This isn't my theory of the case; nor do I think it is supported by the evidence... but I can see different scenarios people can believe
1) Amanda liked the attention. She was playing games and acting weird and maybe trying to throw the police off. When she gets arrested she continues to play games until a few months have passed and the situation is more serious. From there she was to embarrassed to admit what happened.
2) Amanda knew a great deal about the murder, possibly participated in a clean up and wanted to throw the investigation off. For example if Meredith's murder was part of a conspiracy.
3) Amanda was furious with Patrick and wanted to get him in trouble. Her focus was there, and she can't admit what she did early on.
etc...
Hi CD! Welcome back!
I can see other scenarios as well, I do understand that part. LJ posted another one that is
possible that I found plausible, basically that she got pissed off and and fed up with them accusing her of being involved that she just sent them on a wild goose chase. I for a while pondered a similar scenario to try to explain the police and prosecution's intransigence as to her guilt, I simply found more evidence to suggest they were corrupt scumbags lying through their teeth to save their backsides and scapegoat her for their mistake--
and provide more evidence of her bad character suggesting she was a murderess.
The thing is though, there's so many elements in my mind that suggest she's telling the truth in this note, and I was hoping to engage people in a discussion on it as most of the other scenarios don't take into account other factors. For example, one suggests that she's trying to recant the Statements but 'keep her options open,' however that doesn't seem to make any
sense.
The Statements themselves aren't an accusation, they're too 'vague and confused' to begin with, and the note itself seems to fit more with her trying to explain what she was experiencing rather than 'recant' what doesn't come across as an accusation anyway. She
ought to be confused considering the information she has been told, Raffaele said she went out, that they have 'hard evidence' she was there, she remembers something different, but had these mental images come to her which seem to support what the cops are saying but doesn't seem
real otherwise.
At this point she doesn't know that they will lock up Patrick for two weeks, she might not even know they arrested him for certain, she might have simply thought they were going to have a talk with him about it, and she's in the unfortunate position of not knowing for
sure what happened anymore and figuring she'd better explain better, in written English, so perhaps they will understand. I think the more probable scenario is that Amanda is telling the truth and that alternative scenarios ought to be supported with something that fits with the demonstrated character of Amanda and the
situation as it actually was.
I think the greater support comes from the fact that Italian criminal courts look to do what US civil courts do, defuse situations and try and find settlement everyone can live with. There was substantial misconduct by the part of police and prosecutors. If the innocent version is true then people like Mignini need to be investigated for gross misconduct resulting in a murder failing to be solved. On the other hand, if it is Amanda's fault the murder failed to be solved, there is no need for an investigation. So if Amanda Knox were fully exonerated then this would keep the issue alive for years.
Exactly, scapegoat Amanda to save their backsides from the whupping they deserve,
they have a motive to lie about what happened that night, I'm not seeing it so much from Amanda. Their web of lies seems too transparent to me, and it starts right here. They use this to 'prove' Amanda is a 'compulsive liar' that she 'changed her story three times'
right from the beginning. Then they go on to make it 'she accused an innocent man!' All of this fits with their strategy of the time to distort or outright lie about everything to prejudice everyone against Amanda. They seem to think if they keep saying it, people will believe it--because some will.
On the other hand, if she were convicted of murder then this would keep the issue alive for years, as we had talked about before. They would have taken even more of a big PR hit, and for what? To keep Seattle safe from someone the city desperately wanted back anyway? Italy was not enjoying the fact that when they complained about the treatment of prisoners in America, which is an Italian hobby, everyone just played the Knox trump card. The Italians like to consider the US system barbaric, suddenly they couldn't meaningfully protest about anything. Suddenly it was not the Italian being morally superior but a 2 way issue, where both sides simply were rejected the other's notion of what constitutes a fair trial.
While that might have had an effect, I think it more likely it was local, not national concerns. The average judge or 'juror' might not be as interested in ammunition for complaining about American prisons as they are 'defending' the reputation of their local police for various reasons, notably reports that tourism and foreign students is supposedly down, and of course there's the fact they have to live with them and might not want to believe that of them....
Frankly until the the 'Pack' gets neutered and spayed I don't think anyone should pretend that Perugia is absolved because of the exoneration of Amanda on the murder charge. Until that happens people ought to be awfully wary of sending students to Perugia.
But American indifference to the terms of her release made a conviction, especially one that amounted to time served... And that's really the support. That ultimately, governing is about compromise and the courts found a workable compromise.
I can understand why if you want to go after out of control prosecutors, Amanda Knox, which inspires all sorts of nationalist issues, is not the right case.
I don't think we are in disagreement on either of these issues, I see the same thing.