How To Use Bitcoin – The Most Important Creation In The History Of Man

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I cannot see any way at present to short BTC without making an initial investment first. Perhaps you know of a way, if so I would be interested in reading about it.
If you can borrow bitcoins you can short them. If you can get someone to accept an IOU for bitcoins to be paid in the future (in exchange for cash or goods) then you are shorting them. Neither method requires you to "invest" anything up front into bitcoins.

You might say "I can't" do either but that is not your argument. Your argument is that you won't short bitcoins (not surprising since you are already on record as saying that bitcoin will never die).

Right now, Bitcoin is very similar to a ponzi scheme, only one with an advantage over other ponzi schemes, and it is the 8 decimal trick... This has been discussed ad nauseam above, but in a scheme where there are a few early adopters with huge stashes of coins, and where we know of people with enough BTC in one single address to destroy the price in one day, then yes, I would still call it a ponzi scheme.
By that criteria, every commodity is a ponzi scheme (or do you think that gold is not divisible)?

At the moment For the forseeable future the only thing keeping bitcoin in place is that there are thousands of people willing to speculate on the price.
ftfy.
 
If you can borrow bitcoins you can short them. If you can get someone to accept an IOU for bitcoins to be paid in the future (in exchange for cash or goods) then you are shorting them. Neither method requires you to "invest" anything up front into bitcoins.

Thanks for the reply, I had encountered those scenarios, but they do not seem viable at the moment, at least for me. I don't know anyone with any bitcoins to be able to implement either scenario. Moreover, the market at the moment is so volatile and filled with mistrust that to I cannot see how anyone would be willing to accept an IOU.

You might say "I can't" do either but that is not your argument. Your argument is that you won't short bitcoins (not surprising since you are already on record as saying that bitcoin will never die).

Never die is a strong statement, but I agree with the quote I cited earlier, it is possible that BTC will continue in a spiral of boom and bust. Too many people seem too ideologically married to the concept for it to die.

My medium term prediction is that it will remain being traded by speculators and enthusiasts, much as it is now. The press interest fuelled by the rally has pretty much dissipated, so I would say that unless there is a major development, things will remain as they are for a while. Another crash is possible if an early adopter decides to cash out.

In the long run, I don't think that it will be a viable currency for the many problems people have explained before in this thread. Deflation is a serious issue, as well as the problem of growing transaction times and the growing blockchain.

By that criteria, every commodity is a ponzi scheme (or do you think that gold is not divisible)?

Bitcoin is very different to other commodities. While there may be large holders, they do not have the power that early BTC adopters wield. Furthermore, the effort that those early adopters spent was negligible when compared to the effort that is now required to mine new bitcoins. This is what makes is akin to a ponzi scheme.
 
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So, short away buddy.
Best to stay timid, and not take bold steps forward. Some who have have lost big.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4axmD2YvPnA

On a side note, there's a company manufacturing hardware specifically to mine bitcoins as efficiently as possible using ASIC (sp) processors. ~$275 for 25Ghash/sec. Doing the math on that, it would net you, on average, $30 a day.

#EDIT: Of course, that's at current difficulty and pricing. Subject to change.
Next time do the math RIGHT.

25 Ghash/second would net you at today's difficulty rates something like 1.13 bitcoin per day, or $140 per day at current exchange rates. That's 24/7, $4237 per month.

Now, I'm kind of getting hungry. Who's with me on ordering a pizza with bitcoins?

LOL

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5WiXMcsfvXE
 
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Next time do the math RIGHT.

25 Ghash/second would net you at today's difficulty rates something like 1.13 bitcoin per day, or $140 per day at current exchange rates. That's 24/7, $4237 per month.

Now, I'm kind of getting hungry. Who's with me on ordering a pizza with bitcoins?

LOL

Apologies. I was using an online calculator, and I was working from memory. As usual, my memory fails me. :)

Hrm. Makes me more inclined to get one of those devices, if I can, and give it a whirl.

Which makes me think, if they don't pan out, or if there's no point in mining any more, I wonder how hard it would be to repurpose them to something like the Seti@home project?

#EDIT: Ahhhh. There's where I went wrong. The $274 device is only 5Mhash/sec, not 25. Thus the daily return average is calculated at $34.25.
 
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In the long run, I don't think that it will be a viable currency for the many problems people have explained before in this thread. Deflation is a serious issue, as well as the problem of growing transaction times and the growing blockchain.
Deflation is another way of saying that bitcoin is an asset whose average value will increase continuously over time. That makes it a great investment.

The problem of the growing blockchain is dealt with in https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Scalability:
The core Bitcoin network can scale to much higher transaction rates than are seen today, assuming that nodes in the network are primarily running on high end servers rather than desktops. Bitcoin was designed to support lightweight clients that only process small parts of the block chain (see simplified payment verification below for more details on this). A configuration in which the vast majority of users sync lightweight clients to more powerful backbone nodes is capable of scaling to millions of users and tens of thousands of transactions per second.

Bitcoin is very different to other commodities. While there may be large holders, they do not have the power that early BTC adopters wield. Furthermore, the effort that those early adopters spent was negligible when compared to the effort that is now required to mine new bitcoins. This is what makes is akin to a ponzi scheme.
This pyramid/early adopter nonsense was debunked in post 1444. You can't pretend it hasn't then repost earlier nonsense claims.

A ponzi scheme has to be run by someone and bitcoin isn't being "run" by anybody.
 
Apologies. I was using an online calculator, and I was working from memory. As usual, my memory fails me. :)

Hrm. Makes me more inclined to get one of those devices, if I can, and give it a whirl.

Which makes me think, if they don't pan out, or if there's no point in mining any more, I wonder how hard it would be to repurpose them to something like the Seti@home project?

#EDIT: Ahhhh. There's where I went wrong. The $274 device is only 5Mhash/sec, not 25. Thus the daily return average is calculated at $34.25.

It tells me $1.03/month. There's a big difference between an Mhash and a Ghash. Which one is it?

ETA:
If it were extremely profitable to own one of these devices, either the manufacturers would keep them for themselves or raise the price accordingly. I would jump at a chance to own a device that can make $34/day for only $274. It would pay for itself in a week (8 days actually, which is still amazing). But if I were selling it I would raise the price considerably.

ETA2: Here's one that claims 50 Ghash/sec and costs $2499. It would seem like it would pay for itself in about a week according to that calculator if prices stay the same. But I don't know if the calculator is accurate or if the claimed hashrate is accurate. If it is, why isn't everyone doing it?
 
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ETA2: Here's one that claims 50 Ghash/sec and costs $2499. It would seem like it would pay for itself in about a week according to that calculator if prices stay the same. But I don't know if the calculator is accurate or if the claimed hashrate is accurate. If it is, why isn't everyone doing it?

I think I see the problem here:

Pre-order Terms: Bitforce SC (ASIC) products are in final stage development with initial shipping scheduled for the last half of April 2013. Products are shipped according to placement in the order queue, and delivery may take 2 months or more after order. All sales are final.

Same terms apply for the $274 model.

No guarantee that bitcoin mining will still be as profitable once you finally receive your equipment(which is still in development) in several months time as it is now.
 
If it is, why isn't everyone doing it?
I think I see the problem here:



Same terms apply for the $274 model.

No guarantee that bitcoin mining will still be as profitable once you finally receive your equipment(which is still in development) in several months time as it is now.

It looks like you found the answer to your own question. As the eternal optimist says:
  • Nothing is as easy as it looks.
  • Everything takes longer than you think.
  • and If anything can go wrong, it will - at the worst possible moment.
:D
 
Deflation is another way of saying that bitcoin is an asset whose average value will increase continuously over time. That makes it a great investment.

But a poor currency.

This pyramid/early adopter nonsense was debunked in post 1444.

Indeed, it's not like a pyramid scheme at all. Could still be a scam, though, but the early adopters can't just dump their bitcoins all at once.

If it's not a scam, though, it's a poorly-conceived idea.
 
But a poor currency.
Funny how you keep having to say that even though I more or less agree with your assessment. In time, if the ownership becomes less concentrated, the situation might change but that comes under the category of fortune telling.

Indeed, it's not like a pyramid scheme at all. Could still be a scam, though, but the early adopters can't just dump their bitcoins all at once.

If it's not a scam, though, it's a poorly-conceived idea.
At least you admit you are speculating. The way some people post here, you would think this was an Illuminati plot and they had inside knowledge about it.
 
I know perfectly well what shorting is,
No you don't and your phrasing has betrayed this multiple times. I'm now not the only person who is also trying to explain this concept to you.

but I don't know of any way to short BTC without investing in the scheme and trusting shady intermediaries. I have read several articles on shorting bitcoins, but they all seem to have come to the same conclusion as me.
So that's the only problem, you want a method that doesn't require trusting unknown intermediaries? So you'll short them for a large amount if you can bypass that?

The market is too volatile,
That's not a valid complaint given what you believe. You've already stated that you perfectly understand Bitcoin and that it exists purely for speculation, which makes it a bubble which means it will inevitably collapse as all bubbles do. To claim it's too volatile is to contradict your own claim of perfect understanding and knowing exactly where the value will end up. Volatility plays no part in that.

It is not dishonest and does not imply any illegal activity, we are talking about extremely unsophisticated small businesses that consist in the most part of a basic website with contact details.
If you're considering whether to do business with me or invest your money with me, and I lie to you about the nature of my business in a manner that would cause you to invest or spend money you otherwise wouldn't, then that is not only dishonest, it is fraud.

Websites like Bittalk or the Bitcoin Wiki cannot give a false impression of the number of sites accepting Bitcoin, and those sites themselves will gain undue attention for themselves and cause some others to see them as being more "cutting edge" or having more growth potential than they actually do if they profess to be involved with Bitcoin business when they aren't. This is fraud.

You are treading on serious ground.

I make two separate statements. One was that my own investigation into the merchants listed as taking bitcoins produced several sites that are down and that do not have the capacity to accept bitcoins. This is corroborated by the evidence I presented, you are welcome to check for yourself.
As long as you recognize that your accusation is one of not only dishonesty, but fraudulent, shameful and illegal activity, then that's fine. We can have the conversation about the sites themselves, and I'm absolutely sure that some sites that accepted Bitcoin at one point don't accept them any longer, but to proclaim that there is no evidence that any sites ever did anything with them other than speculation is a whole different ballgame. That's what I'm pointing out to you.

The second statement, which you should not conflate with the first, is that there is little evidence that BTCs are being used as currency, namely, that they are being used as payment. This is clear from the price volatility, and the evidence of hoarding presented in previous posts.
Volatility in speculation does not mean that utility doesn't exist. The dotcom bubble was HIGHLY volatile, does that mean no one was using computers or the internet for real work? No. What happens when a speculation bursts is that the object in question goes back to its real utility-based value. You are proclaiming that there is none, and I and others in this thread have gone to great lengths to explain why there is actual utility there.

I stand by both statements. If you have evidence that BTCs are being used as currency, then it should be extremely easy for you to find evidence.
It is easy. I just have to look in the mirror. I already told you that I'm one online merchant who is doing so.
 
Un-Freeecking-Believeable

A two year old thread and the profound ignorance is the same as the first day.

Let's start with the basics.

Nakamoto: A Peer to Peer Electronic Cash System

And yes, when I say ignorance I refer to

...people that otherwise are smart, intelligent and well meaning, but who simply do not understand the basics of this electronic currency, and who by well or ill formed habit, find their fingers compulsively lurching toward keyboards, producing mad drivel, usually simply not relevant or factual, relying on their favorite pundits, who are not exactly math whiz types, and stridently proclaiming their expert opinings, while before they even finish, others have graded their paper and their work F-.

Now who's up for ordering a pizza with bitcoins?
 
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This is such a typical answer from bitcoin proponents. "There is a service that allows x, y, z" and solves all of your problems with Bitcoin.
No, don't strawmen people's statements. I'm telling you that there are specific properties, that being the divisibility and speed of transfer which allow instant-transaction services that can largely ignore volatility, that make your complaint a non-concern. That is not "one thing solves all your problems," that is me paying attention to your claim and offering a specific explanation to demonstrate for you why that claim is not an actual concern or problem.

Of course people will know what the current value of a Bitcoin is!
...?

I told you that there with instant intermediary-based transaction services the people in question do not even have to know the price of an individual Bitcoin, and you reply as though I claimed that no one will know it?

I don't understand how you go about reading the thread and replying. You clearly are not even following single sentence arguments and responses.

Particularly if they are to invest in the system. Your assumption that these services will be widely adopted and accepted, but this is a big assumption.
I am telling you that that the problems you are claiming are not actual problems for very clear reasons...which are already being shown in practice. So my assumption is not an assumption but just pointing out reality.

Firstly, I would also like you to point out where have I insulted you.
I said you made accusations (which you did, of fraud and dishonesty amongst basically all business that are listed as accepting Bitcoin) and that you ignorantly insulted people here who have made patient efforts to explain what Bitcoins are and why they think they are interesting or a solid concept that is worth time. When you declare Bitcoin to be a fraud and sweep away all these patient posts I and others have made, you're rudely dismissing a ton of effort and time that others have put forth, and also assuming quite clearly that we're either liars or fools for contradicting what you claim is your "perfect understanding." I would never say something like that, but I do know quite certainly from this exchange that the understanding I've acquired of the basic aspects of Bitcoin is currently more in-depth and consistent than yours.

I have read lots, I follow the developments because I find the subject interesting, but I would not consider my understanding in any way perfect. ETA: Reading back, I did use the words "perfectly understand". That is an idiom that I should stop using :)
That's fair enough, but to use that phrase and to dismiss the entire notion of Bitcoin is irksome to people. We all do this to each other at times, but it helps us to recognize that a lot of the way people react to us is due to our own words and actions.

This however brings me to another pet-peeve of mine in the Bitcoin discussion, and one that I believe serves as another indication of the reason why it has not taken off, and it will never be used as a currency.
I can't fathom how going from an unknown program that produces coins at one penny in value to over $100 each and a billion dollar market 4 years later is "failing to take off."

Your phrasing is out-of-whack, irksome, wrong and unconstructive and creates a lot of problems when trying to speak to you.

People like you tend to jump immediately at critics accusing them of ignorance. "You don't understand bitcoin!" you protest. Yet, I and many critics understand it enough and do not like what we see.
I'm discussing Bitcoins in multiple threads on multiple forums, at least one of which has actual Bitcoin programmers participating in the thread and underlining some of my statements and giving the same explanations that I've found from my research. So I think it's safe to say that I do have a decent understanding of the logistics of it and the economic dynamics that apply to it, and I would not tell someone they didn't understand it unless they made an argument that was clearly in ignorance of some key aspect and accompanied it with a wrong proclamation. Asking a question is totally different and not a cause for any disparaging remark from me or anyone else and that is what I wish you would do instead.

But let us assume that what you say is true and I don't understand BTC at all. I have put some considerable time in trying to understand the basics. If that still does not make me worthy enough of the BTC elite, then what hope does the scheme have with the mainstream?

In short, if you cannot sell BTC to a person who has put some time and effort in trying to understand it, how do you expect to sell it to your Average Joe?

I know what you'll answer... that all of the complexities will disappear once it becomes more widespread... the issue is, it is not really happening, is it? It still is a very niche interest.
Well first...there is no BTC elite. Just people who use it and people who don't.

Secondly, this same issue came up in one of the other Bitcoin threads I'm in...as I said there...ideas or services or products don't spread by people laboriously arguing or explaining minutiae about the idea to each other. They spread by being useful. If they are useful, then more people will do it...and others will start to use them too without even investigating the technical aspects of it.

Think of Facebook. I don't know anything about website programming, no one ever argued with me about whether it was a good idea, people just signed up for it in larger and larger numbers because they found it useful, and that created a wave of momentum where I checked out and clicked the necessary buttons to join in.

The same will be true of Bitcoin. It will live or die by how useful it is. Speculation doesn't matter, and neither do flames. Just whether or not it works to make people's lives easier or better in some way. And a lot of us feel it will.
 
Now who's up for ordering a pizza with bitcoins?
Does EGarrett make good pizzas? ;)

Actually I would prefer to unload my fiat money (if the bank fees are not too excessive) before spending bitcoins (Gresham's Law and all that).
 
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Does EGarrett make good pizzas? ;)

Actually I would prefer to unload my fiat money (if the bank fees are not too excessive) before spending bitcoins (Gresham's Law and all that).

HA! Caught you! So you, bitcoinlover, would like to unload worthless paper before using bitcoins.

According to the Einsteins on this forum, that proves bitcoin will never work.

Because you'd unload bad money before good money.

I remember the same thing with Mexican Pesos and US dollars.

ROLF!!!!
 
According to the Einsteins on this forum, that proves bitcoin will never work.

Ignoring your strawman -- my opinion that bitcoin will never move beyond the realm of a commodity/exchange speculators' toy is largely based on the circumstance that nobody has outlined a reasonable means to reduce, mitigate, or prevent the ridiculous volatility it currently enjoys.

The primary objection I have is to people calling bitcoin a viable currency, which it isn't in anything other than (maybe) the technical sense of the word. I can't use it to pay for anything I regularly purchase in my world, being as I do not purchase drugs nor other illegal things which require untraceable 'money'. I'm sure there are, for example, pizza places which take bitcoin, but given that the effective "exchange rate" between bitcoin and USD appears to be set by hucking darts at a board, I can't figure out why the pizza place is even willing to consider it since it has to purchase the materials to make the pizza (and pay its employees, and all those little things) with USD.

Perhaps the owner views it as a way to channel a certain percentage of his profits directly into speculation; fair enough, it's his not-money, he can do what he wants with it. I know that were I to sell a pizza I made for $10, I would not at all want to be given a rock that was currently worth $10 but could be worth anywhere between $2 and $20 depending on when I needed to use the rock to pay for something from someone ELSE who accepts rocks instead of money. The only way I could afford to do this would be if I was independently wealthy and/or had sufficient not-rock income so that I could absorb the times when rocks were worth $2 and wait to use them until rocks were worth $20. This isn't useful as a currency.

Oh, and hey, while I'm here, you're greatly missed in Politics, mhaze ;) I think you have a few posts to follow up on, some discussions you left hanging, and maybe even a few bets to pay off? Six months isn't long enough for anyone to forget, I'm thinking. :D
 
Ignoring your strawman -- my opinion that bitcoin will never move beyond the realm of a commodity/exchange speculators' toy is largely based on the circumstance that nobody has outlined a reasonable means to reduce, mitigate, or prevent the ridiculous volatility it currently enjoys.

The primary objection I have is to people calling bitcoin a viable currency, which it isn't in anything other than (maybe) the technical sense of the word. I can't use it to pay for anything I regularly purchase in my world, being as I do not purchase drugs nor other illegal things which require untraceable 'money'. I'm sure there are, for example, pizza places which take bitcoi.....

Blah blah blah on and on, worthless garbage of speculation and personal opinion expressed without any actual knowledge base.

So were we going to do Pizza Hut, Papa Johns or Dominos? My fraction of a bitcoin is ready.
 
So. Let's say for whatever reason it isn't economically feasible to mine on what hardware I have. I note you can pay a transaction fee to make a transfer go through faster. Can I set my client to handle transactions of that sort, as a different way of earning bitcoin?
 
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