I roughly see what you are getting at, but I don't think you see the difference between simple and complex systems. An oil filter is a simple system. It's very easy to take into account all possible factors. After all, humans built the car, we know exactly what's in it. Even a trivial thing like a headache is part of a very complex system. We can't possibly know all of the factors involved. Science doesn't only deal with complex systems, but its most difficult challenges are the complex ones.
Of course I know the difference between simple mechanical systems and complex interconnected systems. I used a simple example to make a simple point. I don't consider a headache to be a trivial matter at all. 20 million people in the US see a Doctor about them each year. (somehow this is going to come back to acupuncture, I can feel it.)

To make it more obvious, if the subject of the treatment didn't get any relief from it,
it would be obvious that it didn't work. When we say something like that, most people don't object at all. If you try a medication for headaches, and you get no relief, the Doctor doesn't try and convince you it might have worked. You try a different dosage, runs some test, do some scans, or you try something else. This is just practical science at work. Anything else is absurd. If the patient gets no relief, you can't say it worked.
Science doesn't only deal with complex systems, but its most difficult challenges are the complex ones. That's why we need controlled experiments to minimise[sic] the confounding effects of factors we don't know about. In daily life, simple tasks can be handled without difficulty (for most of us) because they are simple. You are trying to tell us that you can draw a correct conclusion from a single observation of a complex system, without any testing.
No, that isn't what I said. You are trying to put words in my mouth. That is not logical, not scientific. I said, "
I watched an illogical treatment for a headache the other day, one I didn't know about, and it was obvious it worked. The person suffering I know well, and this person can't fake anything, muich[sic] less headache relief in about 5 minutes. (no, it wasn't drugs silly).
I figured out the science behind it in a flash, but before I saw it done, I didn't believe it. It would be insanity to claim it didn't work. But it would also be illogical to claim it works for everybody, or any headache. But a true scientist can learn from observing. Its not anecdotal if I observe something, and devise a theory from observing.
That is science. And it also science to devise a way to either show this method is valid, or to explain how it works. Science does both, all the time. Now I'm not defending acupuncture with this logic, I am observing something I see here at the JREF a lot. The tendency to discount observation and experience of other skeptics."
If I reported there was no relief, or that the headache became worse, that is also a scientific observation. Science isn't just one thing, but at the core is discovering truth about the universe. As well as what is not true. What would be absurd, is to claim that it works for everyone, all the time, for any headache. That is woo thinking.
Yes, science has a large part that is observational and not experimental. But you should remember that even a basically observational science such as astronomy uses experiment to test observations. You cite taxonomy. This has been largely observational hitherto, based on phenotypical[sic] features. But some of the assumptions made on the basis of morphological structure have turned out to be wrong, once people started experimenting with genomes.
Good point. Many things about our understanding of life turn out to be wrong, as science and technology advance. Same as it ever was.
You ask what indicative evidence is. To me, it means a suggestion that there is something going on, which needs proper testing. Definitive evidence is the result of that testing – but that's not to say that it can't be overturned by subsequent tests.
OK thanks. Which brings us back to acupuncture. Studies on headaches and acupuncture point to something going on. This is obvious. They don't prove that acupuncture works, especially in regards to HOW it is supposed to work. But a true scientist doesn't discount evidence, nor start off with an axe to grind, attempting to disprove something, no matter what. If there were no evidence at all that acupuncture does do something, sometimes, we wouldn't be having this discussion. No point. It would be like talking about using mercury to cure syphilis.
I think you had better come clean about the treatment you keep claiming worked for headache. We are trying to make you see that on the basis of a single observation you can't definitively say that it worked. You can say that it seemed to work. This is a very important distinction because most CAM supporters consider that single observations, ie anecdotes, are actually better evidence than clinical trials. Not really surprising – the anecdotes look better than the trials do, in terms of results. So they are using subjective impressions to decide what tests to use, ie putting the results before the methods. Does that sound like science to you?
Of course I can say it worked. I already did. I could also say it didn't work, if that is what happened. See? A little research and I found out why it worked, and that it is a very old remedy, that doesn't always work, as well as why it wouldn't work.
In regards to acupuncture, (see? I just knew we would get back to that discussion), clearly 20 million anecdotes and 4000 years of use is not enough to prove anything. You could have a million case reports of relief from headaches, and it doesn't mean a thing. Until science proves something works, it can't possibly work. It is like smoking used to be. Until science proved smoking was bad for you, smoking never hurt anyone. It was only after valid testing was done, and repeated, that smoking became bad for you.
Calm down. Just kidding. I'm not at all happy to find evidence that valid research shows definitive evidence of acupuncture causing changes in rats digestive systems. That is just whack. That they even "know" where the acupuncture points are on rats, just reeks of woo to me. How can they know that? How can you test something like that?
Same thing for human acupuncture points. How can they know they even exist? Wouldn't that be the first test to do? See if any point on the body stimulated by a needle or other means causes any change at all?