I don’t think we can have a “productive discussion unless” you can focus on what is actually being said, but I’ll keep trying.
I respect and appreciate such efforts, they do you credit and I thank you.
In "a vision of success", what is being visualized (the success) is the “accomplishment ” , FTL travel in this case, and thus explicitly dependent that “state of nature”.
As indicated before, I'm unaware of where this dependency is explicitly specified in this manner, but if we were planning, I would advocate it be restated to prevent the misinterpretation mentioned before: "If (FTL possible state of nature exists) then (successful accomplishment)", which would be invalid. We can only be certain that if (no FTL possible state of nature exists) then (no successful accomplishment)".
Is your claim now that your “vision of success" (for FTL travel) involves not accomplishing FTL travel?
"Involves" seems too vague to give a simple and non-misleading yes or no. I'd like to provide a clear yes or no that you probably would also like, but to do so I need to be addressing a question specific enough that the answer is meaningful and not misleading.
It matters also whether "accomplishing" refers to a future state of nature or refers to something in a vision we use "simply as irreducible posits comparable, epistemologically, to the gods of Homer" (
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Willard_Van_Orman_Quine#Confirmation_holism_and_ontological_relativity)
My claim is that positing the future state allowing FTL offers benefits of a similar class to those which have historically been obtained from positing the gods of Homer, heliocentrism, and Newton's laws during their day.
Separate does not mean independent and a “relationship”, as you put it, does imply some dependence (mutual or otherwise).
Yes it does seem to imply this, whether the implication is valid or not. This is why the language of logic and philosophy is so nit-picky. I'm not trying to sidestep anything by distinguishing a vision, adopting a vision, and accomplishing a vision, and so forth, I just hope to be as clear as I can.
Is your claim now that, given the “vision of success is ours to choose”, one can’t choose “a vision of success” that is dependent on "uncontrollable future events"?
I don't think I explicitly claimed that, but I think I'd certainly agree that we are free to choose a vision dependent on anything, but I think we should use potential productivity to select our visions. If being irrational looks like it could be really productive, I think deciding to be irrational could be justified. Whether this applies to any particular situation is another question.
Yes “finding unicorns” depends on (among other things) their “existence” “at the time we seek them”. So even your own example demonstrates “a vision of success” can depend upon “States of Nature”.
If by "vision" you mean "holding or selecting a particular vision" I disagree. I think my claim only asserts a particular state is a necessary condition for success in accomplishing the vision, but it is mute on whether framing our work by that vision is productive. I wouldn't agree with the claim that my example demonstrates our ability to hold a "vision of success" does or should depend on the "state of nature" in the way you suggest.
Consistency in the application of terms is just as important as clarity. In fact said clarity becomes meaningless if it is not applied consistently.
Agreed.
And some of these “lots of reasons” “we might still miss them for” are they also perhaps "uncontrollable future events" thus “States of Nature”?
Sure.
If so than that dependence is related to more “States of Nature” than just their “existence” “at the time we seek them”.
Yes, this holds true if the dependency referred to is "successful accomplishment of the vision".
Oh and I think I should point out here, before you run further astray in some other "uncontrollable future events". All those other “lots of reasons” “we might still miss them for” in no way diminishes the dependence of that “vision of success" on unicorns in fact existing.
No: We are free to hold completely delusional visions of success (involving unicorns or Gods on Mt. Olympus) without any observational verification. In 1951, Quine began arguing the value of a vision or theory is in its utility for progress and prediction. He rejects Popper's falsifiability based on the observation that people can save any belief, (no matter how ridiculous), "given sufficiently radical modifications of the containing theory". This seems plausible to me, especially after discussions with my sister about astrology.
As a “vision of success" (for finding unicorns) that depended on unicorns not exiting would be just self-contradictory.
I agree such a proposition seems non-sensical.
Sure, let’s see how that pans out…
“states of nature” or "uncontrollable future events"
Case1) The numbers drawn for the lottery
Case2) FTL travel is achievable
“vision of success”
Case1) Winning the lottery
Case2) Achieving FTL travel
“successful accomplishment”
Case1) The numbers draw for the lottery are those on your ticket
Case2) Traveling FTL
Now wasn’t there someone here who claimed that appealing to such unknown and uncontrollable future events was a mistake?
Oh right, that was you. Nope, still doesn’t help, you are still presenting an apparently self-contradictory position.
If, at a decision point, we take an outcome to be certain when it depends on both our decisions/actions and an unknown future state (and perhaps other things), then our decision based on that is considered a bad decision.
The reason I don't see this position as contradictory is that I argue we should not assume such certainty. My position is one of cautious optimism, with emphasis on the caution.
For example, using extreme care monitoring for any signs of defects in the vision or defects in our approach, as is a best practice for successfully accomplishing complex goals.
Again, heck, at least we know winning the lottery is possible, so your purported “vision of success” for FTL travel doesn’t even rise to that standard of “appealing to a future unknown”
There's been decades of wrestling with rules for good science that are not to tight, excluding productive science, nor to loose that would allow astrology to gain status as a legitimate science.
Your objection is quite true, but if we can see that some productive cognitive frameworks in the history science that would have been tossed out by only allowing known possibilities, this rule might seem too tight.
Of course, if my (or any) recommendation is overly risky, unreliable, and/or unproductive we would want to be able to clearly tell. Based on the continuing debates around explanation and causation, this demarcation problem doesn't seem to have especially well resolved rules.
Before proceeding please try to address what is actually being said in at least a consistent manor.
I'm trying pretty hard...how am I doing?