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Continuation Part 5: Discussion of the Amanda Knox/Raffaele Sollecito case

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My source has referred me to this:

Well if you could watch the video it seems clear she says the locksmith and her boy.

Does anybody else find it odd that a nursery would have 2000 Euro in cash?

Most people here would pay by check, debit card or credit card.

Is everything in Italy under the table?

What an odd target for robbery.
 
I can send emails, but I don't know how to Skype.
Guede-o could Skype.

I betcha Guede-o had an email account.
You, nor I, probably just have not seen that evidence, Grinder...
Agree?

The point is that if he were sending emails at that time, one would think defense lawyers would make the point that while having an account and making arrangements with the Spanish girls (for example) and other activity, he didn't ever have contact with Amanda or Raf.

He may well not have been able to afford his own ISP service and used cafes. It is hard to make appointments by email if one only has access periodically.

IIRC no mention of his emailing or phone activity was ever spoken of in court proceedings.
 
inside job?

What an odd target for robbery.
Nina Burleigh's book suggests that it could have been done through inside help. There was someone who was employed at the nursery, and she left there shortly thereafter, IIRC.
 
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It's easy to catch up, just ship most everyone but mine :p.

I certainly don't know about the wrapping paper but a decent assumption. I don't think they found anything on the mop so it is only an example of the sloppy work conducted.
Well Grinder, if I had just shipped everything except your posts I would have missed most of that fascinating discussion of rocks-paper-scissors-windows physics. Can a large rock break a window? Jeeez. All was not lost though, I did learn from DrTesla that large rocks fall faster than small rocks. Probably related to the the Higgs boson discovery or something.

Anyway, back to the wrapping paper. If it is the same wrapping paper that Raffaele and Amanda used to wrap Filomena's gift, and if the bra clasp was fondled while the police were wearing the same gloves they used to wrap the mop, it is one more possible explanation for DNA transfer.
 

Perhaps they should change the name of the site to "uneducated_opinions.org". Here is the highlighted portion of one of my favorite entries from the guilty side at the site:

"Amanda knox got the two boys to rape and murder Meredith for her. Because Patrick was replacing Amanda with Meredith as hostess at his club."

There are plenty more to choose from, if one is so inclined.
 

The side for innocence is getting smoked over there. Its weird to believe the opposite yet have so many people resoundingly disagree, makes me wonder what they see that I don't

I noticed someone pointed out that Amanda looks like she is crying during some of her recent interviews but never has any tears. I too thought that was strange but I watched her short press conference when she first arrived back in Seattle and she was with her family and speaking to all her close supporters. So it was an environment where you would think she would feel comfortable to be herself and she did the same thing (where it seems like she is crying but no tears come out).

I think thats just the way she is and its unfortunately contributed to folks thinking she is guilty
 
Well Grinder, if I had just shipped everything except your posts I would have missed most of that fascinating discussion of rocks-paper-scissors-windows physics. Can a large rock break a window? Jeeez. All was not lost though, I did learn from DrTesla that large rocks fall faster than small rocks. Probably related to the the Higgs boson discovery or something.

Anyway, back to the wrapping paper. If it is the same wrapping paper that Raffaele and Amanda used to wrap Filomena's gift, and if the bra clasp was fondled while the police were wearing the same gloves they used to wrap the mop, it is one more possible explanation for DNA transfer.

Of course I was just jesting as the physics debate was eye-opening :rolleyes: .

Your point about the paper is spot on and I would add that it also shows how badly the DNA work must have been done. It would be highly likely that when wrapping a gift that some DNA would be left on the paper that was held down while cutting it. Also on the the scissors and tape dispenser.

It has always been a canard of the PGP to say Raf's DNA was only on the cigarette. It was only found there because they didn't look at things like the wrapping paper, because there was no reason to.
 
The side for innocence is getting smoked over there. Its weird to believe the opposite yet have so many people resoundingly disagree, makes me wonder what they see that I don't

I noticed someone pointed out that Amanda looks like she is crying during some of her recent interviews but never has any tears. I too thought that was strange but I watched her short press conference when she first arrived back in Seattle and she was with her family and speaking to all her close supporters. So it was an environment where you would think she would feel comfortable to be herself and she did the same thing (where it seems like she is crying but no tears come out).

I think thats just the way she is and its unfortunately contributed to folks thinking she is guilty
Is rabid abuse permitted? If so, I might head over :D
 
Nina Burleigh's book suggests that it could have been done through inside help. There was someone who was employed at the nursery, and she left there shortly thereafter, IIRC.

It is very odd that at that time of the month 2000 Euros would be in the cash box.
 
He has to summarize that arguments for and and against the idea of the knife being the murder weapon, and make his best case that it was, which is handicapped by the very real fact it doesn't match the wounds and tested negative for blood. Relying on things like the quote that Amanda was worried about the knife reveals that, what innocent suspect wouldn't be worried if they heard the police found their DNA on a knife where they claim the victim's DNA was also?

His argument here (for blood) is not unlike how he points out in the bathroom that a person washing up might not leave traces, relying upon, as you divined, that 'absence of evidence is not evidence of absence.' Acknowledging that works to the advantage of Amanda in that case. However it's also not much in the way of positive evidence either! There's literally none of that outside the trace found that he concludes 'appears to be completely reliable.'

Of course it wasn't, it was junk science DNA analysis.
It was bizarre to re-read those sections of Massei which refer to trace 36B - ostensibly about the determination of 36B's identity, who it belonged to and whether or not was blood-DNA.

I'll have to read it again, but Massei never really comes out and says he agrees with Stefanoni's reasoning. But it is almost as if the conversation is like this hypothetical re-examination of Patrizia Stefanoni (PS) at the new Florence trial, with Massei's own conclusions from his 2010 motivations report in her mouth.:

Q: Is it blood-related DNA in the grove, this trace 36B?

PS: Well it should have been.​

Q: Should have been? What do you mean by that?

PS: Well this is the murder weapon, and that is a trace of Meredith's DNA which survived cleaning.​

Q: Where did you find it?

PS: in one of the scratches on the blade?​

Q: Is this the only scratch?

PS: No, there are many.​

Q: Professor Cingolani, the expert witness appointed by the GIP [judge of the preliminary hearing] for the incidente probatorio[pre-trial taking of evidence], who was shown the knife, Exhibit 36, during this hearing, it having been made [313] available at the express request of the defence, declared that he had not seen such scratches. (cf Massei, page 311)

PS: Well, Judge Massei concluded that the Professor could not have used the same lighting as I had, and concluded that I had moved the knife from side to side under better lighting conditions than the Professor.​

Q: You're kidding me. That was Judge Massei's reasoning?

PS: Sir, your argument is not with me. I saw the scratches. The Professor did not.​

Q: All right. Moving on. So why would a trace survive in this scratch and not the others... or for that matter, why would 36A survive on the handle which had no scratches?

PS: Well, first of all the cleaning was thorough, that is evidenced by the very lack of any material at all. We're just fortunate to have what we have.​

Q: So, ok, you are saying that 36B should have been blood-DNA. Why isn't it?

PS: Well that's just my point, there's no way to tell what it once was. As a separate issue, it's not the cleaning per se, it is that there is such a small sample. It also has to do with making a choice about what we want to find out with such a small sample.​

Q: Well, it's not the issue, per se, of a small sample is it, Ms. Stefanoni? To quote another expert the problem is that your finding was at the level where the next lowest setting on the the base value (or threshold setting) of the kit; it could even have been equal to zero. This result should have led to cessation of the analysis, should it not? If the concentration of DNA was below the threshold value of the instrument: "we have surely before us a low copy number situation". (cf. Massei page 274, Sarah Gino.)

PS: well, that in and of itself is a different issue. You're mixing up things. I thought we were talking about whether or not thhe actual DNA found was blood- or non-blood-DNA?​

Q: Well, it's two fold, is it or is it not Meredith's DNA - let's at least establish that before talking about blood.

PS: Well, you could have started like that, instead of wandering back and forth between issues.​

Q: So, okay, let's go back to the issue of blood. You said that in good lighting and by varying the angle [point of view] with respect to the light - striations [scratches] could be seen. Analysis gave a biological profile attributable to Meredith? (Massei p. 308.)

PS: Correct.​

Q: A "biological profile"?

PS: Yes.​

Q: Why not "blood-DNA"?

PS: Well, with all due respect, we're not there yet, you'll need to explore some more.​

Q: Ok, Professor Cingolani (the expert witness nominated by the GIP [preliminary hearing judge]) says it was not possible to know the nature of the biological trace that had apparently been found on the blade, and in fact the test for blood had given a negative result.

PS: Well, it was not so much the material found, it was further that the quantity of DNA was too low ("troppo basso") to be able to perform the tests and to consider those results reliable. In the presence of too low DNA, the risk of a contamination capable of altering the results is very high because the contaminating DNA could end up on the specimen to be tested.​

Q: Are you not then admitting that there was no blood-DNA on that knife?

PS: No, what I am saying is that the quantity of DNA was too low to perform the test.​

Q: Excuse me?

PS: To do that test that if done could contaminate the specimen.​

Q: Why then would you even suspect blood?

PS: The negative result of the test performed to determine the haematological nature of the material of specimen B does not per se exclude the haematological nature of the specimen. (cf. Massei's own conclusion, page 310.)​

Q: Excuse me?

PS: Just because the test came back negative does not mean that blood-DNA had not originally been there. It could have been removed, for instance, with the cleaning of the knife.​

Q: You mean the "hypothetical cleaning"?

PS: No, "the" cleaning. Nothing else was found on a knife used for ordinary household chores. No one disputes that it had been cleaned.​

Q: But I mean, "a cleaning in connection to the crime," which, getting back to what we're talking about, would explain a negative result in the test for blood.

PS: Ok, if you want to put it that way.​

Q: So what you are saying, Ms. Stefanoni, is that the outcome of test, [which was] negative for blood, did not necessarily signify the non-haematological nature of the trace, as it might have been derived from too small a quantity of material to have allowed a positive result, even if that substance had been blood? (cf. Massei. page 310.)

PS: Yes, that is what I'm saying.​

Q: And?

PS: well, it's a choice - at those low levels it's a choice between knowing who it belongs to or what it is. I chose to find out who it belonged to not what it was.​

Q: please say more about that.

PS: It's a choice, whereby the greatest quantity of DNA had been used to determine the biological profile rather than the nature of the specimen, provided a basis for the subsequent assessments: it is preferable to know to whom a given biological specimen is attributable, rather than ascertaining the nature of that same specimen, without any possibility of attributing it to anyone. (cf. Massei, page 311.)​

Q: So, you do not know if it is blood-DNA, because you chose instead to identify the owner of the sample?

PS: Well, yes and no, it's not as simple as that.​

Q: well, this IS your testimony, you've just testified that it IS that simple.

PS: Well, it actually is. But it isn't. The defence in the first trial did not raise any objections to this.​

Q: Excuse me?

PS: The first court in 2009 accepted this premise thusly, "With respect to the affirmation according to which the negative test for blood does not necessarily signify absence of blood in the sample being analysed, no significant counter-arguments were put forward. Moreover, Dr. Stefanoni’s explanation of this point seems convincing: if the quantity is minimal, the negative outcome of the test may also be a result of the insufficient quantity used for the test itself."​

Q: Well, that was then and this is now.
​

And even at the end of all these contortions as found at the Massei court, recorded in his motivations, here's what Judge Massei concludes about trace 36B..... you decide if it is a ringing endorsement of it being blood-DNA.

Massei page 316 said:
On the basis of the foregoing, it should therefore be affirmed that the analysis of trace 36B, which detected the presence DNA attributable to Meredith, appears to be completely reliable.
 
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a question

The side for innocence is getting smoked over there. Its weird to believe the opposite yet have so many people resoundingly disagree, makes me wonder what they see that I don't

I noticed someone pointed out that Amanda looks like she is crying during some of her recent interviews but never has any tears. I too thought that was strange but I watched her short press conference when she first arrived back in Seattle and she was with her family and speaking to all her close supporters. So it was an environment where you would think she would feel comfortable to be herself and she did the same thing (where it seems like she is crying but no tears come out).

I think thats just the way she is and its unfortunately contributed to folks thinking she is guilty
It's the other way around. There are statements at that site that are simply false, but there are not enough hours in the day to debate all of them. However, more serious for the defendants IMO is that people want to draw conclusions on the basis of looks, behavior, etc. This is hogwash, but if a jury believes in hogwash, the defendants have a problem. I recall reading studies to the effect that our ability to detect who is telling the truth from who is lying is little better than random chance. Professor Hampikian has this exactly right IMO.

I have previously pointed out why Guede is guilty beyond a reasonable doubt, even if you toss all of the evidence but the bloody handprint. Now let us extend this line of enquiry just a little further. What evidence forces us to add others into the crime? The forensic experts who testified in the trial of first instance knew about the supposed lack of defensive wounds, yet the consensus was that there was nothing that definitively indicated more than one attacker. The lack of DNA on Meredith's body or clothing (other than Guede's) is difficult to reconcile with the involvement of any other individual, as I have discussed previously several times. I believe that it was PhantomWolf who said that absence of evidence is not the same as evidence of absence but it is a pretty good start.
 
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I never realised until today, just how thin the evidence was from Stefanoni's lab that almost sent two innocents to jail for 25/26 years.

It's incredible.
 
I have previously pointed out why Guede is guilty beyond a reasonable doubt, even if you toss all of the evidence but the bloody handprint. Now let us extend this line of enquiry just a little further. What evidence forces us to add others into the crime? The forensic experts who testified in the trial of first instance knew about the supposed lack of defensive wounds, yet the consensus was that there was nothing that definitively indicated more than one attacker. The lack of DNA on Meredith's body or clothing (other than Guede's) is difficult to reconcile with the involvement of any other individual, as I have discussed previously several times. I believe that it was PhantomWolf who said that absence of evidence is not the same as evidence of absence but it is a pretty good start.

He admitted being there when she died. Not much else is needed.

The absence of evidence proves Rudi didn't break into the cottage but the absence of evidence doesn't prove that Amanda wasn't part of the murder. This is the hypocrisy of both sides.

Locard is the rule when convenient as is Occam.

How can there be evidence of absence other than a rock solid alibi? Even that is evidence of presence elsewhere and technically not evidence of absence. In fact, the computer alibi evidence was undone by Mignini by moving the TOD to 11:30. I'm confident that had there been a video of them in Raf's apartment until midnight the TOD would have been moved to 12:30.
 
Filomena's window

I would take Rep. 198 and Rep. 199 as relatively weak evidence that someone broke into the cottage via Filomena's window. The rock must have been thrown from the outside (this is consistent with a real break-in, but it does not compel us to conclude that the break-in was real). But how about a trying to answer my question: What evidence compels us to include anyone else, let alone Raffaele and Amanda, in this crime?
 
It was bizarre to re-read those sections of Massei which refer to trace 36B - ostensibly about the determination of 36B's identity, who it belonged to and whether or not was blood-DNA.

I'll have to read it again, but Massei never really comes out and says he agrees with Stefanoni's reasoning. But it is almost as if the conversation is like this hypothetical re-examination of Patrizia Stefanoni (PS) at the new Florence trial, with Massei's own conclusions from his 2010 motivations report in her mouth.:

Q: Is it blood-related DNA in the grove, this trace 36B?

PS: Well it should have been.​

Q: Should have been? What do you mean by that?

****SNIPPED****

And even at the end of all these contortions as found at the Massei court, recorded in his motivations, here's what Judge Massei concludes about trace 36B..... you decide if it is a ringing endorsement of it being blood-DNA.​



Is this conversation made up by someone or could I read this verbatim from the Massei report? If from Massei, which pages?

thx​
 
Is this conversation made up by someone or could I read this verbatim from the Massei report? If from Massei, which pages?

thx

I should have been more clear. I made up this conversation, but the data is solely from the Massei report as indicated by page numbers given.

So it is a fictitious conversation at the upcoming Florence trial, but it is Massei's findings put into Stefanoni's mouth; I believe it safe to do because the responses are what Stefanoni actually said at the first trial (which Massei records in his motivations).
 
I should have been more clear. I made up this conversation, but the data is solely from the Massei report as indicated by page numbers given.

So it is a fictitious conversation at the upcoming Florence trial, but it is Massei's findings put into Stefanoni's mouth; I believe it safe to do because the responses are what Stefanoni actually said at the first trial (which Massei records in his motivations).

:confused:
 
I should have been more clear. I made up this conversation, but the data is solely from the Massei report as indicated by page numbers given.

So it is a fictitious conversation at the upcoming Florence trial, but it is Massei's findings put into Stefanoni's mouth; I believe it safe to do because the responses are what Stefanoni actually said at the first trial (which Massei records in his motivations).

Don't be confused. These things are what Stefanoni actually said, and what Judge Massei actually said in the Massei motivations report from 2010. I am not making up the content.

To make it as clear as I can - in response to the question - Is it Meredith's blood-DNA on the knife?.... Stefanoni told the 1st instance court, "With a sample that small, that barely registers (and which most other countries would say was too small and irrelevant), I had to choose between identifying who the small trace belonged to, or identifying what it was. I could not do both. So I chose to find out who it belonged to, because finding out what it was would not answer the question of who it belonged to."

In short, even if it was Mededith's, and they are still arguing that, the trace 36B on the knife blade is non-blood DNA. Stefanoni herself, in the Massei report and through testimony at the first trial, conceded as such.

There are DNA experts who say that unless it IS blood-DNA, then that knife was not involved in a murder.

All I have done is cast the data, as already recorded in Massei's report, as if it were being re-represented at the upcoming Florence trial.
 
To make it as clear as I can - in response to the question - Is it Meredith's blood-DNA on the knife?.... Stefanoni told the 1st instance court, "With a sample that small, that barely registers (and which most other countries would say was too small and irrelevant), I had to choose between identifying who the small trace belonged to, or identifying what it was. I could not do both. So I chose to find out who it belonged to, because finding out what it was would not answer the question of who it belonged to."
In short, even if it was Mededith's, and they are still arguing that, the trace 36B on the knife blade is non-blood DNA. Stefanoni herself, in the Massei report and through testimony at the first trial, conceded as such.

There are DNA experts who say that unless it IS blood-DNA, then that knife was not involved in a murder.

All I have done is cast the data, as already recorded in Massei's report, as if it were being re-represented at the upcoming Florence trial.

I couldn't find the highlighted section in Massei. The term "with a sample" only showed up once on a search and it was this: Dr. Torricelli reported that ‚we find all the alleles, and we find them to be equal to those obtained from the swab taken, from the sample taken from the wound. Therefore in this case too, without doubt‛ -she continued- ‚although we are confronted with a sample that contains very little DNA, it nonetheless contains the DNA of only one person and is therefore comparable to Meredith’s; with regard to this knife, I would say I have no doubt in interpreting it: specimen A with Amanda’s profile and specimen B with the profile, compatible with that of Meredith" (page 109).

Surely you can see that a particle of DNA could exist without being blood and in this example perhaps bone.

While I think the LCN DNA work Stefanoni is bogus, I don't think it is impossible for all the blood to have been cleaned off but a tiny fragment of bone remained in the tiny crevice. Please don't move the goal posts and say the crevice couldn't be found.

DNA can and does exist that isn't blood and it could be the case here regardless of who said what.
 
Don't be confused. These things are what Stefanoni actually said, and what Judge Massei actually said in the Massei motivations report from 2010. I am not making up the content.

Why can't you just reference the page numbers of Massei and quote it directly? (I'm not being hostile with this question, I'm just a little confused like Briars as to why a simple quote and page(s) reference wouldn't have done the trick)
 
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