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Romney, Obama, Rasmussen

applecorped

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applecorped
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http://www.nydailynews.com/blogs/dailypolitics/2012/05/rasmussen-romney-up-seven-over-obama

"Romney is now up 50% - 43% on Obama in a survey of likely voters conducted by Rasmussen Reports.
The result was the first time Romney hit 50% in the daily tracking poll, which randomly surveys 500 voters each night.
The bad showing for Obama comes amid a week of disappointing economic indicators, including a poor jobs report. Only 37% of those surveyed believed Obama was doing a good job handling the economy while 48% said he was doing poorly."


Maybe Obama will get a Gay Marriage bounce?:confused:
 
My understanding is that Rasmussen traditionally produces pro-Republican numbers as compared to other pollsters. Not saying there's anything nefarious about them (although note that they are the pollster of choice for Fox News), just that their methodology seems to skew that way.

Here's some discussion of the issue.
 
BenBurch said:
True! Obama could get sick and the convention could nominate somebody else.
Click to expand...
Or an independent or candidate from a third party could win. Ron Paul is still in the race. BTW: If I leaned Libertarian I would go for Gary Johnson over Ron Paul any day of the week.
 
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applecorped said:
http://www.nydailynews.com/blogs/dailypolitics/2012/05/rasmussen-romney-up-seven-over-obama

"Romney is now up 50% - 43% on Obama in a survey of likely voters conducted by Rasmussen Reports.
The result was the first time Romney hit 50% in the daily tracking poll, which randomly surveys 500 voters each night.
The bad showing for Obama comes amid a week of disappointing economic indicators, including a poor jobs report. Only 37% of those surveyed believed Obama was doing a good job handling the economy while 48% said he was doing poorly."


Maybe Obama will get a Gay Marriage bounce?:confused:
Click to expand...

More like a Gay Marriage blowout.

The stupidity of Biden, Obama, the Media, gays in the Democratic Party is amazing. In just one day they have made the number one issue on the ballot in November to be Gay Marriage instead of the economy.
 
applecorped said:
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub...ministration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

Romney 50% - Obama 42%
Click to expand...

Why do you suppose Rasmussen won't release their "crosstabs"? It's possible they are the only outfit calling this race correctly, but polling that won't explain how they weed out "unlikely voters" or how their demographic breakdown turned out aren't very useful.

The fact that they always seem to be 4-6 points on the GOP side of any race or issue makes it appear that they are cooking the numbers somehow.

ETA: Someone else pointed out that without Rasmussen, the poll averages would have Obama up several points. When you add in Rasmussen, who is the only outfit doing daily polls at this point, it nudges the TPM poll average to a slight lead for Romney. A cynic may suspect that this is the desired result of such early polling.
 
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