Diocletus
Illuminator
- Joined
- May 19, 2011
- Messages
- 3,969
530.1 means there is no evidence at all of guilt, and might be some evidence of innocence. Not necessarily proof of innocence, but there might be evidence of innocence. However there must be no evidence still pointing in the direction of the suspect.
530.2 means there is evidence of guilt but this it is insufficient to reach certainity, or is contradicted by an equivalent evidence of innocence.
In this case my evaluation is that could never be not possible to argument that there is no evidence at all. Moreover there is at least one piece of circumstantial evidence - the calunnia - which is still in place. Moreover we have Hellmann's statement by which the prosecution does not deserve criticism, and there were more than enough elements to indict them: "Se fossi stato nei pubblici ministeri avrei fatto esattamente la stessa cosa: loro avevano elementi più che sufficienti per indagare questi due ragazzi". "Non si può parlare di responsabilità dei pm" . It seems he reaffirms there is evidence against them.
The prosecutors had probable cause based on the clasp and knife, so I can certainly see where Hellmann was coming from with that comment.
The problem is that now that the clasp and knife are gone, there is no other evidence probative of guilt. There is just a bunch of evidence that doesn't prove anything, either because it is not identifiable to the defendants (e.g., "footprints") or because the evidence could have been created at any time (e.g., DNA in the sink).
So, I think 530.1 is a possibility if it is as you define.
Your point about callunia I find interesting, though. If it is 530.1, then this means that the jury did not believe the false accusation to be evidence of Knox's own guilt. This is further support for the fact that the Motivations will tell us that there may be evidence of some coercion, but that Knox did not prove that the coercion was sufficient to justify the false accusation. That would be an interesting outcome given the fact that she was denied counsel.