Is Mittens now unstoppable?

Sword_Of_Truth said:
It's from 2008, when Romney was "the true conservative alternative" to John "The Democrats Favorite Republican" McCain.

Romney has changed little from 2008 (aside from building up his campaign), what appears to have changed is Rick Santorum now wants the job for himself.
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I don't buy this "true conservative crap". I don't think anyone can even define it.
 
RandFan said:
I don't buy this "true conservative crap". I don't think anyone can even define it.
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Of course they can. A "true conservative" is the candidate they support, and the "fake conservative" is the one they don't.

So in 2008, Romney was a "true conservative," and now he isn't. It's all very simple, really.
 
RandFan said:
I don't buy this "true conservative crap". I don't think anyone can even define it.
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I respectfully disagree.

I'll admit straight out that Santorum fits certain definitions of "conservative" better than Romney. But as the Buckley Rule states, Republicans and conservatives should support the most conservative candidate who is electable. I don't think that some of Santorums ideas are as unsellable as some Democrats and liberals claim, but we all pretty much agree that he is a lousy salesman.

BTW, the "Buckley Rule" article I linked above was from 2010 and described the then impending failure of the Christine "I'm not a witch" O'Donnell campaign. Ironically, O'Donnell herself has endorsed Romney this time around.
 
Illinois is up today, and it is supposed to give Romney a boost. I've been getting call from his campaign and PAC non-stop for the past week. I've only received one from Santorum.

My parents are voting for Ron Paul to kind of troll the election, because they don't want anyone. Apparently we have a semi-open primary, but I've been having trouble finding out what that means. It is surprisingly difficult. I'm probably going to get a Democratic ballot, though. There are only a handful of contested nominations that I can actually have a say in. Most are uncontested or are judicial positions that I don't think should even be up for election because no one could possibly know how to vote on them (unless they were certain Iowa judges).
 
I seriously had a nightmare tonight. The subject was that Santorum had got the nomination.
 
TubbaBlubba said:
I seriously had a nightmare tonight. The subject was that Santorum had got the nomination.
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I looked at the future primaries, including today's primary in Illinois. Below are those likely to give most, if not all, their delegates to Romney:

Illinois 69 delegates
Wisconsin 42
Maryland 37
Washington DC 19
New York 95
Connecticut 28
Rhode Island 19
Delaware 17
California 172
New Jersey 50

Total 548 delegates.

Add these to Romney's 516 and you get 1,064. To clinch the nomination, he needs 1,144 delegates. Thus, by the time the convention begins, Mittens will be 80 delegates short of the nomination. I don't think your nightmare is going to come true. However, there may well be a floor fight. I see Romney as the eventual nominee, but with only luke-warm support from a good chunk of the GOP.
 
TimCallahan said:
I looked at the future primaries, including today's primary in Illinois. Below are those likely to give most, if not all, their delegates to Romney:

Illinois 69 delegates
Wisconsin 42
Maryland 37
Washington DC 19
New York 95
Connecticut 28
Rhode Island 19
Delaware 17
California 172
New Jersey 50

Total 548 delegates.

Add these to Romney's 516 and you get 1,064. To clinch the nomination, he needs 1,144 delegates. Thus, by the time the convention begins, Mittens will be 80 delegates short of the nomination. I don't think your nightmare is going to come true. However, there may well be a floor fight. I see Romney as the eventual nominee, but with only luke-warm support from a good chunk of the GOP.
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Enough talk about the candidates. It's pretty obvious what will happen in November! The American Election process has become so predictable, no?

So why don't we make predictions for what will happen after the elections, such as...

Gridlock?

Government shut-down?

A New Republican Revolution?

Yet another scandal? Maybe?
 
Following Romney's Illinois win, the delegate count is now:

Romney 560
Santorum 246
Gingrich 141
Paul 66

The remaining primaries with delegates whose will most likely go to Romney are:

Wisconsin 42
Maryland 37
Washington DC 19
New York 95
Connecticut 28
Rhode Island 19
Delaware 17
California 172
New Jersey 50

Total 479 + 560 = 1039. With 1144 delegates needed to win, Romney will likely be 105 delegates short at convention time.
 
dc1971 said:
Enough talk about the candidates. It's pretty obvious what will happen in November!
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Yep, especially if unemployment stays above 7%.

That's where it was when Bush 41 went from a staggering 95% approval rating in March of 1991 to making the unemployment rate 7% plus one less than two years later.
 
Romney's campaign just shot itself in the foot again.

Eric Fehrnstrom, Romney's senior campaign adviser, was asked in a CNN interview Wednesday morning whether the former Massachusetts governor had been forced to adopt conservative positions in the rugged race that could hurt his standing with moderates in November's general election.

"I think you hit a reset button for the fall campaign. Everything changes," Fehrnstrom responded. "It's almost like an Etch A Sketch. You can kind of shake it up, and we start all over again."
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http://www.cnn.com/2012/03/21/politics/campaign-wrap/index.html

Start buying stock in Etch-a-Sketch. You know that Romney's opponents are going to be buying them up and handing them out at rallies.

Steve S
 
Sword_Of_Truth said:
Yep, especially if unemployment stays above 7%.

That's where it was when Bush 41 went from a staggering 95% approval rating in March of 1991 to making the unemployment rate 7% plus one less than two years later.
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Yup, and that's where it was when Reagan crushed Mondale.
 
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