... I'll get to my alleged evidence for that belief as soon as possible.
--- Jabba
This is a self-parody, right? It has to be a self-parody.
... I'll get to my alleged evidence for that belief as soon as possible.
--- Jabba
- Later on, in 5265, I said, While I do think that there was something "different" done to that area of the Shroud, I'm much less convinced (than I had been previously) that an actual "patch" of some size was involved.
- Now, I've probably "retreated" a little back in favor of the patch of some size...
- Sorry for my fickleness -- but, there it is...
--- Jabba
Ian,
- In my opinion, a large patch is still one of the more likely possibilities. Here's my explanation from 4993.
- Originally Posted by wardenclyffe
And the proper way to answer that answer is, "If Thibault could 'see' different types of fiber, then how could the patch possibly be invisible?"...
- My response
Ward,
- At this point, my reluctance to fully accept that there was no patch involved does not depend upon the patch being "invisible."- The one answer I got on the Porter blog actually alluded to the possibility I had alluded to previously. As I recall, neither those doing the dating nor those preparing for the dating, claimed to do the examinations (that Rogers, Raes, Brown and the Los Alamos National Laboratory did on the Shroud, or the sticky tapes) that turned up the evidence for patching. Also, Flury-Lemburg apparently didn't know about "reversing," and might have prematurely discounted the patch possibility due to there being no obvious evidence on the back of the Shroud.
- In other words, there appears to have been some patching going on that those really involved in the dating process didn't see because they didn't use the examination techniques necessary to see it.
- Does that make significant sense?
Ward,
- I hate to do this to you -- but, thanks.
--- Jabba
It makes me sad for you that unambiguous group examination of the actual cloth, and of pieces of fabric with clear chains of custody back to the cloth, are less convincing to you than legends spun upon ambiguous threads with no actual provenance, no chain of custody, and no record of how they have been handled and stored...
Q - how could all three labs, and all the committee members, Flury Lemberg, Prof Ghiberti, and everyone else since 1973 (inc. STuRP and Ray Rogers himself in 1978), when they were all specifically looking for any such patch in that precise area, fail to notice that the entire sample cut for C14 was not actually from the shroud at all, but was instead just a patch from something else entirely?
I did. If i ever go insane, i make you two responsible for that. Pakeha for not immediately mentioning to better not click on it, and catsmate1 for coming up with it in the first place.
Also, i want to know what drugs those guys from that link are using. Just so that i can stay far, far away from them.
Greetings,
Chris
Ian,
- My best guess is that they did not measure the wrong date -- not for the (postage stamp of a) sample that they were testing. Somehow, the sample was just not representative of the greater shroud. I'll get to my alleged evidence for that belief as soon as possible.
--- Jabba
Ian,OK. Well, you realise that you have been directly contradicting yourself?...
Ian,
- We seem to be passing in the night...
- I admit to holding contradictory suspicions at the same time. I think that I live with a lot of cognitive dissonance.
- I also admit to holding contradictory beliefs at different times -- I change my mind a lot.
- But, there's nothing wrong with either of those.
- And, I don't admit to holding contradictory beliefs at the same time.
- Are you thinking that I do hold contradictory beliefs at the same time?
--- Jabba
Ian,
- We seem to be passing in the night...
- I admit to holding contradictory suspicions at the same time. I think that I live with a lot of cognitive dissonance.
- I also admit to holding contradictory beliefs at different times -- I change my mind a lot.
- But, there's nothing wrong with either of those.
- And, I don't admit to holding contradictory beliefs at the same time.
- Are you thinking that I do hold contradictory beliefs at the same time?
--- Jabba
This is largely irrelevant. The fact that you're unwilling to work towards resolving these conflicts is what's annoying.Jabba said:- I admit to holding contradictory suspicions at the same time. I think that I live with a lot of cognitive dissonance.
So do I. The difference is, I change my mind based on the data available. You change your opinion of the data based on what best suites your a priori conclusions.- I also admit to holding contradictory beliefs at different times -- I change my mind a lot.
Technically true. The thing is, they're irrelevant to this discussion.- But, there's nothing wrong with either of those.
Honestly, no. You have been remarkably consistent this entire conversation. Every scrap of data, no matter the validity, that proportadly supports your pet hypothesis is 100% absolutely true to you, and all evidence, no matter the validity, that contradicts it is 100% absolutely false.- Are you thinking that I do hold contradictory beliefs at the same time?
Ian,
- We seem to be passing in the night...
- I admit to holding contradictory suspicions at the same time. I think that I live with a lot of cognitive dissonance.
- I also admit to holding contradictory beliefs at different times -- I change my mind a lot.
- But, there's nothing wrong with either of those.
- And, I don't admit to holding contradictory beliefs at the same time.
- Are you thinking that I do hold contradictory beliefs at the same time?
--- Jabba
Ian,
- We seem to be passing in the night...
- I admit to holding contradictory suspicions at the same time. I think that I live with a lot of cognitive dissonance.
- I also admit to holding contradictory beliefs at different times -- I change my mind a lot.
- But, there's nothing wrong with either of those.
- And, I don't admit to holding contradictory beliefs at the same time.
- Are you thinking that I do hold contradictory beliefs at the same time?
--- Jabba
I think specifically the most telling thing about the "patch" theory is why did no-one mention the possibility until after the radiocarbon tests proved the shroud was a medieval fake.If you think there is nothing wrong with you switching between contradictory explanations on different days, then that’s a matter for you to decide how that reflects on the credibility of your answers.
But regardless of that, your above reply is still making no attempt to address that key question of how absolutely everyone, inc. STurRP and Ray Rogers in 1978 (see the long list in post 6242), could have all failed to detect any subsequently claimed patch (a claim made 10 years after the C14 dating from people who had never even seen either the cut shroud or any of the cut C14 samples), ie you are still left with apparently no attempt at any coherent or consistent answer to the pivotal question -
Q - how could all three labs, and all the committee members, Flury Lemberg, Prof Ghiberti, and everyone else since 1973 (inc. STuRP and Ray Rogers himself in 1978), when they were all specifically looking for any such patch in that precise area, all fail to notice that the entire sample cut for C14 was not actually from the shroud at all, but was instead just a piece of cloth from something else entirely?
I think that I live with a lot of cognitive dissonance.
Many people believe contradictory ideas at different points in their life. You appear to believe contradictory ideas on different days of the week. And instead of changing your mind in response to evidence you change your mind in spite of the evidence, in whatever way is necessary to defend the authenticity of the Shroud at that moment.
You have reached a preformed conclusion and as each of your arguments are shown to be incorrect, you just return to a previous,disproven argument.
Now here's the problem: so how does Jabba think this patch accounts for the measured date?
I don't think he thinks that far ahead.
I don't think he thinks that far ahead.
Of course not, which is why I have asked. I think the conversation needs to completely halt until he answers it, because the whole, "there must be a patch, so that's why they date is wrong" crap is worthless without it.
Explain how a patch accounts for the observed results, or forget it.
Even before considering the evidence of there being a patch or not, there has to be a reason to think that a patch explanation could even be viable.
If no one can explain how a patch could give the observed result, why should it be considered as a hypothesis to consider.
I think that we need to stop for a minute, and insist upon some clarification. Obviously, there is a pile of problems with the so-called "patch" claim (invisible or not), but before we go on, I think we need to clear something up: how, exactly, does Jabba think that a patch, if it were there, create the outcome that is observed?
Let me explain what I mean.
It's not enough to say that, "there was patch, therefore the dates are wrong." The patch claim needs to explain how a shroud that was made around year zero measures out to year 1300. In order to have that late of a date requires that there is more 14C than expected for an old object.
The patch could account for this in two ways:
1) all the material tested was from a "patch." However, if that is the case, then that patch would have required using material from the year ca. 1300. I don't know when the patching was done, but the material is from 1300.
2) The patch is newer material, and the measurements were made on a mixture of old cloth and new cloth. By my math, in order to get an apparent date of 1300 AD, and the patch was material from the year 2000, then 62% of the sample would need to be patch. If it is 50% modern patch, it dates to about 1000 AD. Now, if the patch is any older than modern, then you have to increase the amount of patch needed in the sample in order to get a 1300 AD date. As indicated in (1), this approaches 100% by the time you get to 1300.
Now here's the problem: so how does Jabba think this patch accounts for the measured date? Is he suggesting that it was a patch that was put on on or about that 1300 time frame, using cloth from that time? That's pretty impressive for a patch that is completely unnoticable, to be made out of material that is 1300 years younger than the original material. Moreover, as others have noted, if it was possible to create undetectable patches in 1300, why are all the other patches so crappy?
Alternatively, the patching was done later on, which means that the samples are mixtures of old shroud and patch. But how does that work? How do three different labs all get small pieces of the shroud that are all ca. 60% patch? Think about how that could be possible. Take a little strip of paper that is 60% white and 40% blue. Divide it in three, and then divide each into maybe 6 more. Now, figure out what it would take to color the strip such that all 18 pieces are 50-70% white. That is what the supposed patch would have to look like (iirc, the standard deviations of the 14C measurements were something like 100 years or so; it's not like they had two samples that measured 1900 and one that measured 0 to give an average of 1300). The patch you get out of that is going to be idiotic.
So I really want to hear a proposal of how a "patch" accounts for the observations. As I said, it's not enough to say, "There was a patch, so the answers are wrong!" They dates are what they are. Even Jabba has admitted that they weren't measured incorrectly. So how does it work? How does a "patch" explain the data?
I don't think he thinks that far ahead.