mikeb768
Muse
- Joined
- Jul 10, 2012
- Messages
- 714
Thanks for taking the trouble to do that, Brian-M. It's beyond stupid that anyone should have to, but there we are.
I'd just add that this one:
is also a 50/50 chance. They either would or wouldn't re-enter Mecca. Again, this is not even slightly impressive a prediction.
mikeb768......what would impress us much more would be a list of as-yet-unfulfilled predictions, which we could then tick off as they happened. Any chance of that list?
And what about a list of those predictions which have turned out to be outright failures? Don't suppose you have that to hand, do you?
So I'm guessing that you have been unable to locate the list of "outright failures" which you had previously mentioned?
Also consider the fact that making a prediction which has even a 50/50 chance is quite risky when you consider what is at stake. For example, would a rational person agree place their house, car , wife and kids all on the line based on a coin flip? Well that is pretty much what we have here, wouldn't you agree. The only way such a proposition would make any sense is that the person making the claim already knows the outcome, or they have the ability to change the outcome in their favor.
“How often have I said to you that when you have eliminated the impossible, whatever remains, however improbable, must be the truth...”
― Sir Arthur Conan Doyle