told things like "you are not ready for this stage of "the work". I think Rudolf Smit might enjoy doing a critique of organizations like this which are based on a mixture of religion, the occult and Freemasonry.

I do not agree with this sentence from Smit “They feel how their lives and those of others are governed by the planets in their personal horoscopes, wherein simply everything is written -- their character, relationships, destiny, everything.”

This is a very stereotyped and prejudiced assessment of a large group of people who were interested in astrology. Only a very small percentage of people I knew believed in “destiny”. ONe useful thing that I learned from kaballah was the principle of free will – the same principle recently espoused in the book “The Secret”, along with the Law of Attraction which has been around since the Emerald Tablet days of Hermeticism. I learned how our self-consciousness plants seeds in our subconsciousness (the High Priestess of tarot, Moon in astrology) and this was not all that different from the ideas of Freud that I had learned in my "regular" academic psychology course at college.

In Smit’s “Stopwatch” section, For many astrologers, in particular for the more esoterically inclined, astrology is the embodiment of the principle that "all is one and one is all". Such astrologers feel part of a greater whole, the all. Believe me, it is a wonderful feeling. For skeptics it may be easy to dismiss this all-ness, this feeling, but then they most likely have not had that feeling.”

To me, it’s not even a feeling any more – it’s a logical, intellectual conclusion that everything is connected. We discussed this in the other thread – how what science calls systems are ultimately all connected – heat, wind, weather, oceans, butterflies flapping their wings etc.

In the Inconsistencies section, Smit says “Astrologers are masters at making persons fit their horoscopes.”

Yes, they are. You can do anything in hindsight.

In the The Home Computers section it was interesting to see that Smit had software in the 1970s which could do research. I’m therefore wondering why all astrologers haven’t got the latest version of this software which would disprove all their hypotheses about astrological prediction. Something fishy going on here.

In “Tool for Helping” Smit says “Nevertheless a small but increasing number of astrologers have accepted that astrology is not a source of factual knowledge. Instead they hold that astrology is a remarkable inspirational source for helping their fellow human beings. That is, they hold that the horoscope is a wonderful tool for promoting therapy by conversation”

We discussed this last time I was on the forum a year or so ago. Yes, astrology is attractive to many people (mostly women) as a form of therapy. It doesn’t really matter if the horoscope is correct (just as long as the astrologer does not predict anything negative). It’s mainly a stimulus for starting a conversation and letting the “client” work through issues. Some astrologers have studied psychology, and some even have counseling licenses, although the way I see it, if someone has been through the academic system to become a professional therapist, I doubt very much that they would advertise their interest in astrology. It might come up in a formal therapy session, but would never be used as a substitute for the accepted and legal protocols of professional counseling.

To sum up, I agree with Smit’s conclusion: “Nevertheless a small but increasing number of astrologers have accepted that astrology is not a source of factual knowledge. Instead they hold that astrology is a remarkable inspirational source for helping their fellow human beings. That is, they hold that the horoscope is a wonderful tool for promoting therapy by conversation”.
 
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Quoted by Hokulele:"The real obstacle to the acceptance of astrology among the scientifically minded is not the lack of evidence [ed. say what?], but the fact that astrology cannot be made to harmonize with our still prevailing mechanistic world view." (Richard Tarnas)

Dr. Tarnas then goes on to state that the evidence is very compelling for those who know what to look for, and that scientists simply do not accept it as evidence because it contradicts their beliefs.


Yes, even I raised an eyebrow at this. I can see where he is coming from as an astrologer, because to "spiritually minded folk", the material plane and science are only part of the big picture - the holistic universe. The scientific method is usually assigned to Saturn, and the way astrology sees it, Saturn is only one planet, not the whole 10 bodies.

But I do not agree with him or astrologers who support this idea, because, even though I agree that science or "Saturn" isn't everything, without Saturn there is no existence! In kaballah, Saturn is the "divine mother" - it's the principle that turns light into matter.

There's also a very important social reason why spirituality should not be anti-science. As Richard Dawkins, Christopher Hitchens and others have so nicely explained, belief systems are trouble - they have caused countless misery and cruelty. Astrology without any grounding in science is in danger of becoming just another belief system like religion and I would hate that! In the "Paranormal and a Golden Age" thread I said that the Age Of Aquarius is not about belief, it is about science; Aquarius is ruled by Saturn and we cannot have social justice without it. Science is the only principle that all cultures can agree on, no matter where one is born.

So, as you can see, there are some things about this video, and about current attitudes in astrology that I think are delusional and stubborn, and should change.
 
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