For simplicity, let's consider a simple Schwarzschild black hole, a supermassive one, so that tidal forces don't give us much trouble. We throw in a probe, and observe everything from a safe distance. (Unless specified otherwise, let all further observations be from the viewpoint of a distant observer.) The probe transmits as it approaches the horizon, reporting nothing out of the ordinary. Then its transmissions slow down and disappear. The probe is stuck there right above the event horizon, invisible, flattened and frozen in time. So far, so good.
Yes, so far so good. Some of the other guys will insist on telling the tale from the probe's viewpoint, forgetting that the probe's proper time takes infinite "universe time" to elapse.
Now, we grab a lot of matter, as much as the mass M of the black hole itself (it's a thought experiment, so let's not worry about the logistics) and throw it in as well. Yay! The black hole now has mass 2M and its horizon is considerably farther out.
Sounds as if you're asking how a black hole ever actually forms. That's a question that's been kicked around quite a lot actually, see for example about
the formation and growth of black holes by Kevin Brown. He mentions the "frozen star" idea which I'm in favour of, though he doesn't favour it.
My first question is: from our viewpoint, where's the probe now? I see two major possibilities: either the probe is still where it was, i.e. at a point which is now below the horizon, or it actually moved out as the black hole's horizon expanded. Which is it?
My answer is
below the horizon, wherein the black hole is a
gravastar-like lump of frozen stress-energy. But note that the word "below" presents a difficulty, in that one cannot measure space and time in this region. In the wiki gravastar article it says
This region is called a "gravitational vacuum", because it is a void in the fabric of space and time..
(I used to assume the former, but now I think the latter looks more likely.) - If the former is true, the logical consequence would be that the singularity is at the center of the black hole, surrounded by all the matter that fell in - our probe being a sample of it - that now fills the horizon. If the latter is true, the logical consequence would be that there is nothing inside the horizon, and everything that ever fell in, including the core of the original collapsing star, is still in a thin superdense bubble just outside the horizon, and the central singularity is not below the horizon, but exactly at it (from our distant viewpoint). Is the reasoning correct?
I don't think so. One could conceive of a
Hokey Cokey scenario wherein the dance circle gets bigger as more people join it, and if you can't measure space and time within the circle you might well argue that a bubble is all you've got. But your reasoning doesn't cover the possibility of a frozen lump that gets bigger like a hailstone growing in a thunderstorm by accreting layers.
Now, let's put Hawking radiation in the picture. We get rid of CMBR (again, it's a thought experiment, so let's not worry about the logistics) and wait a really, really long time. The black hole should slowly radiate away. Let's wait until the black hole that remains is half the original mass (M/2). The event horizon has shrunk considerably. Regardless of where the probe was in question one, now it must be closer to the center - it has passed through where the event horizon had been at the time we threw the probe in.
Let's not put Hawking radiation in the picture. The infinite time dilation at the black hole event horizon means it takes forever for anything to happen down there. IMHO Hawking radiation ignores this. But going with the flow...
If during our superlong wait, we recorded everything, and then played it superfast, presumably there should be at least a little more transmission from the probe (albeit muffled by all the mass we threw in after the probe). My second question is: how much more would we hear from the probe? Would we just hear it get a little closer to the original location of the horizon at the time we threw it in, or would we actually hear it transmit about passing the original horizon location and falling further in, to where it is now? (The latter sounds more likely to me, but I'm not sure.)
I think it would be something like sending the probe down to a "hailstone" black hole, all the while seeing its transmission rate slow down until it appears to have stopped. It sticks to the surface, gets covered up and entombed within the hailstone. Then after a while the hailstone evaporates, and the probe is revealed. We will assume that the probe doesn't evaporate but the hailstone continues to do so. As it gets smaller our probe stays on the surface frozen, and then with a final flourish the hailstone evaporates completely, leaving our probe beeping normally. But having said all that, I don't think it's going to happen. Once that probe is in there, that's it, forever.
By now, a lot of the mass of the black hole has radiated away, and it is no longer there. My third question: can we tell which mass has disappeared and was converted to radiation? Was it the original collapsing star and the first of the infalling matter that, from our distant viewpoint, finally reached the singularity by this time? Was it the last of the infalling matter?
I would say that none of it is converted to radiation, but if you twisted my arm I'd say it was last in first out.
A related point to consider: if we replay in fast motion our recorded observation of the black hole radiating away, we realize that the black hole is essentially a huge ongoing explosion, slowed down in time from our distant viewpoint. My fourth question: what implications does this have for our probe? We threw our probe in, and since then, we've seen a huge amount of energy hurled back at us from the black hole. All this energy has already reached us by now, so does this mean the probe must have already encountered all this energy on its way down? Wouldn't it be incinerated by this enormous amount of energy? Was it already destroyed by now and itself returned to us in the form of Hawking radiation - or is it still hovering above the horizon, frozen in time, and all the energy radiated from the black hole shrinking underneath it somehow... went around it?
In truth the probe was destroyed at the event horizon, hammered flat by the total radial length contraction. Then it was destroyed again by being crushed under the subsequent infalling matter. Then if black holes did emit Hawking radiation, the probe would have been destroyed again by being radiated away. Things don't look too good for our probe!
Of course, it needn't be either-or; some of these questions may have answers I haven't thought of. I'll be glad to hear your thoughts.
A pleasure, big buy. Nice to see an intelligent thoughtful post by the way. You're a guy who thinks for himself.