political predictions

The date of 'ousting' includes plain resignation or the announcement of the start of Tory voting for his successor. Maybe keep your predictions to a half of a single month, though it's more a bit of fun (if anything in his administration can be described as 'fun') than an actual competition*...

I predict that Tomorrow's March will be mostly Peaceful as the Marchers know they have no way of getting military support with Biden In the White House. There will. Be protests outside the white house and outside the Pentagon over Fox News rhetoric about the Afghan war, and General Milley's...

Not a really serious poll. Just assume for a moment that he runs and gets nominated. Who will it be?

There is an opinion piece in today's Observer (part of the Guardian 'empire'), suggesting that Mike Pompeo is lining himself up as the next Republican president, in the Trump mould. Comments? Counter suggestions?

I think he will.

The common belief is that Trump will be facing multiple legal battles in multiple jurisdictions the moment he leaves office. Defamation, tax fraud, insurance fraud, perjury, obstruction of justice are just a few. So how soon can we expect the first subpoena being issued, if ever?

Some speech trump gave recently (I don't remember which), or maybe a short group of tweets with a slightly less berserk & more giving-up tone than they'd been for a while, struck me as if the rage he'd been showing for days was burning him out. Maybe it was just that he was at a certain point in...

Not going to do a poll because I probably don't know enough names to suggest. If you do, go for it. First, I think it's a safe bet that they'll go for some diversity. With all the remaining viable candidates being old, that certainly means it'll be someone younger. Probably a minority and/or...

Why trump will be reelected 1. The Democratic Party. Around 90 years ago Will Rodgers said “I'm not a member of any organized political party. I'm a Democrat.” Still true. 2. The Republican Party. Absolutely monolithic in its devotion to Trump. 3. Socialism. The current front-runner is a...

The voting for Democratic nominee officially kicks off tonight in Iowa, and I'd like to have a thread in which we try to game out how it all shakes out on one side of the aisle, preferably in quantifiable terms. Personally I think Bernie is going to finish very strong tonight, probably taking...

Well, I certainly screwed up when I started this poll! It was the wrong question! So, (rule of) when will the trial actually begin?

It's a forgone conclusion there'll be one, how long? ETA: How do get a reply before it even gets posted? For the "or less" options, just assume "but more than the line above".

Scenario: It's mid-November 2020. Donald Trump has been defeated by a Democrat. The landslide extends to the Senate which will have a strong Democrat majority in early 2021. Ruth Bader Ginsberg dies. Trump immediately nominates a replacement Supreme Court Justice. What will McConnell, still...

Unless, of course, he dies in office, but if that doesn't happen, what next? P.S.: This is a poll, wait for it! P.P.S.: Dammit, forgot to enable multiple choice. Well, have at it anyway!

Was thinking about what else Johnson could come up with as his bribes for when the next GE is called. Given the news today I reckon it's going to be cancellation of HS2 and the third runway at Heathrow. Anyone else want to bet on what else ?

I sure hope it's 100%. I want to see him end up in prison and die there broken and bankrupt. I want to live to dance upon his grave.

I knew Trump would back down on the Mexico tariff threats. He predictably was looking for attention. As soon as he isn't the top headline he looks for another attention getting tactic. Cue the threat of tariffs on all of Mexican goods. Tariffs on Mexico was a bad idea, the GOP legislators knew...

When does Roe v Wade get thrown out? With a SCOTUS now built on solidly anti-abortion conservatives, I can see a 5-4 vote devolving legislation to states happening in the very near future. I reckon the Red Team will be looking for a judgement before the 2020 election, so my pick is within one...

Just thought it would be fun to do a little poll, and of course a transparent one so we can point and laugh when we have the answer. I'm in for "reelected".

So who will end up taking Jeff Sessions Alabama senate seat? The election is next Tuesday. Will it be democrat Doug Jones or republican and known pedophile Roy Moore?

Who will get fired / forced out next? Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Pro

We'll know for certain in a few days time, so here is your chance to make a public prediction. The poll is public, so we can see see who voted for what, and it is one vote each. As an aside, it'd be interesting to have your predictions for the Lib Dem result. I reckon they'll be down to 4 or 5 MPs.

Five weeks before the first round, this year's French presidential election promises to be like none before it. For the first time in the history of the 5th republic, it may well be that the two main political blocks will both be thrown out during the first round. Current polling indeed has far...

How long do you think he's going to last? Whether he withdraws, gets embroiled in a scandal, or is impeached and removed. Or, he'll serve out the full one (or two) terms.

A lot of people are speculating on what sort of presidency The Donald will have and which of his "policy positions" he will actually implement or attempt to implement. As we grieve or rejoice today, what do we seriously think he will be able to accomplish? Make your predictions on the next 4...

I'm not a huge fan of Michael Moore - I think he tends to delve into some of the logically and intellectually questionable behavior that I despise amongst conservatives. But this prediction that Trump would win, written back in July, seems fairly prescient in retrospect...

By this I mean he acknowledges that he lost fair and square. I say almost certainly not.

Comey just sent yet another letter to congress, stating: “During that process, we reviewed all of the communications that were to or from Hillary Clinton while she was Secretary of State,” Comey wrote. “Based on our review, we have not changed our conclusions that we expressed in July with...

It's simple: Record your prediction for the Electoral College results of the Presidential Election (currently scheduled for November 8). Break it down by state if you want. Go ahead and predict the popular vote as well. Pro/anti-candidate arguments aren't required because we have four...

I've got a bad feeling about this. :(