Sigh another long academic lecture poorly disguised as a response to my post.
Preen much?
I'll reply to what I can find in your verbose reply that holds any relevance to my post.
Miragememories said:
"You tend to go on about things not argued as if this makes a case for what happened.
I have no argument with; progressive collapse, being a legal definition in the professional environment.
But just because the definition exists, does not mean it applies to WTC7.
Likewise, the occurrence of a first time event does not immediately qualify it as proof of the impossible.
Unless, the event is known to be extremely difficult to induce through natural un-aided processes, and the technical explanation for the event is totally lacking in credibility."
Grizzly Bear said:
"It's the things that you aren't arguing which are the most important, and need to be made clear. You've never asked anything about whether the causes of collapse can be linked to issues of design or current practice, you've skipped it entirely despite acknowledging such issues can influence the results. I'm very thorough about these things for good reason, there's no way around it."
The things that I am not arguing?
Or to state it differently, the things you would rather digress about to avoid the unpleasantness that would come if you focused on the real issues.
I have not addressed the issues of WTC7's design, because I felt that it never departed from other modern concrete and steel NYC office towers enough to suggest that it was a reasonable candidate for the kind of bizarre collapse hypothesized by the NIST.
Grizzly Bear said:
"The evidence doesn't care about statistics or probability; It doesn't discriminate conclusions based on spontaneous similarities. It either happened or it didn't. If your case indeed proved that there was a controlled demolition it wouldn't be proven because most collapses you've seen on television were engineered, it'd be because the evidence proved it beyond a reasonable doubt. You give plenty of attention to the latter (red), but almost none to the former (blue).
You related my lengthy academic explanations to a bible thumper talking with an atheist, but it's been more like talking technical with someone who knows very little about the topic or hasn't placed any effort into thinking about the issues relevant to it. A good example of this is the use of precedents showing longer burning fires in buildings that didn't collapse, where the designs and accompanying circumstances were entirely dissimilar to those of the WTC."
Okay, you have made it abundantly clear that you have little or no appreciation for statistical improbability.
So rather than argue with you from my incredulity about the NIST's collapse hypothesis for WTC7, I'll stick with the physical flaws in their report.
Miragememories said:
"The NIST themselves struggled to find a credible way of denying the obvious. You may argue they didn't spend 7 years on the report, but that would not be completely true. They did release a lengthy preliminary report on WTC7 in 2004, so clearly they had been dealing with the subject since 9/11.
The 2004 report was quite interesting, given that the NIST, in the Final Report altered some of their original critical findings (thermal images and shear studs for example) to favor their final collapse hypothesis.
And that is all it is and ever will be, nothing more than a poorly constructed hypothesis.
As an example;
NIST 2004 WTC7 PRELIMINARY REPORT
"Most of the beams and girders were made composite with the slabs through the use of shear studs."
"Typically, the shear studs were 0.75 in. in diameter by 5 in. long, spaced 1 ft to 2 ft on center [apart]."
"Studs were not indicated on the design drawings for many of the core girders."
The NIST, in their 2008 WTC 7 FINAL REPORT, incorporating their previous report's original language where ever possible, chose to make a couple of "edits" to the original 2004 text.
"Most of the beams --- ------- were made composite with the slabs through the use of shear studs."
"Typically, the shear studs were 0.75 in. in diameter by 5 in. long, spaced - -- -- 2 ft on center [apart]."
"Studs were not indicated on the design drawings for ---- -- the core girders."
These are a serious omissions.
All the more so because it clearly establishes that original report material (2004),
was altered without any appendix explanation.
We end up with two critically different translations.
The 2004 original wording undermines the NIST Official Story.
The 2008 edited wording, supports the NIST Official Story.
In effect, we have the NIST saying in 2004, that most of the girders were made composite with the slabs through the use of shear studs. That typically, the shear studs were spaced 1-2 feet apart. And that many of the 'core' girders did not show shear studs in the design drawings.
In 2008, we have the NIST in effect saying, most of the beams, but not most of the girders, were made composite with the slabs through the use of shear studs. That typically, the shear studs were spaced 2 feet apart. And that none of the 'core girders' showed shear studs in the design drawings."
Grizzly Bear said:
"Changes between the progress release and the final report are hardly surprising. The progress is by it's very nature incomplete and essentially more like a rough draft. The final report needs to reflect clarifications based on the information they were able to obtain, verify, and complete. Pushing nefarious intentions solely on the basis of differences between a draft release and a final release is - to say the least - not enough to prove anything."
Context
Grizzly Bear.
The NIST did not re-write, but copied, large portions of the 2004 Preliminary Report, making small but important tweeks where reported fact conflicted with their final hypothesis.
And you are ignoring the fact when the NIST did make changes,
they normally noted these alterations as appendix explanations.
In one particularly critical example that I noted, the NIST used the
almost identical text from the 2004 Report when referring to the use of
shear studs in the design and construction of WTC7.
Shear studs and their relationship to girders was critical to the NIST's hypothesis that thermal expansion was the culprit responsible for the collapse of WTC7.
The subject may sound dull to most readers I'm sure, but I can assure them, it most certainly is not.
In their June 2004 report (and in the actual shop drawings), NIST referred to the use of shear studs in World Trade Center 7. Shear studs are used to keep steel floor beams and girders in place; they impart stability and strength to buildings.
Since you ignored its true significance in your reply to my post, I'll break it down for you.
From the NIST 2004 WTC7 PRELIMINARY REPORT;
"Most of the beams and girders were made composite with the slabs through the use of shear studs." "Studs were not indicated on the design drawings for many of the core girders." Inherent in this statement is: There were studs on
all the floor girders.
From the NIST 2008 WTC7 FINAL REPORT;
"Most of the beams and girders were made composite with the slabs through the use of shear studs."
From the NIST 2004 WTC7 PRELIMINARY REPORT;
"Typically, the shear studs were 0.75 in. in diameter by 5 in. long, spaced 1 ft to 2 ft on center [apart]."
From the NIST 2008 WTC7 FINAL REPORT;
"Typically, the shear studs were 0.75 in. in diameter by 5 in. long, spaced 1 ft to2 ft on center [apart]."
From the NIST 2004 WTC7 PRELIMINARY REPORT;
"Studs were not indicated on the design drawings for many of the core girders."
From the NIST 2008 WTC7 FINAL REPORT;
"Studs were not indicated on the design drawings for many of the core girders."
So from the documentation that the NIST already had in their possession for the 2004 Preliminary Report on the Collapse of WTC7, the NIST observed that
most of the beams and girders were made composite with the slabs through the use of
shear studs. That typically, the shear studs were spaced
1-2 feet apart. And that
many of the 'core' girders [but not all], did not show shear studs in the design drawings and that there were studs on
all the floor girders.
Though they matched the text of the original Preliminary Report for the most part, in the NIST 2008 FINAL Report on the Collapse of WTC7, the NIST 'deletes' to the original text critically altered the original report to effectively say; that
most of the beams but not the girders were made composite with the slabs through the use of
shear studs. That typically, the shear studs were spaced the wider
2 feet apart. And that
none of the 'core' or 'floor' girders had shear studs in the design drawings.
I contend that the real reason for this deliberate omission lies in the conclusions presented in the NIST WTC7 Final Report;
From NIST_NCSTAR_1-9_vol2_for_public_comment
"Additional factors that contributed to the failure of the critical
north-south girder were (1) the absence of
shear studs that would have provided lateral restraint."
"Of particular concern are the effects of thermal expansion in buildings with one or more of the following features:
(4) shear studs that could fail due to differential thermal expansion in composite floor systems, and (5)
lack of shear studs on girders."
I don't distrust the NIST completely. The majority of the NIST staff, I'm sure are honest, hard working people
whose integrity is not in doubt. Of the hundreds of people associated with the actual investigation into the collapse of WTC7, only a few would be involved in the final document's critical wording.
Those in the NIST administration overseeing this politically sensitive report, would have the final say in how the findings were presented and interpreted.
To be continued.
MM