2018 mid-term election

quadraginta said:
I'm not sure if you read that wrong or wrote it wrong, but what the article actually says is;

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A small difference, two words in different places. But still quite significant.
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The policeman isn't there to create disorder; the policeman is there to preserve disorder!
 
Is Cruz really going to lose? A well-known Texas Republican, lose to a hitherto unknown Democrat? Really?
 
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I'd just point out that my mis-spelling of 'Democrat' was a typo, and not an attempt to start a new nickname for them. Sorry!
 
MikeG said:
Is Cruz really going to lose? A well-known Texas Republican, lose to a hitherto unknown Democrat? Really?
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I wouldn't bet any money on it, but it has become a close race in a state where there shouldn't be a close race. The GOP is nervous and will be spending a lot of money down here just to hold onto a seat that they never thought would be in play.

If they actually lose the seat it will be a huge upset.
 
Dr. Keith said:
I wouldn't bet any money on it, but it has become a close race in a state where there shouldn't be a close race. The GOP is nervous and will be spending a lot of money down here just to hold onto a seat that they never thought would be in play.

If they actually lose the seat it will be a huge upset.
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And that is going to be a problem for the GOP"They are going to have to spend money and other resources in races which should have been "safe' for them. That means less resources for the swing races.
 
MikeG said:
Is Cruz really going to lose? A well-known Texas Republican, lose to a hitherto unknown Democrat? Really?
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Latest high quality poll:

Released Tuesday, the survey found Cruz with 54 percent support and O'Rourke, an El Paso congressman, with 45 percent. Only 1 percent of those polled were undecided.
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Linky.

The odds by 538 are ~25%, while the odds of Dems taking the Senate are ~30%.
 
The funny thing about this election for the GOP is that they should have much better chances. But the problem is all Trump, who they have found has taken over the party.

A private survey conducted for the Republican National Committee and obtained by Bloomberg Businessweek contains alarming news for Republicans hoping to hold on to control of Congress in November: Most Trump supporters don’t believe there’s a threat that Democrats will win back the House. President Trump’s boasts that a “red wave” could increase Republican majorities appear to have lulled GOP voters into complacency, raising the question of whether they’ll turn up at the polls.

While most election forecasters, as well as strategists in both parties, believe Democrats are likely to win the 23 seats necessary to take control of the House of Representatives, Republican voters aren’t convinced, the survey shows.
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Linky.
 
Tsukasa Buddha said:
The funny thing about this election for the GOP is that they should have much better chances. But the problem is all Trump, who they have found has taken over the party.



Linky.
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Hubris, baby;it will get you every time.
But, that being said, I am taking that story with a ton of salt.
 
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Starve the Beast lives on (shh, don't talk about it until after the election):

Asked Monday if the Trump administration would address "entitlement reform," White House chief economic advisor Larry Kudlow said it will "probably" look at "larger entitlements" next year. Entitlement reform generally refers to changes or cuts to large government social programs such as Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid or food stamps.

"I don't want to be specific, I don't want to get ahead of our own budgeting, but we'll get there," Kudlow said at the Economic Club of New York. "But I agree, we have to be tougher on spending."
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But how they are trying to lie about reframe the issue is hilarious:

The GOP is now trying to flip Democrats' Medicare arguments ahead of November's key elections. Republican candidates and Trump have contended Democrats will pull money from the health program for seniors in order to pay for Medicare for All, a single-payer system that has gained more traction recently in the Democratic Party.

"They want to raid Medicare to pay for socialism," Trump recently claimed at a rally in Indiana, where Sen. Joe Donnelly, another vulnerable Democrat, is defending his seat this year.

Florida Gov. Rick Scott, a Republican trying to win a Senate seat in a state with a large population of retirees, also recently contended that "if you want to protect Medicare, vote Republican."

Medicare for All plans would actually expand Medicare benefits, not cut them.
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Linky.
 
Tsukasa Buddha said:
Starve the Beast lives on (shh, don't talk about it until after the election):



But how they are trying to lie about reframe the issue is hilarious:



Linky.
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Ever since the busses with the bloody red hand print exclaiming "keep your government hands off my medicare" nothing has really surprised me when it comes to Republican health care messaging.
 
I remember Republicans screaming about "socialized medicine" back in the early '60's; proclaiming it would be the end of all things American. Now they love them some Medicare. Interestingly, so do insurance companies.
 
dudalb said:
Hubris, baby;it will get you every time.
But, that being said, I am taking that story with a ton of salt.
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Wise choice - my first response was along the lines of "Okay, everyone, they say their sides' guards are down, let's drive them out!"
 
MikeG said:
Is Cruz really going to lose? A well-known Texas Republican, lose to a hitherto unknown Democrat? Really?
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Tsukasa Buddha said:
Latest high quality poll:
Released Tuesday, the survey found Cruz with 54 percent support and O'Rourke, an El Paso congressman, with 45 percent. Only 1 percent of those polled were undecided.
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Linky.

The odds by 538 are ~25%, while the odds of Dems taking the Senate are ~30%.
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The only way I could see it happening is if Democrats are much more motivated than Republicans to come to the polls. It's possible (although I wouldn't say likely) that a poll wouldn't pick up on an "enthusiasm gap". Traditionally Republican voters tend to be more likely to vote in midterms.
 
Dr. Keith said:
I wouldn't bet any money on it, but it has become a close race in a state where there shouldn't be a close race. The GOP is nervous and will be spending a lot of money down here just to hold onto a seat that they never thought would be in play.

If they actually lose the seat it will be a huge upset.
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It would prove Trump right.... If only Cruz had dumped his current wife and employed married an immigrant model who worked illegally, like Trump did.
 
Cruz: If Beto O'Rourke wins, BBQ will be banned in Texas. Yes, I'm serious.


The day before, a Cruz campaign event on Saturday in the town of Columbus was met with tofu-serving protesters from People for the Ethical Treatment of Animals, prompting a warning from the Republican senator, the Austin American-Statesman reported.

"When I got here someone told me that even PETA was protesting and giving out barbecued tofu, so I got to say, they summed up the entire election: If Texas elects a Democrat, they're going to ban barbecue across the state of Texas," Cruz told supporters, according to the newspaper.
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I didn't realize that PETA were official representatives of the Democratic Party in Texas.
 
LSSBB said:
They are the Inquisition! Their weapons are fear and...

...well, fears is pretty much all they got.
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To be fair, the claim that Democrats would ban BBQ in Texas is also surprising.
 
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