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UFOs: The Research, the Evidence

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ufolo,

It's not that I missed your Special Pleading, it's that I don't agree with it.
Tauri,

It's not that I missed your point, it's that I don't agree with it.

"Thousands upon thousands of seemingly credible and respectable witnesses" is evidence, just not the kind of evidence you want. Why? Because if you did accept it you'd have to admit that UFOs are real and you can't do that. So you dismiss human perception and memory even though it provides evidence for many things on a daily basis. In fact it is so important and works so well that without it we could not survive.

You also forget that in the end all evidence is based on observation and memory, including the outcomes of scientific experiements. Without observation and memory all scientific experiments become meaningless. Furthermore scientific experiments are often further removed from direct experience through the use of machines or experiements that are themselves subject to breakdowns and faulty data. So for example, seeing something with your own eyes is one step closer to the objective reality that observing it through a video camera or radar. That is why when UFOs are picked up on radar, jets are launched to get a visual confirmation ... and there have been such cases where such confirmation has been made ... as in the 1952 DC Sightings.

Furthermore not all scientific experiments can be 100% precisely duplicated and the laws of probability apply to all scientific experiments, meaning that even the best scientific conclusions aren't 100% certain. So the best science can do is claim a virtual certainty using a statistical model to calculate the probabilities of future outcomes based on past experiments. In such science, particularly medicine, the anecdotal evidence plays a critical role in establishing the value of particular treatments and medicines. With respect to UFOs, the Batelle Memorial Institute statistical analysis of UFO reports determined that it is a virtual certainty that UFOs are extraordinary objects. Therefore it is reasonable to pursue further knowledge about them, and in doing so propose possible explanations. Because there is nothing scientifically impossible about alien craft visiting planet Earth and because it is a virtual certainty that the phenomenon is real, the ETH offers a perfectly reasonable direction for further investigation. Beyond that we have our personal opinions and many of those, including mine, are based on firsthand experience and observation.

So please review ... I have never claimed to possess demonstrable proof of alien craft, only that I and many other people have a personal belief in them, and that the significant number of people who have had a UFO experience constitutes enough evidence to warrant further investigation. In this effort there are surely many other explanations for UFO reports other than alien craft, and what I was hoping to do here is network with skeptics who can supply mundane explanations for UFO reports without resorting to ridicule, mockery and changing stories to suit themselves. Such would involve pointing out logical inconsistencies, mistakes, faulty reasoning, serious and applicable credibility flaws of those who make or provide reports ... and so on, and lastly to keep those evaluations in proper focus and context. If anyone here is interested in actually doing that by all means please let me know.

This is getting old.

"Thousands upon thousands of seemingly credible and respectable witnesses" is evidence, just not the kind of evidence you want. Why? Because if you did accept it you'd have to admit that witches are real and you can't do that. So you dismiss human perception and memory even though it provides evidence for many things on a daily basis. In fact it is so important and works so well that without it we could not survive.

...

With respect to witches, the Spanish Inquisition and the Salem reports determined that it is a virtual certainty that witches are extraordinary objects. Therefore it is reasonable to pursue further knowledge about them, and in doing so propose possible explanations. Because there is nothing scientifically impossible about witches on planet Earth and because it is a virtual certainty that the phenomenon is real, witchcraft offers a perfectly reasonable direction for further investigation. Beyond that we have our personal opinions and many of those, including mine, are based on firsthand experience and observation.

So please review ... I have never claimed to possess demonstrable proof of witches, only that I and many other people have a personal belief in them, and that the significant number of people who have had a witchcraft experience constitutes enough evidence to warrant further investigation. In this effort there are surely many other explanations for witch reports other than actual witches, and what I was hoping to do here is network with skeptics who can supply mundane explanations for witch reports without resorting to ridicule, mockery and changing stories to suit themselves. Such would involve pointing out logical inconsistencies, mistakes, faulty reasoning, serious and applicable credibility flaws of those who make or provide reports ... and so on, and lastly to keep those evaluations in proper focus and context. If anyone here is interested in actually doing that by all means please let me know.


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"Thousands upon thousands of seemingly credible and respectable witnesses" is evidence, just not the kind of evidence you want. Why? Because if you did accept it you'd have to admit that Jesus is real and you can't do that. So you dismiss human perception and memory even though it provides evidence for many things on a daily basis. In fact it is so important and works so well that without it we could not survive.
...

With respect to Jesus, the thousands of sightings and visions, and organized religion itself mean that it is a virtual certainty that Jesus the son of God walked the earth and exists in heaven. Therefore it is reasonable to pursue further knowledge about Him, and in doing so propose possible explanations. Because there is nothing scientifically impossible about Jesus visiting planet Earth and because it is a virtual certainty that the phenomenon is real, Christianity offers a perfectly reasonable direction for further investigation. Beyond that we have our personal opinions and many of those, including mine, are based on firsthand experience and observation.

So please review ... I have never claimed to possess demonstrable proof of Jesus, only that I and many other people have a personal belief in Him, and that the significant number of people who have seen and felt His presence constitutes enough evidence to warrant further investigation. In this effort there are surely many other explanations for Christianity other than Jesus and God, and what I was hoping to do here is network with skeptics who can supply mundane explanations for religious beliefs without resorting to ridicule, mockery and changing stories to suit themselves. Such would involve pointing out logical inconsistencies, mistakes, faulty reasoning, serious and applicable credibility flaws of those who make or provide reports ... and so on, and lastly to keep those evaluations in proper focus and context. If anyone here is interested in actually doing that by all means please let me know.
 
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tedious special pleading is tedious

http://www.scientificexploration.org/journal/jse_14_4_druffel.pdf
There you go.

And the object is clearly proximate given the specular highlights and focus. Obvious fake.
Thanks. Looks very much like a fake flying saucer photo I did as a child.

When I press that link on my Android phone, it gives a blank webpage, but the file is sneakily downloaded and saved.

Perhaps the pdf file is somewhere on your Android tablet anyway.
...and so it is! Great, I'll read it for comedy next time I'm on a plane.

.....

On the other hand we have direct firsthand observation of UFOs by many credible people and a respectable study concluding that the UFO phenomena ( the existence of extraordinary objects ) is a virtual certainty. Given these factors it is reasonable to suggest extraordinary explanations for those sightings that have no ordinary explanation, and to gather whatever information we can to help illuminate the truth about them. Again I ask the skeptics to assist in this effort in some constructive way. Are there no skeptics here who can demonstrate some positive leadership in this effort?
Dude, you are nothing if not consistent in your special pleading.

On the other hand we have direct firsthand observation of witches by many credible people and a respectable study concluding that the witchcraft is a virtual certainty. Given these factors it is reasonable to suggest witchcraft to explain those witches that have no ordinary explanation, and to gather whatever information we can to help illuminate the truth about them.

On the other hand we have direct firsthand observation of angels by many credible people and a respectable study concluding that the angels ( messengers from heaven ) is a virtual certainty. Given these factors it is reasonable to suggest a religious force for those sightings that have no ordinary explanation, and to gather whatever information we can to help illuminate the truth about them.

On the other hand we have direct firsthand observation of bigfoot by many credible people and a respectable study concluding that the bigfoot phenomenon ( the existence of bigfoot as an undiscovered creature ) is a virtual certainty. Given these factors it is reasonable to suggest an undiscovered creature for those sightings that have no ordinary explanation, and to gather whatever information we can to help illuminate the truth about them.

On the other hand we have direct firsthand observation of intraterrestial space fishes by many credible people and a respectable study concluding that the fish phenomena ( the existence of fishes in intraterrestial space ) is a virtual certainty. Given these factors it is reasonable to suggest space fishes for those sightings that have no ordinary explanation, and to gather whatever information we can to help illuminate the truth about them.

On the other hand we have direct firsthand observation of the Virgin of Guadalupe by many credible people and a respectable religion concluding that the Virgin ( a messenger from God ) is a virtual certainty. Given these factors it is reasonable to suggest God for those sightings that have no ordinary explanation, and to gather whatever information we can to help illuminate the truth about them.​



On edit - I have done quite a few of these, hoping that someone, somewhere can learn from them. Should any helpful skeptic / critical thinker find flaws in these attempts of mine to illustrate the Special Pleading for ufology, please correct me. I'd rather learn than score points with flawed logic.
 
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Unless of course it's being made by......

(drum roll......)

MrCredibleWitness.jpg


Da-daaa! :D


I get it! His little captain's hat means he's never wrong!
 
We only have claims. Many many claims.

They are exactly equal to claims of witches, to claims of demons, to claims of invisible pink unicorns.

We have plenty of direct firsthand "observation" of witches by many "credible" people and a "respectable study" concluding the witch phenomenon (the existence of magical people) is a virtual certainty.

Do you like how that sounds?


ehcks,

Your analogy is about as flippant, pseudoskeptical and useless as is possible. You'll have to do better.


You're wrong. Then analogy is spot-on.

Witches and UFOs both have no verifiable, physical evidence in favor of their existence, only testimonials by ostensibly "credible" witnesses.

The Malleus Maleficarum is the definitive treatise on the "appearance" and "performance characteristics" of witches, just as the so-called Majestic-12 documents describe the "appearance" and "performance characteristics" of UFOs. Both documents have roughly the same level of scientific validity.

The "study" of UFOlogy has yielded just as much scientific progress in 60 years as the practice of Witch Hunting did in 600 years: absolutely none.
 
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ehcks,

Your analogy is about as flippant, pseudoskeptical and useless as is possible. You'll have to do better.

It is pseudoscientific of you to dismiss the claims of those who have seen witches. I only hope that someday you will have your own experience seeing a witch and then you will no longer doubt.

A giant talking bunny rabbit told me so.
 
A giant talking bunny rabbit told me so.


You do realize that conversing with animals is definitive proof that you're a witch!

On the other hand, some people actually seem to believe (...and prepare your face to be palmed...) that witches are really aliens!

How about that Mr. Credulous Ufologist? There appears to be an awful lot of anecdotal evidence there.

Does that mean it's actually true that witches are outer space aliens?
 
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It is pseudoscientific of you to dismiss the claims of those who have seen witches. I only hope that someday you will have your own experience seeing a witch and then you will no longer doubt.

A giant talking bunny rabbit told me so.

Witch-on-Broom.jpg
 
Again I ask the skeptics to assist in this effort in some constructive way. Are there no skeptics here who can demonstrate some positive leadership in this effort?

You've been given enough assistance to this end; it's your credulity, your inability to critically assess your failings as an observer, your steadfast refusal to learn anything that's the failure here.
 
[qimg]http://i246.photobucket.com/albums/gg117/ThePsychoClown/Witch-on-Broom.jpg[/qimg]


Okay, now you've got me curious. Is that 23_Tauri piloting that broom? And the color of the stripes on those stockings... would you maybe call that color amethyst?
 
Stray Cat's witch has to be "Elvira, Mistress of the Dark" in disguise! She is brunette after all, and all the witches I knew were blondes; Elizabeth Montgomery, Veronica Lake and Kim Novack (even Pyewacket was somewhat blonde).

Genies were also blonde, as an astronaut I used to know with his own private genie, had a blonde one.

She couldn't be 23_Tauri, she isn't wearing any wool.

PD
 
You do realize that conversing with animals is definitive proof that you're a witch!

On the other hand, some people actually seem to believe (...and prepare your face to be palmed...) that witches are really aliens!

How about that Mr. Credulous Ufologist? There appears to be an awful lot of anecdotal evidence there.

Does that mean it's actually true that witches are outer space aliens?

Another demonstration of the eagerness of alien visitor believers to shoehorn most anything into their mythology. The flying saucer goggles in action again.
 
OK, let's put this witch identity business to rest. (which witch is which) :D

It's a character I was working on last year, called Pendle the Witch.

Pendle-mkIII.jpg


The Rabbit is called Pipsqueak.


Tauri is a blonde... looks more like this;
Blonde-Fairy2.jpg


But without the wings obviously... and she doesn't live in a tree. :D
 
Sorry Stray Cat, your images are about as flippant, pseudoskeptical and useless as is possible. You'll have to do better.

The last image is not a real faerie. Why? She is not wearing boots, she's barefeet. Real faeries wear boots, as Ozzy has been telling us for decades, and he is a credible and respectable witness.

What you pictured is one of those sissy pseudofaeries from Twilight. See, they too live in the woods, shine, give moral advices, can fly, etc.

We have direct firsthand observation of these elemental beings by many credible people and a respectable study concluding that the elemental phenomena (the existence of extraordinary beings) is a virtual certainty. Given these factors it is reasonable to suggest extraordinary explanations for those sightings that have no ordinary explanation, and to gather whatever information we can to help illuminate the truth about them. Again I ask the skeptics to assist in this effort in some constructive way. Are there no skeptics here who can demonstrate some positive leadership in this effort?
 
We have direct firsthand observation of these elemental beings by many credible people and a respectable study concluding that the elemental phenomena (the existence of extraordinary beings) is a virtual certainty.
Indeed none other than the ultimately credible Sir Arthur Conan Doyle (inventor of Sherlock Holmes, paragon of logic and deduction) spent time, effort and money in pursuing the fairy phenomenon and fully endorsing the real, genuine photographs of them which were taken only a few miles from where I live.

My hoaxed illustration is nothing but a shoddy imitation in comparison to the real article as studied by such credible people with impeccable credentials.
 
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